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29220094()JOURNALOFHUIZHOUUNIVERSITYVol1291No12Apr12009:2008-04-07:(1975-),,,,(1952-),,,,,,,(,510642):,,,,,:;;;:F72:A:1671-5934(2009)02-0038-04,2007GDPGDP1215%,19;4033,,1991-2007,314%613%610%1817%,,,1.,,,[1],1%,GDP01761%,[2]GDP,551,[3],,[4]2.,,,,[5],,,[6],[7],,,,[8],,,1.,,,GDPJSPT,:GDP=f(JS)JS=f(PT)2::(1)GDPPTJSPT,,;(2),2.GDP,1GDP(1991-2007)1GDP199118931303121194411210691488741641992244715461392480174135316611271081993346912810143300916616671081342158199446191029159557413630721952501141199559331051216063261543584150274210419966834197131116739116392714528111711997777415319160777111145441563226155199885301882418180921244825157326616619999250168341458464177499112734731502000107411254812110007173592916940781042001120391255319710486132631916441661672002135021426814513137109771317554231342003158441648015716474162977910366951602004188641625712720306163120531718252191200522366154112147239291571434116595871922006262041471071032702317316270128107531452007310841401321842950415718004197114991591.,ADF,,Eviews31123ADF2VariableTestTypeADFADFTestStatisticCriticalValue1%5%10%ConclusionLn(GDP)(C,T,3)-41001133-416193-317119-312964Ln(JS)(C,T,0)-317282333-416712-317347-313086Ln(PT)(C,T,2)-41785233-418025-317921-313393GP(C,F,1)-31488633-318572-310400-216608JP(C,F,1)-31208633-410113-311003-216927Granger3NullHypothesisLagsFF-StatisticPProbabilityConclusionLn(PT)doesnotGrangerCauseLn(JS)1413960010562RejectLn(JS)doesnotGrangerCauseLn(PT)1118223012001AcceptLn(PT)doesnotGrangerCauseLn(GDP)2217267010999RejectLn(GDP)doesnotGrangerCauseLn(PT)2111380013484Accept2,Ln(GDP)Ln(JS)Ln(PT)5%10%5%,Ln(GDP)Ln(PT)Ln(JS)Ln(PT)()5%,Ln(GDP)Ln(PT)Ln(JS)Ln(PT),3,10%,Granger(,),,Ln(JS)=C0+C1Ln(PT)+C293()200929Ln(JS(-1))+Ln(GDP)=C0+C1Ln(JS)+C2Ln(GDP(-1))+,(),19912007,(PT)(PTIM)(PTEX)4:4C0C1C2C0C1C2PTJSPTEXJSPTIMJS-711668010043010790t=-111450314395012376R2=019170F=71177-518755010072010527t=-019956315590011794R2=019197F=74140-818819010106011120t=-1129023122390136710R2=019119F=67124JSGDP1416865112479111642010054t=0106010110451710703010090R2=019972F=23381330101324,R2F,:(1),,,(2)010054010090010132,1%,,:010054%010090%010132%(3),,2.,,:(1)(Learning-by-doing)(200294185%),1992-20023147309,1%26%,,(2),200,,(3),(/-1),1989-1994,20%,1994,200152%,1995491642005394125,(4),,,,,,,,,010054010090010132,042:,(1),,,,(2),(3),,(4),,;,,:,2919%,6115%,713%113%11991,1991-20072GPJPGDPPTJSPT;(TestType)CTtTT,TF;3333331%5%10%,3GDPJS:[1],.[J].,2002(5):6-7.[2],.[J].,2005,21(2):69-72.[3].[D].,2006:17-21.[4].[J].,2007(1):171-172.[5],,.[J].,2007(15):13-17.[6],,.[J].,2005(6):26-31.[7].[J].:,2007(4):106-109.[8].:[J].,2005(9):58-60.:StudyonTechnicalProgressEffectofProcessingTradeforEconomicGrowthinGuangdongProvinceLEIFu2gui,ZHANGYue2heng(CollegeofEconomicsandManagement,SouthChinaAgriculturalUniversity,Guangzhou510642,GuangdongChina)Abstract:ThispaperstudiesthetechnicalprogresseffectofprocessingtradeoneconomicgrowthinGuangdongprovincebywayofem2piricalandmeasurementresearch.Itshowsthattheeffectispositive.Processingtradecanboosttechnicalprogressandpromoteeco2nomicgrowth,andthetechnicaleffectofprocessingtradeimportismoreobviousthanthatofexport.Keywords:processingtrade;technologicprogress;economicgrowth;empiricalresearch14