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10320086GEO2INFORMATIONSCIENCEVol110,No13Jun.,2008:2007209213;:2007212215.:(06BJY002)(06JDQY00228YB):(1964-),,,,,E2mail:cec_zju@1261com1,1,2(1,310027;2,100101):()19922004,DeMello,,FDI,,,FDI,,GDPFDI,,FDI:(FDI);;;1(ForeignDirectInvest,FDI)FDI,,FDI,FDI,,FDIFDI,FDI,FDIFDI[1],FDI[2],2080[35]2090,,,,FDIFDI,Chen(1995)FDI,,FDI,[6][712][13]DeMello(1997)[2](),2DeMello(1997)[2]Ramirez(2000)[14],()2(Cobb2Douglas)(,t):Y=Af[L,Kd,E]=ALKdE(1--),Y,Kd,L,EFDI,A1,1,,E2(Cobb2Douglas):E=[L,Kd,Kf],0,FDI,0,;0,FDI,[15],;;,:Y=AL+(1--)K+(1--)dK(1--)f,tKd,tKf,t:Kd,t=Kd,t-1+Id,t-dKd,t-1=Kd,t+Id,tKf,t=Kf,t-1+If,t-fKf,t-1=Kf,t+If,t,Kj,t-1(j=df)t-1,Ij,tt,jt-1,Kj,ttt-1Kj,t,Kj,tt,(t):Y=BL+(1--)I+(1--)dI(1--)fBKd,tKf,t,:gY=gB+[+(1--)]gL+[+(1--)]gId+[(1--)]gIf,gjj=YBLIdIf00,If,FDI(1--),:yt=d0+d1lt+d2idt+d3ift+d4xt+d5cgt+t,t,,,jt=lnJt-lnJt-1,j=ylidifxcgY,l,idif,x,cg,,,,d30,d30,:yi,t=d0+d1li,t+d2idi,t+d3ifi,t+d4xi,t+d5cgi,t+d6westiidi,t+d7eastiidi,t+d8westiifi,t+d9eastiifi,t+i,t,i,t,westieasti,i,:westi=1,i0,ieasti=1,i0,iwestieastiidif,,,jit=lnJit-lnJi,t-1,j=ylidifxcgFDI,FDIFDI,FDI1533:FDI,[16]327,13(19922004)1992,199261318,,,FDI,,,,,,,,,,()(1992=1),(1992=1)19922004,,,,OLS,Ftest,OLS(FEM),LMtestOLS(REM),Hausmantest,FEMREM,Stata910,FEM4,,11998200020041992,19931994,()Tab11Regressionresultsbasedonprovincialdata(FEM)1234Constant31602266218833083174162831162999(19112)33(13120)33(21138)33(15108)33li,t-010061182-01037532010129135-010144255(-0121)(-1136)-0149(-0155)[-010057481][-010386868][010143077][-01014366]idi,t011580428011448785010838933010826476(12115)33(11150)33(5141)33(5151)33[011755837][011609018][010934826][010920602]ifi,t010787606010691115010683234010621098(9168)33(8172)33(8195)33(8127)3325320081234[011824395][011603299][011581609][011439904]xi,t010931626010726596(5178)33(4168)33[011483201][011155998]cgi,t011980186011749777(7155)33(6177)33[011729417][011527586]Ftest8718933761863368116335915333LMtest43316833501126333441303341315633Hausmantest1091196331450172336651923321417333FEMFEMFEMFEM347347347347R2017902017197018978018505F18811233163189331771653315519733:11Stata910;21t,;313331%5%1017902017197018978018505,,P010000,idi,tifi,txi,tcgi,tyi,tifi,t:FDIGDPtifi,t01000;ifi,t99%[010576706,010998507],[010485612,010896679],[010485289,010881178],[010426365,010815831])GDPFDIFDI,,,ifi,t(1),(2)(3)(4),FDIGDP,GDPxi,tcgi,t,t1%GDP,FDIGDP,westieastiifi,tidi,t,22li,t,idi,tifi,txi,tcgi,tyi,tifi,t,1,tifi,t1%,ifi,tFDIGDPwestiifi,t,t1%,GDPFDIeastiifi,t,,,GDPFDI3533:2()Tab12Regressionresultswiththeregionalvariables(FEM)5678Constant31470767217764263162784831032099(19115)33(13108)33(21131)33(14183)33li,t010061755-01030716501021111-010113955(-0123)(-1115)(-0183)(-0145)idi,t011218197011222455010611073010676848(5184)33(6114)33(2188)33(3130)33ifi,t011204436011220034011093376011117376(7184)33(8132)33(7159)33(8104)33xi,t010966542010802787(5163)33(4190)33cgi,t011906985011624641(7109)33(6153)33westtidi,t010642825010517462010561935010465832(2145)3(2106)3(2130)3(1197)3eastiidi,t-010057452-010233201-010097921-010236436(-0121)(-0190)(-0139)(-0197)westiifi,t-010853579-010923448-010775232-010841058(-4158)33(-5119)33(-4146)33(-5100)33eastiifi,t010191504-01019201201006897-010233793(-0185)(-0185)(-0133)(-1110)Ftest9515633731773372183335416333LMtest48318633325160333741073320610133Hausmantest65816933647107336611943366014733FEMFEMFEMFEM347347347347R2016647016004018779016334F94174339510133100152339816433:11Stata910;21t;313331%5%5:(1)DeMello19922004,FDIGDP,FDIGDP,1992,FDIGDP;,,,(2),GDPFDI,FDI,,FDI,GDPFDI,FDI,4532008,,,FDI,,,FDI,,,FDI,,FDI(,FDI),FDI,FDIGDP,(),,FDI(),:[1]VNBalasubramanyam,MSalisu,DavidSapsford.For2eigndirectInvestmentandgrowthinEPandIScountries.TheEconomicJournal,1996,106(434):92105.[2]LuizRDeMelloJr.Foreigndirectinvestmentindevelo2pingcountriesandgrowth:Aselectivesurvey.TheJour2nalofDevelopmentStudies,1997,34(1):134.[3]GlennFirebaugh.Growtheffectsofforeignanddomesticinvestment.TheAmericanJournalofSociology,1992,98(1):105130.[4]EBorensztein,JDeGregorio,J2WLee.Howdoesforeigndirectinvestmentaffecteconomicgrowth.JournalofInter2nationalEconomics,1998,45(1):115135.[5]XiaoyingLi.ForeigndirectInvestmentandeconomicgrowth:Anincreasinglyendogenousrelationship.WorldDevelopment,2004,33(3):393407.[6]ChungChen,LawrenceChang,YiminZhang.TheroleofforeigndirectinvestmentinChinaspost21978economicdevelopment.WorldDevelopment,1995,23(4):691703.[7]..,1999,(3):36,23.[8]..,2002,(4):1926.[9],..,2003,(8):136137.[10],..,2002,(6):2026.[11].FDI:.,2005,(9):6369.[12]PYaBaklano.Indicators,Criteriaandlimitationsofre2gionalsustainabledevelopment.,2007,9(2):3539,45.[13],,..2006,(12):3546.[14]MiguelDRamirez.ForeigndirectinvestmentinMexico:Acointegrationanalysis.TheJournalofDevelopmentStudies,2000,37(1):138162.[15]BarryPBosworth,SusanMCollins,CarmenMRein2hart.CapitalFlowstoDevelopingEconomies:Implica2tionsforSavingandInvestment.BrookingsPapersonE2conomicActivity,1999,1:143180.[16],..,2002,(3):68.5533:ForeignDirectInvestmentandEconomicGrowth:theEvidencefromtheProvincialandRegio