3,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(globalclimatechange),,,,,588800233::86211815:junwang@nau.edu.cn:025-86563636(:05SJB790001),,,(UNFCCC)1,:,,,Pielke(2004),(AldyandStavins,2007):,,;(GlobalPub2licGoods,GPG),,,,,(SandlerandHartley,2001),,,,,,,,,,,(Weitzman,2007a),,,(2003),(2003),(2007),,2007,,,:,;,,,,,,;,,;,68880023,Pindyck(2007),200654,,,4,200617320077126,6,Stern(2007),::2070,90,Cline(1992)Nordhaus(1994),,,,(Stern,2007)()200610(NicholasStern),,,,,30,50(),,,5%20%GDP,,20072(IPCC)200711(UNDP),200712,,,Cline(1992),,Cline(1992)Stern(2007)GDP2%,,2%GDP78880023ClineNordhaus,Weitzman(2007a)Nor2dhaus,Nordhaus,(DynamicIntegratedModelofClimateandtheEconomy,DICE),,Nordhaus(2007)Weitzman(2007a)Heal(2008)Sandler(2004)Weitzman(2007a)ClineStern(soulmate)(2007)(IPCC),,,,,,Nordhaus(20062007),,,Nordhaus,,,,Nordhaus,,Becker,,Weitzman(2007a),,,KolstadToman(2005),,,,():,,,(purepublicgood),(non-rivalry)(non-excludability),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(Mifeldt,1999;Barrett,2003a2007)88880023,,Hoel(2005),DietzStern(2008)Dietz(2007)(procrastination)(hyperbolicdiscounting),DasguptaMaskin(2005),Dasgupta(2008)Heal(2008),,SandlerHartley(2001),,,,,,Barrett(2008),Barrett(geo-engineering),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,20702090,,M¾ler(1990)Cline(1992)CarraroSiniscalco(1993)Barrett(1994),,,,,()::Olson(1965),;Axelrod(1984),AxelrodKeohane(1985)Keohane(1986),,,,,(FolkTheorem),,,(Barrett,1999)98880023Schelling(1996)Marland(1996)Barrett(2003b2007),,,,(2002),:,,Hoel(1991)Barrett(1994),,,,,CarraroSiniscalco(1993),,,,,Barrett(1999):,200;,,,,,,,(),,,,,(self-enforceability)(profitability),:1Telser(1980),,,,,,,(Schelling,2005)2,i,,n,i=1,2,,n,Pi(S)iS,Qi(S)iSiS,i,Pi(S)Pi(),PiS,S,,,CarraroSiniscalco(1993),;09880023Congeleton(1995)(2005),,3S,:(1),iS,S,Qi(S/i)Pi(S),Qi(S/i)iS;(2),j|S,S,Pj(Sj)Qj(S)4S,iPi(S),Pi(S)Pi(S3),PiS,SAT,PS3T,iS3,T,S,S,,,,,,:,,,():,,,,,,Hirshleifer(1983),:(weakest-link),,;,(best-shot),,,,,,,198800232007(EricMaskin),BaligaMaskin(2003),,,,,,,,,,,,,,CarraroSiniscalco(1998),,():,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(cooperationforsale)(Barrett,2001),(Weikard,2005)Fuentes-AlberoRubio(2007)EyckmansFinus(2007)(issuelinkage),,,,,,,,,,,,(Sebenius,1983)15,(Charnovitz,1998)Folmer(1993)CesarDeZeeuw(1994),29880023,,Barrett(2001),,,Tolba(1998),,,Schelling(2005),,,Schelling,,,,,,,,Schelling,,,,,,,(),:,,,,,,,:,,:,;,,,,30%,8%,6%,,PosnerSunstein(2007),:,,,,,,,Barrett(2001),,39880023200710(NewEconomicFoundation),:(1974)Rawls(1972),,Schelling(1995)DasguptaMaskin(2005)Weitzman(20012007b)Dasgupta(2008),(UNDP),,,Kaul(19992003):(2007):,32(2003):,(2003):,(2002):(GPG)(),1011(2007):,(2005):,12Aldy,J.andStavins,R.ArchitecturesforAgreement:AddressingGlobalClimateChangeinthePost-KyotoWorld.Cambridge:CambridgeU2niversityPress,2007.Axelrod,R.TheEvolutionofCooperation.NewYork:BasicBooks,1984.Axelrod,R.andKeohane,R.AchievingCooperationunderAnarchy:StrategiesandInstitutions.WorldPolitics,38,1985,pp.226-254.Baliga,S.andMaskin,E.MechanismDesignfortheEnvironment,inK-G.M¾lerandJ.Vincented.,HandbookofEnvironmentalEco2nomics,Vol.1,North-Holland,2003.Barrett,S.Self-EnforcingInternationalEnvironmentalAgreements.OxfordEconomicPapers,46,1994,pp.878-894..ATheoryofFullInternationalCooperation.JournalofTheoreticalPolitics,11,1999,pp.519-541..InternationalCooperationforSale.EuropeanEconomicReview,45,2001,pp.1835-1850..Environment&Statecraft.Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress,2003a..GlobalDiseaseEradication.JournaloftheEuropeanEconomicAssociation,1,2003b,pp.591-600..WhyCooperate?TheIncentivetoSupplyGlobalPublicGoods.Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress,2007..TheIncredibleEconomicsofGeo-engineering.EnvironmentalandResourceEconomics,39,2008,pp.45-54.Carraro,C.andSiniscalco,D.StrategiesfortheInternationalProtectionoftheEnvironment.JournalofPublicEconomics,52,1993,pp.309-328..InternationalEnvironmentalAgreements:IncentivesandPoliticalEconomy.EuropeanEconomicReview,42,1998,pp.561-572.Cesar,H.andZeeuw,A.De.IssueLinkageinGlobalEnvironmentalProblems.PaperpresentedattheFEEM-IMOPworkshoponMarketStructureandEnvironmentalPolicy.Athens,January1994.Charnovitz,S.LinkingTopicsinTreaties.UniversityofPennsylvaniaJournalofInternationalEconomicLaw,19,1998,pp.329-345.Cline,W.R.TheEconomicsofGlobalWarming.Washington:InstituteforInternationalEconomics,1992.Congeleton,R.TowardaTransactionCostTheoryofEnvironmentalTreaties:SubstantiveandSymbolicEnvironmentalAgreements.EconomiadellesceltePubbliche,13,1995,pp.119-139.Dasgupta,P.DiscountingClimateChange.ReviewofEnvironmentalEconomicsandPolicy,2008,forthcoming.Dasgupta,P.andMaskin,E.UncertaintyandHyperbolicDiscounting.AmericanEconomicReview,95,2005,pp.1290-1299.Dietz,S.;Anderson,D.;Stern,N.;Taylor,C.andZenghelis,D.RightfortheRightReasons:AFinalRejoinderontheSternRe2view.WorldEconomics,8,2