中国纺织品出口竞争优势研究_基于市场结构和竞争力的实证分析

NANKAIECONOMICSTUDIES2009年第2期No.22009116▋无配额时代中国纺织品出口竞争优势研究——基于市场结构和竞争力的实证分析∗2009112000200782009200511402001121WTO242“”242WTO14127.5%(6%)90∗[e-mail][e-mail]@bhamNANKAIECONOMICSTUDIES2009年第2期No.2200911720052005611200511824220081231242200911()SITC65SITC841.(SITC65)20002007(CR15)90%151200020071200020071181/3200337.86%200733.86%2000200760%2007559.723.5%1()19.45%2003200330.82%200714.96%(2)20051.4720051()20002007()19.4513.177.847.206.856.155.153.591.771.270.710.170.032.112.842.86220002007NANKAIECONOMICSTUDIES2009年第2期No.220091192005(2)12.(SITC84)20002007(CR15)80%200018.2%200733.4%30%200020070.8232000200718.05%8.26%2003200718.82%28.62%2()20002007()21.6618.0511.5010.309.088.548.267.136.985.943.122.492.241.157.119.48200046.54%200760.88%120200020072005420002007()1.(SITC65)2004200752007(A)(B)520042007(A)(B)NANKAIECONOMICSTUDIES2009年第2期No.2200912162%200422.3%200731.8%20048.6%20079.7%1.92.36(A)2004200760%200767.6%40%8.8%(2007)(A)(B)620042007(A)(B)2.(SITC84)7200733.6%72.2%7(B)20077600(A)(B)720042007(A)(B)122(6(B))20076.86.550%(A)(B)820042007(A)(B)20071.911.52000200720052007NANKAIECONOMICSTUDIES2009年第2期No.22009123()(RevealedComparativeAdvantageRCA)(ComparativeAdvantageCA)(RevealedCompetitivenessRC)1.Balassajj=====∑∑∑∑1111/RCA/nijijjijmmnijijiijXXXX(1)Xijijii=12mjj=12n12.VollrathMMMM=========−∑∑∑∑∑∑∑∑11111111//CA//nnijijijijjjijmmnmmnijijijijiijiijXXXX(2)Mijij3.MMMM=========−∑∑∑∑∑∑∑∑11111111//RClnln//nnijijijijjjijmmnmmnijijijijiijiijXXXX(3)WTO(SITC65)(SITC84)19902007()1.(SITC65)124199019983.842.5619901997199719901998199891011NANKAIECONOMICSTUDIES2009年第2期No.22009125199920073.811999199020073.0030%199020072.62.(SITC84)1213126121314140.420070.0230.0840.3481520053.6873.8199920002007NANKAIECONOMICSTUDIES2009年第2期No.220091272007()29.34%2009111.MFAATC——.2007(9).2‘’.2005(2).3..2008(Z1).4..2005(3).5..2003(4).6..2005(4).1287.().2005(11).8..2008(9).9..2002.10MontfortMYangY.Z.TheEndofTextilesQuotasACaseStudyoftheImpactonBangladesh.IMFWorkingPaper04/1082004.11MunirADinoraD.ARealityCheckofThreeYearsofPost-QuotaTradeinTextilesAndwhysomanypredictionsofdoomprovedunfounded.ITCBWorkingPaper2008.12PrasadASonaliJ.C.TheImpactonIndiaofTradeLiberalizationintheTextilesandClothingSector.IMFWorkingPaper05/2142005.13WorldTradeOrganization.InternationalTradeStatistics.20002001200220032004200520062007.1RCACARCRCACARCRCACARC19903.840.560.164.013.672.483.672.831.4719913.600.180.054.614.393.073.392.571.4219923.250.230.074.804.573.063.532.541.2719933.160.710.254.514.172.613.462.301.1019943.210.550.195.034.632.543.982.410.9319953.170.370.124.824.492.663.962.240.8319962.840.220.075.274.962.824.152.580.9719972.720.380.135.385.042.764.582.860.9819982.560.340.125.004.622.584.832.980.9619992.610.000.005.575.162.605.113.281.0320002.670.320.135.414.952.465.443.841.2220012.640.480.205.184.652.285.263.321.0020022.650.790.364.854.242.074.942.630.7620032.691.180.584.583.931.954.882.700.8120042.661.370.734.503.881.984.802.790.8720052.791.570.834.303.581.794.983.010.9320062.791.640.894.063.431.864.933.060.9720072.691.670.973.813.231.894.772.710.84WTO2RCACARCRCACARCRCACARC19904.974.945.154.494.497.678.208.185.8719915.115.085.184.284.277.467.687.645.3319925.605.453.594.504.496.908.098.065.40NANKAIECONOMICSTUDIES2009年第2期No.220091292RCACARCRCACARCRCACARC19935.905.753.634.044.046.858.318.265.2119946.035.863.604.554.546.997.787.735.1219955.275.033.094.384.376.729.229.185.3319965.395.153.094.144.146.298.508.394.3219975.485.233.103.903.906.408.037.883.9719984.844.613.064.234.226.147.747.583.9019994.774.573.144.474.465.867.587.433.8720004.724.543.314.584.575.817.667.513.8820014.384.223.274.013.984.966.766.583.6120024.043.893.323.693.675.497.116.933.7120033.853.743.543.213.195.186.846.643.5420043.693.593.643.143.135.456.276.043.2820053.693.593.673.273.255.276.105.843.1720063.853.773.813.063.045.035.515.212.8920073.823.743.822.682.664.725.284.932.72WTOEmpiricalStudyonExportcompetitiveadvantageofTextileinChinainNo-QuotaEra—BasedonMarketStructureandCompetitiveCapabilityLiuZhongliLiWeiChenJing(TheDepartmentofInternationalEconomicsandTrade,NankaiUniversity,Tianjin,300071,Clina)AbstractTextileshavebeenplayinganimportantroleinforeigntradeinChina.Withthecancelofglobaltextilequotain2009whatkindofcompetitionthatChinesetextilewillface?Basedonthetradedatabetween2000and2007thispaperanalyzestheworldtextilemarketstructureandChinesecompetitivecapability.ItturnsoutthattheimportrestrictionfromEUandUSAdidn’tmakeasubstantiveeffectonChinesecompetitivecapabilityintextilesintheworldmarket.Duringthepast8yearsofourstudythethreemeasuringindicesRevealedComparativeAdvantageComparativeAdvantageandRevealedCompetitivenessallrunatthehighlevelandkeepstableinasense.InthelongtermthereisstillacomparativelybigroomfortheChinesetextileindustrypolicytobeadjustedsoastokeepasteadyincreaseinourfutureexportwhilekeepourrelativeadvantage.KeywordsNo-quotaEraTextilesinChinaExportCompetitiveAdvantageJELClassificationC13F17F14