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31420098GuangdongMeteorologyVol.31No.4August2009:2009-04-09:(1964),,,,doi:10.3969/j.issn.1007-6190.2009.04.004,(,510800):,,,;;,,;;:;;:P45:B:1007-6190(2009)04-0011-04,,,,1/3,70%,10,,,TAF()TREND();SIGMET()AIRMET()GAMET(),,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,[1-5],[6-8],,,[9],119815,542,5999;193820,60;7000(FAA)4121170748:CCFP;CIWS;TDA;ITWS1)CCFPCCFP(CollaborativeConvectiveForecastProduct,),CCFP,311031,04:0008:00,03:0007:00,1126hCCFP,,246h,30minCCFP:3000km2;25%40dBz;25%FL250(25000ft;1ft()=013048m,);25%(1)1TOPS,,25%3:FL250-FL310(2500031000ft)FL310-FL370(3100037000ft)FL370(37000ft)GWTH,,4:()-,NC,+,++CONF,CCFP,CVRG,3:LOWMEDIUMHIGH1(:CCEP;:CIWSRAPT):CCFP,,02h,CCFP2)CIWSCIWS(CorridorIntegratedWeatherSystem,),CIWS02h,,2h,,,15120minCIWS(),30min60%,30min90%,,CIWS:(a)ASR-9()30s1,;(b);(c);(d)TDWR(,)20032005,CIWS,CI2WS,,,CIWS,,CIWSRAPT(RouteAvaila2bilityPlanningTool,)(1),,1,;,,,EWRJ80J6J75323:2000:0040min;,,,CIWS(NEXT-GEN)SWIM(SystemWideInformationManagement),CIWS,3)TDASTDAS(TacticalDecisionAidsSystem,),[9]2003FAA(TMU)TDA3:TDATDA()()TDA(),TDA2131,,TDA()()TDA,TDA(),,()4)ITWSITWS(IntegratedTerminalWeatherSystem,):NEXRAD()TDWRASOS/AWOS()ASR-9LLWAS()Lightning()Aircraft()ITWS20min20min60min,2TAFTAF,2TAF:,TAF3h,VFR(,)2500ft,MVFR(,)10002400ft,IFR(,)1000ft,ALT/LDG(/);36h,;TAF;,;,CYVR2TAF2-,,,,CAP;60010002000ft;,,/,,3FLYSAFEFLYSAFE,,20201436200521,4FLYSAFE()()3,-,,,,2080%4,:1);2);3);4);5);6);7)(19)314:2.4se608:00se(),-,850500hPa,700hPa850700hPase814,850500hPase318,700500hPa,,,,,31),,,,,,,2)3),,,,,:[1],.[J].,2001,23(2):16-18.[2],,.05.6[J].,2006,28(1):39-42.[3],,,.[J].,2007,29(2):32-35.[4],,.20056[J].,2006,27(2):1-4.[5].6.23[J].,2006,27(1):17-19.[6].05.6[J].,2006,27(3):22-25.[7].[J].,2004,26(1):13-15.[8],,.[J].,2004,26(3):11-12.[9],,,.[J].,2006,28(1):51-53.[10],,.[J].,2006,28(2):26-29.[11],.[J].,2003,25(2):21-23.[12].2007[J].,2008,30(1):53-55.[13],.[J].,2008,30(1):50-52.[14],,,.20056[J].,2006,32(3):78-85.[15]..,1981,39(3):257-266.(13):[1].[J].,1997,19(3):42-44.[2].[J].,1999,21(2):45-47.[3],,.[J].,2002,24(1):12-13.[4],.[J].,2008(3):47-48.[5].[J].,2003,23(4):43-45.[6],.[J].,1999,21(4):26-27.[7].[J].,2001,21(4):2.[8],.[J].,2006(11):37-39.[9].[J].,2008,93(9):17-19.OutlookofInternationalAeronauticalMeteorologicalForecastHUJia-mei,LIPing(MeteorologicalCenterofMiddle&SouthRegionalAirTrafficManagementBureauofCAAC,Guangzhou510800,China)Abstract:Byreviewsonthestateoftheartinaeronauticalmeteorologicalforecastingproducts,therecentadvancementsofaeronauticalmeteorologicalservicesinUSA,CanadaandEuropearesummarized.Itisthetrendthat,forecastwillbepreparedinsemi-automaticorevenfull-automaticways,andbedistributedmoreviaWEBandmoreinavarietyofgraphicalforms.Prob2abilisticforecastbecomesmorepopular.Personalizedforecastingservicesaretailoredtodifferentcustomers,throughcollabora2tivedecisionmakingbasedonaunifiedsetofproducts.Theforecastingproductswillfinallybeintegratedintotheoperationalsystemsofaviationcustomersasadecision-makingtool.Keywords:aeronauticalmeteorology;forecastingproducts;summary914:20086