苏南苏北经济差距影响因素分析

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1∗Emailhhjacky@sina.com.cn200415512.4GDP11.4%GDP20852GDP102912004GDP4296520852231131000410848GDP4.291654439061.6811251491161.3711082828333.8212347750224.671[1]∗2004:04SJD790004[2]1949[3][4]11979-2004GDP1978(%)(%)(%)(%)19798.65.3199240.218.3198013.57.6199327.19.919816.711.8199417.014.819827.213.4199514.019.8198311.013.7199610.212.2198421.613.8199711.711.5198527.57.8199812.113.019867.79.2199910.79.6198715.011.0200011.99.7198813.26.6200111.79.91989-3.41.5200213.511.4[5][6]βαtttLAKY=1tttLnLLnKLnALnYβα++=+Ut2YttAKttLttUtαβ2αβ13αβ[7]19781953251953319533LαβLnYLnKLnLY1978K1952[8]1990-20052=-2.403+0.994LnK+0.232LnLt50.2150.78572R=0.9974F=2694.122DW=1.9431352RFαtβt0.25du=1.545%DW2DWα0.994β0.2321.2260.810.1979.63%1.44%18.93%αβ0.480.5249.58%4.17%46.25%11978200481.07%53.75%28%0.810.4879.63%49.58%://://://[1][J]2002755[2][M]19998[3][M]19966[4][M]2003.7[5]2003.1[6][J]200553-6[7][J]199834131-134[8][M]1999.9ThefactoranalysisofeconomicaldisparitybetweenSouthernJiangsuandNorthernJiangsuKeHeWenxueYu(HohaiUniversity,Nanjing210098)AbstractSouthernJiangsu,thedevelopedarea,hasitseconomicallevelinthefrontrankofthecountry,whilesomeruralareasofNorthernJiangsu,thelessdevelopedarea,couldbarelyfeedandclothethemselves.ThearticleappliesthecauseanalysistoanalyzevariousfactorsthataffecttheeconomicaldisparitybetweenSouthernJiangsuandNorthernJiangsuanddesignseconometricmodeltoaccountthecontributiondegreethateachfactordoestotheeconomicalgrowth.Basedontheaboveanalysis,thearticleconcludesthemainfactorsthataffecttheeconomicaldisparitybetweenSouthernJiangsuandNorthernJiangsu.TheconclusionmayhavesomecertainmeaningbothtodrawingeconomicdevelopmentstrategyforNorthernJiangsuandtodrawingharmonioussocietydevelopmentstrategyforJiangsuprovince.Keywords:SouthernJiangsu,NorthernJiangsu,economicaldisparity,factor,analyze19821574210098

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