我国房地产上市公司资本结构影响因素实证研究

毕业设计（论文）--I摘要有关资本结构问题的研究一直是财务研究的重点。国内外学者对资本结构影响因素进行大量的实证研究，一致认为资本结构与行业分类密切相关。由于我国资本市场起步晚，发展不平衡，加之公司治理机制的缺陷，各行业法律体制也不健全，因此我国上市公司的资本结构影响因素是一个复杂的问题。房地产行业是关系我国国计民生的重要行业，因此研究房地产行业上市公司资本结构的影响因素，对于理解房地产企业的融资偏好和风险控制有重要指导意义。本文首先介绍资本结构的主要理论，回顾中西方的研究现状；并结合房地产行业上市公司的特点，运用统计分析的方法，从融资渠道、资产负债率和流动负债率方面对房地产上市公司进行统计性分析；接着以资产负债率为因变量，从盈利能力、偿债能力、成长性、公司规模、担保比率、自由现金流量、股权集中度和独立董事比率等方面选取自变量对资本结构进行实证研究，实证分析表明房地行业上市公司的盈利能力、偿债能力、公司规模和担保比率与资产负债率的显著相关，其他因素与资产负债率相关性不显著，并进一步就假设与实证结果不一致的地方进行分析解释。最后在规范分析和实证分析结果的基础上，对优化房地产行业的资本结构提出了一些合理化议，希望能对我国房地产行业上市公司的进一步发展起到借鉴作用。关键词房地产上市公司；资本结构；影响因素毕业设计（论文）--IIAbstractTheresearchoncapitalstructurehasbecomeoneofthemostcriticalissuesofcorporatefinance.Manyfamousacademicsdidalotofempiricalresearchesaboutthefactorswhichaffectcapitalstructure.Itwasprovedthatthecapitalstructurehadadirectbearingontheclassificationoftheindustries.IthasbeenonlyafewyearssinceChina’scapitalmarketcameintobeen,thedevelopmentofcapitalmarketwasunbalanced,thecorporategovernanceoflistedcompanieswasflawed，andtherearestillmanyfaultinessesinthelawsystem,it’sevenmoredifficulttostudythecapitalstructureofChina,listedcompanies.Realestateindustryiscloselyrelatedtothemacroeconomy.ThusstudyingthedeterminantsofcapitalstructureofChina，listedrealestatecompaniescanbeveryhelpful，bothintermsofacademicresearchandfinancialpractice.Thispapersummarizesthestatusofthewestresearchbyintroducingthemaintheoriesofcapitalstructure.Inaddition,thepaperusesthemethodofstatisticalanalysisviacombiningthecharacteristicsoftherealestateindustry.ThenthepapergivesthereadersapictureofChina’srealestatefinancialsystemandthecharacteristics,aspectsfromthefinancingchannelasset-liabilityratio,andcurrentdebtratio.Next，thedependentvariableissettoasset-liabilityratio，theindependentvariablesaresettoprofitability,debt-payingability,growth,thefirmsize,guarantee,freecashflow,theshareconcentrationratio,andindependentdirectorsratio.Empiricalanalysisshowsthatthereissignificantrelationshipbetweentheasset-liabilityratioandtheprofitability,debt-payingability,thefirmsize,guaranteeoftherealestateindustry.Andtheotherfactorsarenosignificant0.Furthermoreitexplainstheinconsistenciesofthecriticalhypothesesandempiricalresults.Finally，onthebasisoftheresultsofempiricalanalysisandnormativeanalysis，thepapergivessomereasonablesuggestionsofthecapitalstructureoftherealestatelistedcompanies.KeywordsListedrealestatecompanies；capitalstructure；factors毕业设计（论文）--I目录摘要.........................................................................................................................IAbstract................................................................................................................II第1章绪论...........................................................................................................11.1问题的提出..................................................................................................11.2国内外研究现状..........................................................................................21.2.1国外研究现状.......................................................................................21.2.2国内研究现状.......................................................................................31.3研究意义......................................................................................................41.4研究思路......................................................................................................5第2章理论基础...................................................................................................62.1早期资本机构理论......................................................................................62.1.1净收益理论...........................................................................................62.1.2净营运收入理论...................................................................................62.1.3传统理论...............................................................................................62.2现代资本结构理论......................................................................................62.2.1MM理论................................................................................................62.2.2平衡理论...............................................................................................72.2.3非信息对称理论...................................................................................72.2.4优序融资理论.......................................................................................82.3资本结构影响因素......................................................................................82.3.1公司盈利能力.......................................................................................82.3.2公司偿债能力.......................................................................................92.3.3公司成长性...........................................................................................92.3.4公司规模.............................................................................................102.3.5公司担保比率.....................................................................................102.3.