金融工程-市场统计A、B、H股行情比较周报——No.050422(2005.4.18-2005.4.22)研究发展中心景志钟86-755-82960739jingzz@ccs.com.cn报告日期2005-4-23市场简述:扩容压力的增大和股权分置试点方案的不确定性,使本周A股市场持续低迷,基本呈单边下跌走势,股指破前期低点似乎已无任何悬念。如前几周预期,本周B股市场还是没能走出独立行情。本周港股在上周的急跌后,受外围股市转强,加上市场再一次对人民币升值的憧憬等因素,持续温和反弹。近一月同含A、B股公司A、B股表现同大盘表现几乎没有分化,本周沪市含B股的A有加速下跌之势,不同市场股价结构调整更为明显,深市含A股的B股在调整过程中已不再抗跌,我们还是认为,短期内B股政策几乎不可能突破,后市继续走出独立行情的可能性正在逐渐减小。含H股的A股近一月更多的仍是随上证指数而动,但全月表现强于上证指数。当前市场,沪市同含A、B股公司A、B股加权平均溢价为68.98%,较上周的77.43%有较大下降,深市为41.10%,溢价水平较上周38.32%明显提高;同含A、H股公司的A、H股平均溢价为30.61%,同含A、H股公司的A、H股平均溢价在连续四周反弹后,本周再次回落。近一月上证综指、恒生指数、沪深B股指数相对走势13013135131401314513032203230324032503280329033003310401040404050406040704080411041204130414041504180419042004210422HSIINDEX114011601180120012201240126012801300上证综指、沪深B股指数HSIIndex上证指数上海B指深证B指说明:1、为便于比较,沪深B股指数基点已调整为起始日上证综指点位;2、HISINDEX轴已根据上证综指轴经过相对性调整,所以能反映不同指数的相对走势,以下双纵坐标轴情况类同。2金融工程-市场统计一、近一月沪深A、B,港H股相对走势沪市同含A、B股公司A、B股表现同大盘表现几乎没有分化,但本周含B股的A则有加速下跌之势,由于沪市A、B股的较高平均溢价,本周这种在下跌过程中的不同市场股价结构调整更为明显。沪市同含A、B股股票近一月相对走势1130118012301280032203240328033004010405040704110413041504190421上证指数含B沪A含A沪B深市同含A、B股公司本月基本随大盘波动,但本周相对抗跌。我们还是认为,短期内B股政策几乎不可能突破,后市继续走出独立行情的可能性正在逐渐减小。深市同含A、B股股票近一月相对走势285295305315032203240328033004010405040704110413041504190421深证综指含B深A含A深B恒生国企指数近一月走势以调整为主,在上周的急跌后,本周有所企稳。含H股的A股近一月更多的仍是随上证指数而动,但全月表现强于上证指数。近一月A、H股相对走势4554465447544854495450545154032203240328033004010405040704110413041504190421HSCEIINDEX112011401160118012001220124012601280A、HINDEXHSCEIIndex上证指数含H的A股说明:A、B、H股相对走势指同时含A、B股或A、H股的个股组成的指数的相对走势,如“含B沪A”为含有B股的上海A股组成的指数,其他类同。3金融工程-市场统计二、A、B、H股一周市场表现对照1、上海A股-B股一周市场表现对照A股代码A股简称B股代码B股简称A股收盘(RMB)B股收盘(US$)A股涨幅(%)B股涨幅(%)A股市盈率B股市盈率A-B股溢价(%)600623轮胎橡胶900909轮胎B股6.640.260-13.65-7.8052.0116.86208.57600843上工股份900924上工B股4.360.181-26.85-22.65204.8270.37191.05600845宝信软件900926宝信B股10.820.459-5.67-4.3852.4018.40184.82600613*ST永生900904*ST永生B6.720.290-8.57-3.3365.8423.52179.98600695ST大江900919*ST大江B2.560.120-8.90-6.98-8.01-3.11157.76600618氯碱化工900908氯碱B股5.480.262-18.45-5.76118.6546.95152.72600612第一铅笔900905中铅B股5.420.260-13.14-5.80142.7656.68151.87600617*ST联华900913ST联华B2.750.132-5.50-0.75-12.43-4.94151.72600614三九发展900907发展B股7.260.3522.25-5.88-141.30-56.70149.20600679凤凰股份900916凤凰B股3.470.170-22.02-12.37-1536.44-622.99146.62600822物贸中心900927物贸B股6.750.332-15.52-6.21469.06190.95145.65600610中国纺机900906中纺B股40.200-22.18-9.09220.1591.10141.65600818ST永久900915ST永久B5.610.286-9.81-2.7229.3912.40137.00600851海欣股份900917海欣B股9.50.493-0.94-1.2035.3415.18132.83600844*ST大盈900921大盈B股1.430.076-18.75-15.56-9.46-4.16127.34600680上海邮通900930邮通B股5.450.293-15.77