我国进口市场行情分析

©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang我国进口市场行情分析上海对外贸易学院张少萱讲师2007年7月28日©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang国外进口市场分析主要国家进口渠道分析讲课主题©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang第一部分国外进口市场分析©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang第一部分国外进口市场分析1.1世界进口市场概述©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.1.1主要产品进口的年变化百分比©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.1.2主要地区商品出口©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.1.3商品贸易与GDP增长©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.1.4三大地区的进口产品价格©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.1.5主要产品的出口价格©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.1.6初级产品的出口价格(Indices1995=100)19951996199719981999200020012002200320042005Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Foodandbeverages100105100897777778084959696979695101105Food10010899887879818286989898999898103108Cereals100119937969677080818785858285899399Wheat1001179071636472848389868680859398107Maize100133958273717381859180787881818589Rice100105949578645460627790919288889194Barley100115938273749010510195918788949698101Vegetableoilsandproteinmeals100110110977774718398114102981061041019999Meat1001161099393101109103106129129130131130124119121Beef10094979196101112110104132137136139140135131130Lamb100128133102102100115129141146142156145137132128130Swinemeat1001471167371949875851131081121121099892104Poultry100112110114108107115114119137133133134135131125123Seafood100908886858877666669787777807780105Fish100867878757661626370858183908588123Shrimp1009710910510811311377736663696259616264Sugar1009287735866675762688176748194120118Bananas100106117111849513111984118130172128104115178175Oranges10093868382681121061291611591562001411361521422005Exportpricesofprimarycommodities,1995-062006©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.1.7初级产品的出口价格(Indices1995=100)19951996199719981999200020012002200320042005Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Beverages100851129776655463676983888679788985Coffee100761068264503535394666677262627166Cocoabeans100102113117796376124122108108117108104102109111Tea100108144145142151121109118121132150125130124155146Agriculturalrawmaterials10096927677817778818687858588889194Timber100102958089888080849498979597989998Cotton10082816754604947656356545756586157Wool10085947070797596108100961019996869597Rubber100896446404438486983958088106106128155Hidesandskins100991008782919692787675757475757578Mineralsandnon-ferrousmetals(excludingcrudepetroleum)1008990747382747281110139126134138151177218Copper100787856546254536198125111116128147169247Aluminum10083897575868075799510510599101115134147Ironore10010610610997101105103113134229165229229229273273Tin1009991898788726679137119131128114104123137Nickel100918456731057383117168180187200177155181242Zinc1009912899104109867680102134128123126159218317Lead10012399848072767282140155155156142166197175Uranium100134104898671748496155240182230255291326365Totalofabove###989582767976778297#####################Energy10011611077100156138138161211292253278326311332368Naturalgas1001141098787155153123162180256209232272312284283Crudepetroleum10011811276105164141145168220310268295349329355397Coal1009689756668857074146130135134133109130144Allprimarycommodities10010710279881161061061201511951751882112062222482005Exportpricesofprimarycommodities,1995-062006©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.2主要产品进口市场1.2.1农产品进出口市场2.2.1金额20051980199020002005ExportersEuropeanUnion(25)369.71--41.543.4extra-EU(25)exports84.06--10.19.9UnitedStates82.6717.014.312.99.7Canada41.185.05.46.34.8Brazil35.043.42.42.84.1China28.711.52.43.03.4Australia21.213.32.83.02.5Argentina19.181.91.82.22.3Thailand17.821.21.92.22.1Above15704.05--83.482.6ImportersEuropeanUnion(25)398.88--42.344.0extra-EU(25)imports113.23--13.312.5UnitedStates95.808.79.011.610.6Japan65.959.611.510.47.3China45.192.11.83.35.0Canadab21.461.82.02.62.4RussianFederationa19.29--1.62.1Korea,Republicof16.771.52.22.21.8Mexicob16.451.21.21.81.8Above15736.04--82.181.2农产品的主要进口国和出口国,2005（10亿美元和%）进出口份额©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang农产品进口渠道1.农产品已经成为全球产品贸易体制上的自由化产品技术和产品体制的现代化2.农产品的主要渠道大型经销商跨国渠道商©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.2.2燃料和矿产品ChartIV.4Regionalsharesinworldtradeinfuelsandminingproducts,2005(Percentage)0102030405060SouthandCentralAmericaAfricaCommonwealthofIndependentStates(CIS)MiddleEastNorthAmericaAsiaEuropeExportsImports©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang燃料出口的主要区域流动Value20052000-0520042005MiddleEasttoAsia244.6173144Intra-Europe232.3162438Intra-Asia143.7152443CommonwealthofIndependentStates(CIS)toEurope118.0223742Intra-NorthAmerica109.4152338AfricatoEurope68.0142947MiddleEasttoEurope55.8113538Annualpercentagechange(Billiondollarsandpercentage)Majorregionalflowsinworldexportsoffuels,2005©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang能源、燃料的进口渠道•国内大型企业•具有垄断的特点•能源的供需矛盾是能源、燃料价格上升的重要原因©版权所有2006copyrightShen-Yuliang1.2.3钢材(Billiondollarsandpercentage)Value200519801990200020052000-05200320042005ExportersEuropeanUnion(25)136.25--46.242.816264213extra-EU(25)exports37.45--11.311.818253728Japan27.5120.411.810.48.613153018Chinaa19.280.31.23.16.1344518839RussianFederationb18.93--5.15.921376212Korea,Republicof14.352.23.44.74.517364923Ukraine12.66--3.64.020365411UnitedStates11.494.23.34.43.613192932Above15284.68--90.989.5----ImportersEuropeanUnion(25)126.73--39.937.515294610extra-EU(25)imports27.94--7.68.31936661