1151008712McConnelMuscarella(1985)3---(1)(2)2456)log()log(1--=itititPPritP1-itP3Pitt-178iaibitmtiiitrreba++=…………itrmtriaibmtiiititrrarba--=9………………∑==NiittarNaar11……tttaarcarcaraarcar+==---13030,……tcar∑--=-=3160)(301ˆtmtitirrm……itrmtr10imˆimtititrrarmˆ--=………………∑==NiittarNaar11……tttaarcarcaraarcar+==---13030,……tcar1itcar2itcar21itiiitcarcarba+=…………iaib112R21itiiitcarcarba+≈1itcar2itcar4SASEXCEL5(2000)12CARtCARttCARt—13—6[3]14—15t:z:1%,2.7;1%,2.4;5%,2.0;5%,1.8;10%1.6NSRRtca11)(+-=aRcRSN7McConnelMuscarella198516rrNNrPz)1()(--=PrN17121831920102122—‘’‘’‘’‘’‘’‘’‘’—‘’