“三农”政策对农民收入增长的影响分析——以常州为例

上海交通大学硕士学位论文“三农”政策对农民收入增长的影响分析——以常州为例姓名：罗志勇申请学位级别：硕士专业：公共管理指导教师：胡润忠20080615MPAI2006800020079033MPAIIMPAIIIARESEARCHONTHEIMPACTOFRURALPOLICIESONTHEPEASANTS'INCOMEGROWTHTAKINGCHANGZHOUASANEXAMPLEABSTRACTCurrently,thethree-dimensionalruralissues(problemsaboutAgriculture,RuralareaandPeasantry)playastrategicroleinsafeguardingthepeaceandsafetyofourcountry,amongwhich,peasantryisthecore.Basically,thekeytosolvetheseissuesliesinincreasingtheincomeofpeopleintheruralareas,becauseitisthefundamentalintentionandgoalofthedevelopmentinagricultureandruraleconomy.Soalong-actingmechanismshouldbeestablishedtoguaranteeit.Suchmechanismcan,firstly,promotetheformationofruralmarketandstimulatethedomesticneeds.Secondly,itcanmakesurethatournationhaveacontinualandhealthydevelopmentineconomy.Thirdlyandmostimportant,itcloselyrelatestothefulfillmentofouraimtoconstructawell-offsocietyinall-round.MPAIVTakeChangzhouforexample,in2006,thepercapitanetincomeofcountrymenwasover8000Yuan,whichmeansanoverallmoderateprosperitywasimplementedinChangzhou’sruralarea.Comparingto2006,thenumberhadreachedto9033Yuanin2007,whichmeansChangzhoubegantomovepacetowardsthemodernization.Inthenextstageoftheprocess,therearemanyproblemssuchasthewayhowtoensuretheincomerise;theeffectofthegovernment’sincome-ensuringpolicyonruralpeopleaswellasthegovernment’semphasesinthefuture.Sointheviewofthethreedimensionalruralpolicy’seffectsontheincomeincreaseofruralpeople,thispaperhighlightsthreeexpectsintermsofexploringthetheory,empiricalstudyandcountermeasures.Somenewideashavebeenputforwardaboutbuildingalong-actingmechanismandmakingbeneficialpolicytoincreasetheincomeindevelopedruralareainChina.Firstly,theresearchgivestheexplanationofthebasicwaytoincreasecountrymen’sincometheoretically,afterstudyingtherelatedtheoriesandmakingreferencetothecommentsonthetheories.Thenitanalyzestheessenceofthepositiveeffectofgovernment’spoliciesaswellasthefeasibilityinhistoryandtheory.Meanwhile,ittakesthethreedimensionalruralpolicyasagoodexampletodescribetheachievementsoftheincomeincreaseinthepastthreedecadesafterReformandOpeningup.Meanwhileitalsointroducesdifferentruralpoliciesofothercountriesandtheireffects,someofwhichcanbeusedinChina.MPAVSecondly,theessaygivesanempiricalstudyoftheeffectthethreedimensionalruralpolicieshaveonthecountrymen’sever-increasingincome.Atfirst,itintroducesChangzhou’sruralbackground,theincomeconditionandthefactorswhichconstrainedtheincomeriseaswell.Thenitseparatesthecycleandprocessofincomeincreaseintosomephases.Atthesametime,byanalyzingthehistoricalstatistics,itdoestheresearchintothemainfactorswhichinfluencetheincomeriseofruralpeoplefromthestructureofincome,includingtheinfluenceofthreedimensionalruralpolicies.Finally,afteranalyzingtheproblemsemergingintheprocessofincomeincreaseinChangzhouandotherareasinChinaaswellastheempiricalstudy,anoverallideaofpromotingincomeincreaseinthehelpofthethreedimensionalruralpolicyhavebeenputforwardinthispaper.Indetail,referringtotheviewofincomesourceandtheintegrityofthepolicies’implement,therearefivecountermeasuresorsuggestionsasfollows:StabilizingtheagriculturalindustryfundamentallytomakesurethatfarmerscanhaveastableincomeincreasefromthefirstindustryPromotingtheindustrializationandurbanizationofruralareastomakesurethatthecountrymengetpaidfromtheproductionofthesecondandthirdindustryAcceleratingthepropertyincomeandtransferincome(suchaspensionsandsubsidies)ofruralpeopleinthefutureUpdatingruralpeople’sconceptintermsofimprovingthequalityofMPAVIspirituallifeEvaluatingtheeffectsofthreedimensionalpolicyonpromotingruralpeople’sincomeincreaseinquotaandregularperiodoftime.KEYWORDS:countrymen’sincomeincrease,thepublicpolicy,theeffectofthreedimensionalruralpolicyMPA2008415MPA20084152008415MPA12002:2004200520062007120042936200331412%6.8%720053255200431910.9%6.2%200611260093587200533210.2%7.4%20074140200655315.4%.[M].:2002.9.31.[M].:2004.3.1-2..[N]2005-12-31.MPA29.5%2003132090WTO2007...[J].2003.MPA3;[J]20026:10-13[J]20026:6-8.[J]20021:25-27[J],20046:12-15.[J]20049:18-19[J]20005:32-35[J]20043:35-36[J],20041:84-87MPA4MPA5(farmer)farm()farmerfarmerfarmerpeasantpeasant()farmer:66:.[J].,1994.1:127-128.MPA6=----123456..2007.MPA7MPA8MPA9MPA101954641978133.5731978133.571984355.314.8%:(19781984)19821198311984115MPA111978133.571984355.317.7%(19851988)19851301986119854.9%(19891991)198981989-0.2%,1.9%(19921996)19925.6%19968.9%1985(19972000)1997[M].2001.5.MPA124.6%,4.3%,3.8%,2.1%(20012003)20014.2%,4.8%,4.3%(20042007)200412004200512006200720042005293632556.8%6.2%20074140200655315.4%9.5%20042007MPA13():1220303197750%456.[J].20027:58-63.MPA14()1196220902199234525%:123.[J].20014:56-65..[J].,200510:123-126.MPA1550%25%25%12.5%456180%(NACF)NACF23.[J].20072:72-79.MPA16456():123100%,70%55%25%456.[J].20075:20-24.MPA17()2007GDP2500WTO()().[J].20047:24-27.MPA18()1991()MPA194375241073112342006354.7222.5142.736.535.53.263.4%2006232.17126.5730.3265.7630.49504020061569.5MPA20374354794277.333950192006104.478.952.3%61710001605000215-1200680014991128829961640740062.4%16.1%3.7%7.7%5.1%5.0%200612