中国__东盟自由贸易区背景下的广西边境贸易发展研究

中南民族大学硕士学位论文中国——东盟自由贸易区背景下的广西边境贸易发展研究姓名：何莉环申请学位级别：硕士专业：中国少数民族经济指导教师：沈道权20080601I:;;;IIAbstractTheemergenceanddevelopmentofbordertradeisaninevitablephenomenonwhenhistoryofhumansocietydevelopmenttoacertainstage.Yearsofpracticehasprovedthatundertheconditionsoftheclosureofborderbetweencountries,bordertradeasawindowofborderregionopeningtotheoutsideworldhasbeenalwaysplayinganimportantrolenotonlyinthehistorybutalsotoday.However,wemeetsomenewsituationontheissuesofhowtodevelopbordertradeatpresent.Thatishowtodevelopmentthebordertradewithintheorganizationofregionaleconomicintegration.Ultimately,thatis,howtodevelopthebordertradeundertheconditionsofborderopen.TheissueofGuangxibordertrade’sdevelopmentistheaboveproblem’sextensionandrepresentationinourcountryonthebackgroundoftheChina-ASEANFreeTradeArea(CAFTA).Onthistheme,thepapergoesfromthetheoreticalresearchonthebordertradeandregionaleconomicintegration.ItusesthescientificmethodofmeasuringtostudythestatusofGuangxi'sbordertradeandanalyzethereasonforitsrapidgrowthinrecentyears.Fromwhich,weknowthatCAFTAisamajorreasoncausedtherecentrapiddevelopmentofbordertradeinGuangxi.Andthen,thepaperfocusesontheimpactofCAFTAtotheGuangxibordertrade.Afterwards,itfocusonthreeaspectstoresearchwhetherpositiveornegativeimpactsareonthedominantstatusWhichisregionaleconomicintegrationtheory,experienceofthebordertradedevelopmentwithintheorganizationofregionaleconomicintegration,andthecurrentsituationofbordertradeinGuangxi.Atlast,weCometotheconclusionthat:Judgingfromtherecentsituations,CAFTAispromotingapositiveroleonGuangxi'sbordertrade;Inthelongrun,howmuchimpetusCAFTAplayontheGuangxi’sbordertradeandbordereconomicstillneedstodofurtherobservationandresearch.Atthesametime,thispaperoverthrowsthecurrentideagenerallyholdbypeoplethatTheestablishmentofCAFTAwillcausethelosingoftheGuangxibordertrade’scompetitiveedge,bordertrade’sprospectsshouldnotbeoptimistic.ForthenextstepIIIinthedevelopmentofbordertradeinGuangxi,thepaperregardsthatwemustpushthedevelopmentofGuangxibordertradetothedegreeofregionaleconomicintegration,whichiscombinetheGuangxibordertradewiththeconstructionanddevelopmentofCAFTA.Otherwise,Usingavarietyofbilateralregionaleconomiccooperationmechanismstojointlybuildaharmoniousbordereconomiczone.Finally,thepapergivessomecorrespondingcountermeasures.KeyWords:Regionaleconomicintegration;China-ASEANFreeTradeArea;Bordertrade;1______2147%22010CAFTAWTO310+1WTOCAFTAWTOWTOWTOCAFTAWTOCAFTAWTOWTOCAFTAWTOCAFTACAFTACAFTA41Ratti1AndersonandDowd232HenkHoutum1RattiR.SpatialandEconomicEffectsofFrontiersOverviewofTraditionalandNewApproachesandTheoriesofBorderAreaDevelopmentin:RattiandReichman,TheoryandpracticeofTransborderCooperation,VerlagHebing&Lichtenhahn,BaselandFrankfurtMain1993:23-25.2Anderson,JandLO’Dowd.Bordersregionsandterritorially:contradictorymeaningschangingsignificance.RegionalStudies1999(7):593-604.3...20056.54Brocker1/6McCallum20%Nitsch1980564HenkVanHoutum.Borderdistancesandspaces,PresentedatthecongressoftheEuropeanRegionalScienceAssociation.1999DublinIreland..5NitschV,Nationalborderandinternationaltrade.evidencefromtheEuropeanUnion,CanadianJournalofEconomics2000,22:1091-1105.63.67,8920057FujitaM:KrugmanP,VenablesA.ThespatialEconomy:Citiesregionsandinternationaltrade,TheMITPressCambridgeMassachusetts,1999.8HansonG.H:Integrationandthelocationofactivitieseconomicintegration,intraindustrytradeandfrontierregions,EuropeanEconomicReview,1996,40:94-949.9VenablesA.JEquilibrumLocationofVerticallyLinkedIndustries,InternationalEconomicReview,1996,37:341-359.710112004121310..200517-20.11..2005121-123.12...20046.814SWOT10+115WTOWTO1613..2006213.14...20066.15...2005,6.16.WTO..20063.9151718198412151917.19791035.18..1980462.19...1991369-370.10199622020199621984121520...1996411.111.120220341230002.123DAF139142000151.1162.12.1ABCAASADABCPBPCBCPCPBPAABCtBCAPB+tPC+tPB+tPAPC+tBAABCAPC+tOQ1OQ2CQ1Q2ABtPAPC+tPBACBAPBAOQ3OQ4BQ3Q4AQ1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q1Q2Q4Q1Q2CBQ1Q22Aa+b+c+daAc+eAa+b+c+d-a-c+e=b+dPOQPAPBPCSADAacPB+tPC+tQ1Q3Q2Q4eHGbdEF17-eBCBBCCAB212.222321..2000133-134.2222135.23..200012.18242524..200640-43.25..200514.192620041WTOGATT293197147WTO100401.1958199311262534-37.20EU2004102925254304.5GDP1040%272.2090199411NAFTA3.721307.610200328CAFTA10“101”1.2725111-113.2825126-128.212060-8061010302920009101—200111102002114102010——2.1995200215200378242.9200411—2006600200429..200439-41.2220054201020002005720—70002010—48550.9540.322303.12201060%20150%20180%WTO30-:—1821.210CAFTACAFTA3129.24252612345321Q=ALªK1-ª23322131.2745281883188420403019781.197819921978801984122.19931994293.19953.13.11997200610200220%200320043.1199719981999200020012002200320042005200630.9127.6633.937.439.5248.6166.5671.982122.59%6.6-0.622.611.85.6720.334.61421.349.51998-2007303.11997-2006-3003060901201501998-20072000200051.5%200473.6%20045.5455%200633199277.1%199333.10.2007121.%199719981999200020012002200320042005200631200231.3%2002GDP9%3.2200769[2007]432006WTO163.2%19971998199920002001200220032004200520069.010.18.37.2