天然气发电的电力市场分析

上海交通大学硕士学位论文天然气发电的电力市场分析姓名：杨惠新申请学位级别：硕士专业：电气工程指导教师：黄成军;吴菊生200506012123——,3STUDIESFORTHENATURALGASPOWERGENERATIONINTHEELECTRICALPOWERMARKETABSTRACTThisdiscourseintroducestheadvantagesofnaturalgaspowergenerationthroughstudyingboththedevelopmentofgasturbineunitfrompasttofutureandthebackgroundoffirstimportedbundlebuycombinedcycleunitsinChina.AlsoitelaboratelyanalysisthemarketprospectforthenaturalgaspowerplantbytheexampleofWangtinggasproject.Followingarethemaintopicsofthisdiscourse:AnalyzingthegeographicadvantageofWangtingprojectandestimatedthegas-generatingpowerpriceonthebasisofpowersellingpriceinthisarea.Makingaprofitabilitystudyandpowerpricecalculationforgaspowerplantsunderthepeak-valleypricepolicy,andalsounderthepolicyofthetwoministries.AdetailedeconomicindexstudyismadebasedonthedeterminednaturalgaspriceinWangtingproject.Throughsystematicanalysisbetweentherelationshipsofprofitability,gaspriceandthewayandtimeofoperation,thisdiscoursepointoutthestrengthsandshortsofthecombinedcycleunitsinthe4electricalmarket.Andalsotheconclusionandsuggestionsaregivenattheend.KEYWORDSgasturbine,combinedcycle,electricalpowermarket,powerpriceestimation,profitabilityanalysis5LNGSTAG—HRSGBBEEFFHHGTSTEPCISOIRRLHVCSA-9-1.121LNG—2002718CHINABUNDLEBUY23200336--921LNGLNG8003060[1]-10---309F209E1.22X350MW--20012003102005F------200578-11-14-12-2.1BragtonRankine—[2]GESTAG109FAHotReheatSteamColdReheatSteamLPSteamGeneratorIP/LPHPHRSGCTComb.LPSteamHPSteamAirGasTurbineSteamTurbineStack-13-2-1GESTAG109FAFigure2-1PrincipleofGE’sSTAG109FA100%/395.440MW/MVA57.6%6235.8kJ/kWh605.9°C3.3KPa(g)2355800kg/hr367.8°C2.427MPa(a)271200kg/hr4050[3]-14-1.6007005B6B1100GEF1288GEH14302.162536383953.10201502004.H5008002004GEFGEH5.100MW250300MWBEFF260MW-15-6.--5860F—GESTAG109F57%DOEEIA1998200752044MW2,559MW4.91,444MW2.846,181MW88.72-12-2[4][5][6][7]2-1GEABBALSTOMSIEMENSMITSUBSHIMS9001FAMS9001GGT26V94.3AM701FM701G226.5282.026524024631014.723.23016.617211,2881,4301,2601,1901,2901,41535.739.538.5383739-16-DSGTD-111()GT-29INPLUSTM()MGA1400MGA2400PPM252525252-2GEABBALSTOMSIEMENSMITSUBSHIS109FAS109GKA26-1GUDIS.94.3AMPXP1(TOIGI)348.5420396.035942056.35858.558.158-17-2.221[8][9][10][11]506060070016257080JB10MS500021.723MW2OT21009MW300MW5B6BGE-18-MS5000GEMS6000BELNGLNGF807020908020140300MW7200MW10000MW80GE9E10123MW33ABB13E1l64MW35.7ABB13D497.9MW32.35,500MW80STAG206-19-VEGA206STAG209KA13E2KA13D245BE2-380--90BE2-380--90BEMWPG6541B206B21105.745.10PG9171E109E11173.045GT13EKA13E11248.049.24GT13DKA13D-221277.243.20GT13DKA13D-221277.243.20-20-PG9171E-4-4×119.933PG9171E209E21300.047.72PG9171E209E21300.048.38PG9171E209E21180.047.00PG6541B206B21105.745.10MS500040t/hMS60006567t/h209FAN/E-21-1.2.42.BEF300400MW38395759F3.21F3016,000MW-22-1.2.30200020101/3530m3150--170m320101,1001,300m3500--700m3500700m3LNGLNGLNG2150006000MW201015%--203.21-23-4.215000MW302.3212121[12]1.-24-GEMS7001HMS9001H501ATS4060212.[13]-BragtonRankine602-4“”[14]GE-MS7001H501-ATS1,4301,510/2328MW/290/41MW4004266061NOXPPm953CO2SO2NOX-25-5658IS048Mpa560560593452/33/4N0X2-519703212.4GEABBALSTOMSIEMENSMITSUBSHI[15][16][17][18]1GT26S109FAM701FV94.3AF,—390MWISO58%42%GE9FAISO—39544MW577%21/3-26-1/3390MW300MW300MW310-30%29FA300MW4EPC300-500900-1,000518-2024-3660-110%72-52-6GE2-575%~100%-27-1NoxPpmvd252COppmvd153(VOC)ppmvd22-675%~100%1,11.2dB(A)8520803648-28-3.1350020103.23.2.120041820.0920.931619.0717.80400.379.77-29-11.0%7.1%2010240020052010310046003.2.220052010313-23-33-1Figure3-1:AnnualLoadCurvesofJiangsuPowerNetwork3-160%70%80%90%100%110%12345678910111220052010-30-3-22005Figure3-2:2005TypicalDailyLoadCurvesofJiangsuPowerNetwork3-32010Figure3-3:2010TypicalDailyLoadCurvesofJiangsuPowerNetwork3-220050.40.50.60.70.80.91.01.113579111315171921233-320100.40.50.60.70.80.91.01.11357911131517192123-31-3.33.3.121050202563.3.22003-20062X300MW2X600MW2000MW2X350MW3.3.320037991006060-32-6060307878781177820043.3.42002-2010149.43.3.52010300MW600MW300MW-33-3.4304500/604000/3500/2500/8300/310/1.10/1150/3-12003200420052006200720082009201024512757310033553630392842514600243523723.1602636251759.1603044289490.16038193639120.16041093928121.16044694196163.111048154450205.116052184853205.1160%-0.7-4.4-1.813.813.213.813.313.4-34-35.5151010112525131.5100.5216.540878530037137142829801:600MW300MW135MW100.50072.50028160.5030115.500153776012045039113755601500250195100299090017039027918000603902791800060390428300005078026787803902335904292562:005656313130301142424242002022023:000000000050505050001001003.5[19]2003-201011429-35-20103-45201027003-67201035003-420102700Figure3-4:JiangsuPowerNetworkDailyLoadAttemperCurvein2010Summer(STAGCC2700Hours)3-520102700Figure3-5:JiangsuPowerNetworkDailyLoadAttemperCurvein2010Winter(STAGCC2700Hours)3-620103500Figure3-6:JiangsuPowerNetworkDailyLoadAttemperCurvein2010Summer(STAGCC3500Hours)3-720103500Figure3-4:JiangsuPowerNetworkDailyLoadAttemperCurvein2010Winter(STAGCC3500Hours)-36-05000100001500020000250003000035000400004500050000147101316192201-02-03-04-05-06-07-:MW270042010-37-050001000015000200002500030000350004000045