IMS2009-XXXX中国医药市场分析

IMSMarketPrognosis2009-2013ASIA/AUSTRALIACHINA©2009IMSHealthIncorporatedoritsaffiliates.Allrightsreserved.IMSMarketPrognosisAsia/AustraliaChina2009IMSHEALTH7HarewoodAvenueLondonNW16JB,UKTel:[phone],Fax:+44(0)[e-mail]’sowndirectbenefitanduseonly,andmaynotbecopiedordivulgedtoanyotherparty.Whilsteverypossiblecarehasbeentakeninthepreparationofthisinformation,thepublishersdonotholdthemselvesresponsibleforanyexpressionsofopinionorerrororomission,oranyactionresultingtherefrom.©2009IMSHealthIncorporatedoritsaffiliates.Allrightsreserved.Published:March2009IMSMarketPrognosisAsia/AustraliaChina2009TableofContentsMARKETSYNOPSIS................................................................................................1 FORECASTSUMMARY.............................................................................................3 MARKETFORECAST..............................................................................3 THERAPEUTICCLASSFORECASTS..........................................................5 BUSINESSENVIRONMENT.....................................................................................6 ECONOMICENVIRONMENT..............................................................................6 ECONOMICGROWTH............................................................................6 INFLATION..........................................................................................6 POPULATION,EMPLOYMENTANDINCOMES.............................................6 FISCALPOLICY....................................................................................7 MONETARYPOLICY...............................................................................7 FOREIGNTRADEANDCURRENTACCOUNT..............................................7 EXCHANGERATE..................................................................................7 POLITICALENVIRONMENT..............................................................................9 POLITICALINSTITUTIONS.....................................................................9 CURRENTGOVERNMENT.......................................................................9 OLYMPICGAMES................................................................................10 DEMONSTRATIONSINTIBET...............................................................10 SICHUANEARTHQUAKE......................................................................10 TOXICMILK......................................................................................11 CHARTER08......................................................................................11 INTERNATIONALRELATIONS...............................................................11 HEALTHCAREENVIRONMENT...............................................................................13 HEALTHCAREPROVISION..............................................................................13 MARKETPROGNOSISSCENARIO2009-2013:HEALTHCAREPROVISION.....13 HEALTHCARESYSTEM.........................................................................14 HEALTHSTATUS................................................................................16 HEALTHCAREFINANCINGANDEXPENDITURE........................................18 PHARMACEUTICALEXPENDITURE.........................................................19 HEALTHCAREPOLICY..........................................................................21 PILOTHEALTHCAREREFORMS.............................................................22 DRUGPOLICY....................................................................................23 HEALTHINSURANCE...........................................................................24 HOSPITALSECTOR.............................................................................26 HOSPITALTENDERING........................................................................29 COMMUNITYCARE.............................................................................30 PRESCRIBINGANDDISPENSING...................................................................32 MARKETPROGNOSISSCENARIO2009-2013:PRESCRIBINGANDDISPENSING..........................................................32 PRESCRIBINGINFLUENCES.................................................................32 REIMBURSEMENTDRUGLISTS.............................................................34 PATIENTCO-PAYMENT........................................................................37 HOSPITALFORMULARIES....................................................................37 PRESCRIPTION-ONLYPOLICY...............................................................38 DISPENSING...................................................................................