-7.2871.7931.94124.74600619海立股份900910海立B股7.890.434-5.62-1.8119.098.69119.65600848ST自仪900928ST自仪B2.760.169-6.76-7.14561.27284.4497.32600648外高桥900912外高B股5.630.348-12.03-4.4054.8528.0695.47600751*ST天海900938ST天海B1.650.103-17.50-17.60-1.47-0.7693.55600054黄山旅游900942黄山B股9.330.605-3.42-5.1742.1822.6486.33600604二纺机900902二纺B股30.198-24.43-8.33152.3783.2383.07600650锦江投资900914锦投B股7.80.519-1.02-1.5222.5812.4381.59600272开开实业900943开开B股2.420.163-20.66-12.3747.7026.5979.38600841上柴股份900920上柴B股7.810.535-12.15-2.9017.7310.0576.38600754锦江酒店900934锦江B股7.50.524-2.85-1.1331.1518.0172.94600698ST轻骑900946ST轻骑1.650.116-6.78-7.20156.0190.7771.86600602广电电子900901上电B股5.50.388-11.15-5.8340.8023.8271.27600689上海三毛900922三毛B股2.650.187-15.61-7.8829.9717.5171.22600776*ST东信900941东信B股4.040.296-1.700.0044.8227.1864.91600819耀皮玻璃900918耀皮B股5.740.425-0.171.9221.7613.3363.18600663陆家嘴900932陆家B股5.540.414-13.44-5.9119.3011.9461.68600094华源股份900940华源B股3.10.238-1.90-6.3047.1129.9357.384金融工程-市场统计600639浦东金桥900911金桥B股5.030.398-10.34-5.9121.9014.3552.70600295鄂尔多斯900936鄂绒B股3.360.304-4.55-2.5621.2815.9333.54600190锦州港900952ST锦港B4.960.4540.00-3.2039.3529.8132.00600320振华港机900947振华B股13.031.199-1.21-0.7529.3022.3131.30600801华新水泥900933华新B股5.020.471-10.36-2.8911.108.6228.78600827友谊股份900923友谊B股6.180.5871.81-3.1420.1515.8427.20600835上海机电900925电气B股4.850.473-5.27-3.6714.0711.3623.89600611大众交通900903大众B股5.690.592-6.72-2.6314.7412.6916.13600726华电能源900937龙电B股3.260.344-8.17-3.3717.6515.4114.50600555茉织华900955茉织华B30.330-10.45-5.4435.5132.339.84600221海南航空900945海航B股3.060.351-2.86-4.36-11.69-11.105.332、深圳A股-B股一周市场表现对照A股代码A股简称B股代码B股简称A股收盘B股收盘A股涨幅B股涨幅A股市盈率B股市盈率A-B股溢价(RMB)(HK$)(%)(%)(%)000017ST中华A200017ST中华B1.70.51-19.05-21.54-28.54-9.09214.11000613ST东海A200613ST东海B1.320.48-19.51-22.58-33.82-13.05159.14000018深中冠A200018深中冠B5.111.95-5.72-7.58974.47394.62146.94000029深深房A200029深深房B3.921.5-8.62-9.64-368.91-149.80146.26000055方大A200055方大B5.832.26-10.72-15.99528.97217.61143.09000413宝石A200413宝石B3.511.421.15-4.0547.4020.35132.93000725京东方A200725京东方B4.932.06-20.36-22.2612.085.35125.52000058深赛格200058深赛格B4.061.72-7.73-8.9928.9113.00122.43000045深纺织A200045深纺织B5.232.24-8.41-7.8247.5921.63120.02000026飞亚达A200026飞亚达B4.261.85-7.19-9.31556.69256.55116.99000570苏常柴A200570*ST常柴B3.91.7-5.11-11.9231.7114.67116.18000056深国商A200056深国商B2.961.3-15.43-11.56289.86135.10114.56000030ST盛润A200030*ST盛润B1.330.62-17.90-8.82-8.00-3.96102.14000020ST华发A200020深华发B2.431.18-6.18-4.07-57.34-29.5594.06000596古井贡A200596古井贡B3.891.91-11.19-13.57172.1589.7091.92000011ST深物业200011ST物业B4.812.51-1