东亚产业关联与经济相互依赖性_基于AIIOT2000的实证分析

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©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(),,,AIIOT:F131.04:A:100726964[2010]042100115200423:(06JJD790011);985(20081102),/(In2terregionalInput2Output,IRIO)(Isard,1951)(Multi2regionalInput2Output,MRIO)(Chenery,1953;Moses,1955)IRIOMRIO(non2competitive)(competitive),AIIOTEUII2OT()IDE2060,1983AIIOT1975,AIIOTAIIOT2000,AIIOT2005AIIOT(2009),(economicinterdepend2ence)(Polenske,1995;Mengetal.,2006)(AsianInternationalInput2OutputTable,AIIOT)(Isard,1951),(InstituteofDevelopingEconomies,IDE)(JapanExternalTradeOrganization,JETRO),197505,/(Okamoto,SanoInomata,2005;Oosterhaven,StelderInomata,2007),3(Mengetal.,2006;KuwamoriOkamoto,2007;MengInomata,2009)2080,-,,,(Mengetal.,2006),,(KuwamoriOkamoto,2007),(Soofi,1996;SoofiMoussavi,2004;,2009),,AIIOT20003()27©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:X=(xrsij)(1),rs()(),r,s{I,M,P,S,T,C,N,K,J,U},10;iri,jsjX(10n)(10n),n,1i,jnxsjsj,,10:x=(xsj)T={xI1xIn,xM1xMn,,xs1xsn,,xJ1xJn,xU1xUn,}(2),:A=(arsij)-(xrsij/xsj)(3),AX,arsijsjri,,,(LeontiefInverse)B(XA):B=(brsij)=(1-A)-1(4)Ax+Yx,x=(I-A)-1Y=BY,,()X=AxxY,A(Isard,1951,Chenery,1953,Moses,1955)AAIIOT,,,2.,,3,B,:bsj=rni=1brsij(5)sj():BEsj=bsjsnj=1bsj10n(6)BEsj1,sj;BEsj1,sjBx,,(KuwamoriOkamoto,2007),3.,,,frr,rfr():Fxr=Bfr(7)Fxr,r10,frr(),,,AIIOT,,fr,(AIIOT2000)4.AIIOT(),:V=(Vsj)T={VI1VIn,VM1VMn,,Vs1Vsn,,VJ1373AIIOT2000(IDE,2006,Volume2.Da2ta,pp.17-19)I()M()P()S()T()C()N()K()J()U(),,,IDEAIIOT,9Rasmussen(Rasmussen,1957)(Mengetal.,2006),,(KuwamoriandOkamoto,2007),B,,(),,AIIOT,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.}(8),Vsj,vsj,:vsj=Vsj/xsj(9)(vsj)v,:Fvr=vBfr(10)Fvrr(),v,AIIOT2000(CO2)AIIOT,(),v,,,v(OosterhavenStelder,2008)1.7AIIOT20007,(6)107(),11(7)0010.74710.92100.78131.18800.89551.05501.09080.92320.97621.19340020.68130.73590.85571.12100.83891.05930.83820.88861.09790.88080031.04341.25521.08401.18281.12661.44161.23721.22271.18301.10780041.05700.89001.18311.11780.98831.26230.56070.89870.93390.98550051.06331.19890.91571.16751.16581.49281.19981.13421.08781.07590060.86400.84400.89490.96850.86801.19420.75860.87080.83440.87410070.85990.86550.81890.97940.98681.16240.76170.86480.84090.85599000.90230.95860.93341.10360.98141.23820.92100.97190.99340.9962:001007;900001007:IDE2JETRO,AsianInternationalInput-OutputTable2000,Table1.4,2006,p.86.,(900),2000,1.23821.1036,,0.99620.9934,,1,003()005()1.44161.4928,,,,19852000(Mengetal.,2006),006()007(),1,,,,003()005(),,,200083.44%,2/3(Mengetal.,2006)002()006()007(),,;AIIOT2000(Oosterhaven,StelderInomata,2007),2000,2.247,47MengInomata(2009)1985199019952000AIIOT,,,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(6)24,,0010057,5;006007,7;008019,(008)(009)(010)(011)(012)(013)(014)(015)(016)(017)(018)(019);020;021;022;023,02424:008()009()017()018()019()021()101;012()014()016()()1,,(010011013015),2000(,2001),FDI(Kuchiki,2007),24:1,,4,24(1)1(24):00102424,09024:IDE-JETRO,AsianInternationalInput-OutputTable2000,Table2.3,2006,p.315.24,,,24()(1),,,,,,,,,,,,,24/(coefficientofvariation,CV),:CVU=0.1612CVC=0.1635CVI=57©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.=0.1718CVJ=0.1761CVF=0.1805CVM=0.1842CVS=0.2172CVN=0.2391CVK=0.2408,,,;;,,,1.7AIIOT20007,(7)10()Fxr,,(),7Fxr,()Fxr,,,16.927.99,2.63,,,,,,,,,4.172.461.28,,0.530.230.14,;0.220.130.28;8.793.290.43,,2000,;,,,(001)(003)(007)Fxr:,,;,,,,2.24(7)24,(008019),(1),,84.41%,4.212.391.26;,0.560.23,0.13,,0.1,:008()012()016()017()018(),017,0.8767,,,19992007,,,,(310+1)/,(KuwamoriandOkamoto,2007),19852000,(sensitivitydegree),(MengandInomata,2009),,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.()014()015(),,,,,,,,,,3,;,,,,,(2),Fxr,4.542.951.62,0.570.325,0.890.780.490.280.22(3)0.58,0.37,,,50%,,,,,,,,,20,,,,,,(10)Fvr,22:FI900FM900FP900FS900FT900FC900FN900FK900FJ900FU900LO001TotalAI900109.520.930.430.920.682.681.372.7812.188.167.57164.49AM9000.6337.430.532.300.872.251.151.517.4910.197.8091.77AP9000.070.2050.750.110.180.610.360.422.766.623.7773.76AS9000.391.250.4435.010.661.560.790.802.337.235.9585.73AT9000.530.820.290.7281.281.480.760.585.588.865.98130.12AC9001.251.370.501.431.60859.632.615.7235.3556.7532.381115.52AN9000.591.190.540.610.9910.35200.441.498.9021.3614.73304.82AK9000.900.900.690.830.7610.272.47396.1111.2124.7018.77530.36AJ9004.217.512.906.477.6227.6517.9016.134176.99125.1280.504649.86AU9002.234.062.064.463.4416.4114.1514.9954.828945.60146.559775.66Total120.3255.6759.1352.8798.09932.89241.98440.534317.619214.59323.99:FC900FK900FJ900FU900FI900FM900FP900FS900FT900FN900,LO001,Total10;AI900AM900AP900AS900AI900AC900AN900AK900AJ900AU900:IDE2JETRO,AsianInternationalInput2OutputTable2000,Table2.5ImpactofFinalDemandonGrossValueAdded(24sectors),2006,pp.3222327.77©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalE

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