Chapter5Statisticalindexnumber

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StatisticsinPracticeSTATStatisticsinPracticeCoupleofyearsago,afilmcalledDon’tbothermeafterdivorcedbecamequitefamous,bothwiththetopicandacting.InJan.2003,therewasanewsonthesocialnewspageofanewspaper,whichtitledStillgettoyouafterdivorced.Thenewswasabouttherisingfeeofasingle-parentchildreninadivorcefamily.Inthenews,Mr.FuandMs.ZhangdivorcedinNov.1986.Afterthedivorce,thechildwastolivewiththemother.Thefatherwasjudgedtopayaalimonyof17Yuaneverymonth.Butafterwards,becauseoftheinflation,thelifeoftheplaintiffgetsharder.Hencethrough4suitsin1990,1994,1995and1996,thealimonywasrisento30,50,70and90Yuan.Fromastatisticalpointofview,whatmethoddidthejudgeusedwhenredeterminingthealimony?StatisticsinPracticeSTATToday,notonlyalimonyfordivorcedcouples,butalsopensionfortheretired;thedeterminationofcorruption;thestandardofsocialsecuritysubsidy;thestartingpointofpersonalincometaxandthepaymentofdebtsareusingthemethodsofindexation.Throughthelearningofthischapter,wecanunderstandthemeaningandthecalculationofstatisticalindices,andthewayofexplainingthequantitieschangesineconomicproblemswiththemethodofindexanalysis.0204060801001201401978198519901995199719992001RPI(%)CPI(%)Chapter5StatisticalindexSTATKeypoints1.Theconceptsandtypesofindexnumbers(P723);2.Thecompilingofindexnumbers;3.Theindexsystemsandfactoranalysis;4.Someindexnumbersinpractice。Difficulties1.Theprinciplesinthemakingqualitativeindex(质量指标指数)andquantitativeindex(数量指标指数);2.Thedifferencebetweenaggregativeindexnumber(总指数),meanindex(平均数指数)andindexnumbersofaverageindicator(平均指标指数).Chapter5StatisticalindexSTATSection1Theconceptsandtypesofindex1.Theconceptsofindexnumbers(P723)1)Theoriginofindexnumber:AstatisticalanalysismethodfirstdevelopedbyanEnglishmannamedRiceVoughanin1650.[Example]17091710Breadprice:1penny/piece1.21.2/1=120%2)Indexnumberinbroadsense(广义指数):Therelativenumbersthatshowsthenumericchangesofphenomenon.(1)Initially“Dynamicchange”;(2)Afterwards“Spacechange”;ABPopulation(2005)10080100/80=125%Chapter5StatisticalindexSTAT3)Indexnumberinnarrowsense:Therelativenumbersthatshowsthenumericchangesofthepopulationofcomplexphenomenon.Salesofastore:Q0(2003)Q1(2004)TV(set)12000150001.5/1.2=125%Slipper(pair)50000400004/5=80%Robust(bottle)20000030000030/20=150%(1)QuantityIndicator(sales)(2)Changes:BaseperiodReportperiod;(3)RelativenumberDevelopmentspeed:Toreflectthedirectionanddegreeofthenumericchangesofphenomenon.01Populationqq01Elementqq%11.1352052.13045.1Chapter5StatisticalindexSTAT2.Typesofindexnumbers1)Basedontherange(1)IndividualIndex(个体指数)onsoandGroceryetc.Wheat,etcrice,Jing1.2p,1p:2No.45q50,q:1No.riceXianRiceRefinedCoarseGrainFood1010indexpricesale%12012.101IndividualppkpqkindexquantitysaleIndividual01qq%905045Chapter5StatisticalindexSTAT(2)Totalindexnumber(总体指数→总指数)※quantitysaleofnumberindex01TotalqqKq(3)Classindexnumber(类指数)Populationofatypeofphenomenon[Example]ThesalesofashoppingmallPriceSalequantityTypesofitemsp0p1q0q1GreaseFruitsBeverageCosmetics2.22.00.6525.01.61.80.7226.54520556050305059pricesaleofnumberindex01TotalppKpChapter5StatisticalindexSTAT2)Basedonthetypeofindicator※(1)Quantitativeindex(数量指标指数)q0101TotalIndividualqqKqqkqq0101TotalIndividualppKppkpp(2)Qualitativeindex(质量指标指数)p3)Basedonthedifferenttimeandstatus.(1)Dynamicindex(动态指数)Developmentspeed;(2)Staticindex(静态指数)PChina/PU.S=4Yuan/dollar=PPP.4)Basedonthecalculationmethod,TotalindexnumberAggregateindexnumber(综合指数),meanindexnumber(平均数指数).Chapter5StatisticalindexSTATSection2Aggregateindexnumbers※1.Definition:Firstaggregate,thencompareTotalindexnumber.2.Making(P723)1)Totalchangeindexnumber(总变动指数);2)Quantitativeindex(数量指标指数);3)Qualitativeindex(质量指标指数);[Example]3kindofitemsinasupermarket.PriceQuantityItemp0p1q0q1kp=p1/p0(%)kq=q1/q0(%)OnionTomatoPotato2.22.00.651.61.80.7245205550305072.7390110.77111.1115090.91Chapter5StatisticalindexSTAT(1)Thetotaldegreeandthesumofchangeofsalesofthesethreegoods;[Analysis]Changeofthesalesof1item:p0q0p1q1;Changeofthesalesof3items:p0q0p1q1;[Example]3kindofitemsinasupermarket.Itemp0p1q0q1kp(%)kq(%)OnionTomatoPotato2.22.00.651.61.80.7245205550305072.7390110.77111.1115090.91pqKqpqp0011changeofDegreepqqpqp0011changeofSumChapter5StatisticalindexSTAT3.Totalchangeindexnumber(总变动指数)75.475.1741700011qpqppq[Example]3kindofitemsinasupermarket:Itemp0p1q0q1kp(%)kq(%)OnionTomatoPotato2.22.00.651.61.80.7245205550305072.7390110.77111.1115090.91Calculatethetotaldegreeandthesumofchangeofsalesforthe3goods.indextotalSalesMethod:Firstaggregate,thencompareAggregativeindexnumber(compositeindex,综合指数).pqK0011qpqp%28.9775.174170Chapter5StatisticalindexSTAT(2)Calculatethedegreeofchangesofsalequantityforthe3goodsandthesuminfluencedbythosechanges.[Analysis]Sales(pq)=Salequantity(q)saleprice(p)Thechangeofsalequantityforthe3goods:q0q1;qofchangetheofbecausepqofchangeTheinfluencedSumqKqq01changeofDegree[Example]3kindofitemsinasupermarket:Itemp0p1q0q1kp(%)kq(%)OnionTomatoPotato2.22.00.651.61.80.7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