美国关于气候变化对国家安全影响的研究述评

(3):1451501673-1719(2009)03-0145-062007IPCC2008-10-302008-12-2401JB8100051966E-mail:[e-mail]467/D815A2070120031010200422005200745320095ADVANCESINCLIMATECHANGERESEARCHVol.5No.3May2009(3):145150146200920071120071120086162008JoshuaW.Busby220a2.83.3202020a342007IPCC3IPCC(3):1451505IPCC3100a62090720a2030203147(3):1451501482009IPCC581)2)3)4)5)6)7)4442008IdeanSalehyan910(3):1451503149IPCC200311(3):1451501502009ClimateChangeandNationalSecurity:AReviewofCurrentResearchintheUnitedStatesAbstract:TherecentyearssawrapidprogressintheresearchoftheimpactofclimatechangeonnationalsecurityintheUnitedStates.ThearticleaimstoprovideageneralassessmentofthecurrentstatusandthemajorcharacteristicsofU.S.researchoftheimpactofclimatechangeonnationalsecurityandtoanalyzewhatexperiencewecanlearnfromtheUnitedStates.TheauthorarguesthatsofarinwhatwaysandtowhatextentclimatechangewouldinfluenceU.S.nationalsecurityhasbeenfullydiscussedintheUnitedStates;andtherehavealsobeenrichstudiesofthecountermeasuresagainstthethreatofclimatechangetoU.S.nationalsecurity.ThemajorfeaturesofcurrentU.S.researchare:first,therearesomeinnovationsintermsoftheoriesandresearchmethods.Second,theresearchboastsglobalvisionandstrongrelevancetoU.S.nationalsecurity.Third,theacademiclevelisimprovedsteadily.Forth,thenetworkofgovernment,academiaandthinktankshastakenshapeinU.S.currentresearch.Currently,thesimilarresearchinChinaisstillinitsinfancy.TopromoteChina’sresearchoftheimpactofclimatechangeonnationalsecurity,weshoulddrawsomeusefulexperiencefromtheU.S.practices.Keywords:theUnitedStates;climatechange;nationalsecurity;reviewZhangHaibin(SchoolofInternationalStudies,PekingUniversity,Beijing100871,China)[4][5][6][3][1].[J].,2008(2):143SchwartzP,RandallD.AnAbruptClimateChangeScenarioandItsImplicationsforUnitedStatesNationalSecurity[R/OL].October2003[2008-06-12].=26231&url=/UploadDocumentDisplayServlet.srv?id=28566.2010[N].,2004-07-07(B3)TheCNACorporation.NationalSecurityandtheThreatofClimateChange[R/OL].April2007[2008-07-12].:TheForeignPolicyandNationalSecurityImplicationsofGlobalClimateChange[R/OL].November2007[2008-08-10].[2]BusbyJW.ClimateChangeandNationalSecurity:AnAgendaforAction[R].CouncilSpecialReports,2007,32:135FingarT.NationalIntelligenceAssessmentontheNationalSecurityImplicationsofGlobalClimateChangeto2030[R/OL].[2008-09-02].[J].SecurityStudies,2008,17(3):468504SalehyanI.Fromclimatechangetoconflict?noconsensusyet[J].JournalofPeaceResearch,2008,45(3):315326ParisR.Humansecurity:paradigmshiftorhotair?[C]//BrownME,CoteOR,Jr.NewGlobalDangers:ChangingDimensionsofInternationalSecurity.London:TheMITPress,2004:260HollandS.Obamasaysclimatechangeamatterofnationalsecurity[EB/OL].Reuters,Dec9,2008[2008-12-18].[7][8][9][10][11]