全球气候变化对中国森林影响的研究进展-时明芝

2011－03－14。2007GG2006012。250014、。、、、、、、、、。。F316．23A1002－2104201107－0068－05doi10.3969/j.issn.1002－2104.2011.07.012、。。IUFRO20091。2090、。11．121.1－1.5。。。6000。。1．2。80%、3202058.1%205099.7%2100。4“”5℃30%·86··2011217CHINAPOPULATIONRESOURCESANDENVIRONMENTVol．21No．72011100km100km800km“”5℃30%400km550km320km5。1．3、。6。。205084km270km27。、、。、、8。1．4。CO2。CO212%－35%98%－10%10%10。、11。1．5。、。。1235、、———。。60%1%24%13。1．6。。、。、、、。20082－1050t/hm2100t/hm230t/hm214。15。1．7。、、、16。17。1．8。。。。3/4。、·96·。。16－17。1．9。、、、、、、、。。。。18。。13。22．1、。。。－。2．2。。。。。。2．3。。。。2．4、。CO2CO2。。2．5、。、。、、。。2．6。·07··20117。CO2、、、。31、。、。2、、。、、。、、、。3、、。。。4。。。。。CO2。。5。References1IUFRO.AdaptationofForestsandPeopletoClimateChange-aGlobalAssessmentreportC.NCCARE2009.2.J.200116171－78.LiuGuohuaFuBojie.TheInfluenceofGlobalclimateChangesontheForestEcosystemJ.JournalofNaturalResources200116171－78.3.N.2010－06－233.XieChenZhaoXuanWangSaietal.TheClimateChangesAreThreateningtheForestEcosystemN.ChinaGreenTimes2010－06－233.4.J.200617122255－2260.LiFengZhouGuangshengCaoMingchang.TheInfluenceoftheGeographicDistributionofLarixGmeliniiontheClimateChangeJ.ChineseJournalofAppliedEcology200617122255－2260.5.J.20095150－55.ZhaoFengjunWanMingyuShuLifuetal.TheProgressintheStudyoftheImpactofClimateChangesonForestFiresJ.AdvancesinClimateChange20095150－55.6.1954－2005J.2008195942－948.WangYuZhouGuangshengJiaBingruietal.TheFeaturesoftheClimateChangein1954－2005intheDistributionAreasofConiferousForestinNorthernChinaJ.ChineseJournalofAppliedEcology2008195942－948.7.J.20092891702－1705.JiangFengqiYuZhanyuanZengDehuietal.TheInfluenceoftheClimateChangeonthe“ThreeNorths”ForestBeltandTheCountermeasuresJ.ChineseJournalofEcology2008195942－948.8.J.20072681277－1284.ChengXiaoxiaYanXiaodong.TheInfluenceofClimateChangesontheForestSuccessioninGreaterHiggnanMountainsInChinaJ.ChineseJournalofEcology20072681277－1284.9.J.·17·2000245513－517.FangJingyun.TheProductivityofChineseForestsandItsResponsetotheGlobalClimateChangeJ.ActaPhytoecologicaSinica2000245513－517.10.CO2J.1994298.XuDeying.TheProgressintheStudyoftheInfluenceoftheIncreaseofCO2intheAtmosphereandtheClimateChangeontheForestJ.WorldForestryResearch1994298.11.、J.200822363－69.HaoJianfengJinSenMaQinyanetal.TheImpactoftheClimateChangeontheStructureandProductivityoftheTypicalForestEcosysestemintheWarmTemperateZoneJ.JournalofAridLandResourcesandEnvironment200822363－69.12.20J.20092491593－1603.ZhenJianghongLiYanlingLiuGuohouetal.TheClimateChangeintheDistributionAreasofTetraenaMaximandItsImpactsSincetheLate20thCenturyJ.JournalofNaturalResources20092491593－1603.13.J.20063051009－1021.WangYeYanXiaodong.TheImpactofTheGlobalClimateChangesontheForestEcosystemJ.AtmosphereScience20063051009－1021.14.20081J.2008134405－418.GuLeiWeiKeHuangRonghui.TheRelationshipBetweentheSeriousSnowandIceStormsinJanuary2008andtheAbnormalEastAsianMonsoonJ.ClimaticandEnvironmentalResearch2008134405－418.15.“”N.2009－02－193.LaiMin.GlobalWarmingContributestoForestFiresN.ChineseMeteorologicalTelegram2009－02－193.16.J.200524161－69.YuLiCaoMingkuiLiKerang.AnEvaluatingoftheVulnerabilityoftheEcosystemUndertheCircumstanceofGlobalClimateChangeJ.ProgressintheGeographicalScience200524161－69.17.J.2008323521－530.YuLiCaoMingkuiTaoBoetal.AQuantitativeEvaluationoftheVulnerabilityofChineseTerrestrialEcosysteminResponsetotheGlobalClimateChangeBasedonthePotentialVegetationJ.ActaPhytoecologicaSinica2008323521－530.18.J.200730547－50.LuanZhaoping.TheClimateChangeandtheRehabilitationandManagementoftheForestsinNorthernChinaJ.InnerMongoliaForestryInvestigationandDesign200730547－50.TheInfluenceoftheGlobalClimateChangeonForestsinChinaSHIMing-zhiShandongUniversityofFinanceJinanShandong250014ChinaAbstractBytracingingtheexistingdocumentswecanfindthattheglobalclimatechangehasasignificantimpactonthesocialeconomyandthenatualecosystemwhichwilldramaticallychangethelevelandqualityofsupplyoftheforestecologybringingaboutseriousecologicaleconomicandsocialinfluenceontheforestandpeoplewholiveontheforestandeventhreateningtheexistanceofhumanbeings.Asadevelopingcountrywhichisundergreaterinfluenceofclimatechangesbuthasapooreradaptationcapabilityourstudyontheadaptationofforeststoclimatechangessocialeconomyandthecorrespondingcountermeasuresiscomparativelylaggingbehind.Thisarticlebasedontheinfluenceofclimatechangesontheforesteco-systeminhistoryexpoundsonhowclimatechangesaffectforestdistributionandsuccessionitsproductivityanddiversityforestfiresforesthydrologicalregulationthefutureoftheforestecosystemandsomeotheraspectsanalysesthedefectsinthestudyontheinfluenceofclimatechangesontheforestsuchasneglectingthefunctionofsomeotherenvironmentfactorsandthecompetitionmechanisimbetweendifferentspecieslackingconsiderationofsomeextremeclimateeventsthefeedbackoftheforestitselfasaresultofclimatechangesandafurtherunderstandingofthecorrespondingmechanismandtheimperfectionofstudymodelsanddata.Andfinallythearticlegivespolicyadviceonhowtominimizethedevastatingeffectsofclimatechangesontheforest.Keywordsglobalclimatechangeforestecosystemimpactsuggestions·27··20117