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8(237)20038ResearchonFinancialandEconomicIssuesNumber8(GeneralSerialNo1237)August,2003,(,116025):,,,,:;;:F06112:A:10002176X(2003)0820087206(1986),,,,,,,,:,,,,,(1776),,(1928),1956,,,70,,80(1986)(1988),,,,,,11,,,,,,,,,,,;:2003204224:(1963-),,,,©1994-2006ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(),,,,21,(1986)(1988)(1962)(1967)(1965),,,,,R&D,,,R&D,R&D,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,/,,,,31,,,,,:,,,,,,,,,:8820038237©1994-2006ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1),:gy=a+by0,gyGDP,y0GDP(),b:,,b-1,:,,,,,b,,(1986)16,18701979,,(1988),,,,(2),,,,,,,,,,Mankiw,Romer,Weil[4]:lny3a+1-lns-1-lnn+g+),y3,s,n,g,,lnyi=a+b[lnsi-ln(ni+g+)]+i(i),g+0105,:lnyi=6178+1148[lnsi-ln(ni+0105)],0160,,,,,:lny31--lnsK+1--lnSH-+1--ln(n+g+)Mankiw,Romer,Weil(1992),:lnyi=a+b[lnSKi-ln(ni+0105)]+c[lnSHi-ln(ni+0105)]+i,SKiSHi():lnyi=7186+0173[lnSKi-ln(ni+0105)]+0167[lnSHi-ln(ni+0105)]01310128,,0178,80%,(3),,g=a+by0,SK,SHn+g+,,RobertBarro(1991):gyi=a+b1lny0i+b2lnSKi+b3lnsHi+b4ln(ni+g+)11419601985,1960GDP-1101%,,:98©1994-2006ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:1124%1128%Mankiw,Romer,Weil(1992),:lnyt-lny0(1-e-t)1--[lnSk-ln(n+g)]+(1-e-t)1-+[lnSH-ln(n+g)]-(1-e-t)lny0g0105,:lnyIt-lnyi0=2146+015[lnSKi-ln(ni+g)]+01238[lnSHi-ln(ni+g)]-01299lnyi01142%(4),,,,,,,,:,,,(socialinfras2tructure),,,,NazrulIslam,:();,,,,,,,1995,NazrulIslampaneldata,,,peneldata,,,,,paneldata,,Barro(1991)Mankiw,Romer,Weil[4],,NazrulIslam(1995),:lny(t2)=(1-e-)1-lns-(1-e-)1-ln(n+g+)+e-lny(t1)+(1-e-)lnA(0)+g(t2-e-t1)Mankiw,Romer,Weil[4],paneldata:MDLSDV,NazrulIslam:4134%4167%,,,paneldata21,,,,,,,,,[1](1957),,0920038237©1994-2006ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.=r+gK+(1-)gLgY:r,gK(1-)gL:gY=a+b1gK+b2gL+,a,b1,b2,a(TFP),,,Mankiw,Romer,Weil[4],,,Zi(i=1,2,,n),:gY=a+b1gK+b2gL+b3Z1++bn+2Zn,agK,gL,Zi(i=1,2,,n)gY,a,Zi,,,(TFP),XavierSalaIMartin[5],62,R&D,,,JohnCDougherty[6]AylwinYoung[8],,,30,,,,,,,,HallJonec[9],1998,,,,,(so2cialinfratructure),,,,(),,,,:[15];(2002);[13],,,;,[12],SylvieDmurger(2002),;[17],,,,,,,11,,,19©1994-2006ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:(1),,(2),,,,,,,!,,paneldata,,,21,,,,,,,?(socialinfratructure),,:[1]Solow,RobertM.(1956),AContributiontotheTheoryofEconomicGrowth,QuarterlyJournalofEconomics,70,65-94.[2]RomerD.(2001),AdvancedMacroeconomics2thedition.NewYork;McHraw-Hill.[3]Barro,Robert2J;Sala2i2Martin,2Xavier.(1995),Eco2nomicgrowth,AdvancedSeriesinEconomics.NewYork;LondonandMontreal:McHraw2Hill.[4]Mankiw,N.G.,RomerD.,andWeilD.N.(1992),AContributiontotheEmpiricsofEconomicHrowth,N.G.,RomerD.,andWeilD.N.(1992),AContributiontotheEmpiricsofEconomicGrowth,QuarterlyJournalofEconomics,107,407-37.[5]Sala2i2MartinXavier.(1997),IJustRanTwoMillionRegressions,AmericanEconomicReview,Vol.87(2),PP.178-183.[6]JohnCDougherty,(1991),AComprisonofProduc2tivityandEconomieGrowthintheG27C,Ph.D.the2sis,HarvardUniversity[7]NazrulIslam(1995),GrowthEmpirics:apanelDataApproach,QuarterlyJournalofEconomics,110,1127-70.[8]Young,Alwyn(1995)TheTyrannyofNumbers:Con2frontingtheStatisticalRealitiesoftheEastAsianGrowthExperience;QuarterlyJournalofEco2nomics,Augest,pp.641-679.[9]RobertE.HallandCharlesI.Jones(1999),WhyDoSomeCountriesProduceSoMuchMoreOutputperWokerYhanOthers?QuarterlyJournalofEco2nomics,vol.114(1),pp83-116.[10]Blundell,richaed;bond,stephen.(1998),initialcon2ditionsandmomentresrictionsindynamicpaneldatamodels,JournalofEconometrics;87(1),115-43.[11]WillianH.Hreene,2000EconometricAnalysis4thed.PrenticeHall,Inc.[12],1[J]1,20021[13]1[J]1,20021[14]1[J]1,20021[15]1[J]1,20011[16],1[J]1,20001[17]1[J]1,20021(:)2920038237©1994-2006ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.