技术进步与经济增长的实证分析及其财税政策

11(228)200211ResearchonFinancialandEconomicIssuesNumber11(GeneralSerialNo1228)Nevember,2002(,100836):(CD),20,,,,,:;;:F81012:A:10002176X(2002)11200532071120,,,,,1928(P1H1Donglas),1957(R1M1Solow),,,(CD)(),(CD),:Y=ALK(1),L;K;(1),CDCD,:Y=AemtLK(2),e;t;(1),,,m,,,:2002208226(:99bjy058):(1964-),,,©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.m(),+=1,,(2),:dYY=mdt+dLL+dkk(3)(3),dt=1,:m=YY-LL-KK(4)(4),,YY,;LL;KK;m()EAELBK,:EA=m/YY;EL=LL/YY;EK=KK/YY(5)(5),,,(5)EA+EL+EK=1,:EA=1-(EL+EK)(6),,,:EA=mr(7),m,r,m=nYnY0-nLnL0-nKnK0(8),YnLnKn;Y0L0K021,19792000,,(4),,,(5)EA+EL+EK,(1),,(CD),,,,1TSP65,:Y=010048L01477K01523(-016455)(113928)(131839)R2=019931,DW=016962,F=1231177(DW)(2)45200211228©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.1GDP(19792000)GDP(Y)()(L)()(K)()1979407340152930198045514236194519814901437259611982548945295123019836076464341430198471644819718321985879249873254319861013251282301919871178452783364019881470454334449619891646655329413719901831964680444919912128065590550819922568366380785519933450067240124571994471106809016370199559404689101944519966936668850229741997762596960024941199881003699572845719998206770586298542000894037115032917:2001,2mEAELEK198001078010452015769013179011052198101071010233010328012150017522198201107-010171-011598011560110038198301096010112011167011242017591198401152010199011309011161017530198501135-010289-012141011307113448198601132010371010281010976016213198701116010371012811011151017711198801113010132011138011224018148198901041010071010628012094-0110972199001038010074118878118201019614199101092-010677-117815010726110915199201114-010151-011641010502113673199301135-010476-014681010045114636199401126-010223-010293010454019839199501108-010037012064010529011535199601096010157011635-01004901841419970108801041401470501059601469919980107801012901165401030601804019990107401021801175901046301777820000107801020301159401039701800955©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.31,,19792000,9163%,197920002178%:(7),28157%,1956,80%;,207060%;2/3,,,1/2,80,35%,2,,,905,,,60%,,,90,,,,,,,,,11,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(2000):(1),,,,,,,,,(2),,,,,,,65200211228©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.,,,,,,,,,,,21,(1),,,,,,(2),,,,,,,,,,:,200040%,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,;,,3%,,,,31(1),,,,,75©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.,,,,,?,,,,,(13%),,,,,,,,,,1000,10,,65%,3545%35%20%(2),,1015,,,;,(3),,;:,;,,,,,,800,,,,,,,,,,,,20%30%50%,85200211228©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.,,,,,,,,,,:;,,,,,,,,,,(4),:,,,(),,5%215%:[1][]LM1:()[M]1:,19941[2],,1[M]1:,20001[3],1[J]1,2001,(6)1[4]1[J]1,2000,(2)1PositiveAnalysisonTechnicalProgressandEconomicGrowthandtheRelatedFiscalandtaxPolicyXIAJie2chang(InstituteofFinanceandTrade,ChineseAcademyofSocialSciences,Beijing100836,China)Abstract:UsingtheC2DProductionfunctionandtherelatedmodel,themakesaquantitativeanalysisontheroleplayedbytechnicaladvancesinChinapseconomicgrowthoverthepast20years.TheresultshowsthattherearerelativelygreatgapsinthecontributionquotaoftechnicalprogresstoeconomicgrowthbetweenChinaanddevelopedcountries.Therefore,effectivepolicymeasuresincludingtaxpolicy,shouldbetakentopromoteeconomicgrowth.Keywords:technicaladvances;economicgrowth;taxpolicy(:)95©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.