区域经济发展策略的数学模型及实证分析-费忠华

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371520078MATHEMATICSINPRACTICEANDTHEORYVol.37 No.15 August,2007 费忠华, 李 博, 陈小霞(, 213016): ,,、、、,,,MATLAB,,,,,.: ;;;;1   :2006-11-22  、、,,,,,,.,,,,、、、、.,[1]:、、、,,.,.:、、.[2]:、、、、、().,,,,,.2 2.1 :、,,[3].,,,[3,4]:1);2);3);4);5);6);2.2 ,.,[4].2.3 [3].,、,:,;,,,、,,,,,.3 ,.,.,,,,.[5]1:x(0)(k)={x(0)(1),x(0)(2),…,x(0)(n)}M:x(1)(k)={x(1)(1),x(1)(2),…,x(1)(n)},x(2)(k)={x(2)(1),x(2)(2),…,x(2)(n)},…,x(m)(k)={x(m)(1),x(m)(2),…,x(m)(n)}2:3:y0(k)ym(k)ΔtΔ1=|y0(k)-y1(k)|=(Δ1(1),Δ1(2),…Δ1(n));Δ2=|y0(k)-y2(k)|=(Δ2(1),Δ2(2),…Δ2(n))…Δm=|y0(k)-ym(k)|=(Δm(1),Δm(2),…Δm(n))4:;5:.Ei=min(min(Δi))+Pmax(max(Δi))Δi(t)+Pmax(max(Δi))P[0,1],0.5;i=1,2,3,…,m;t=1,2,3…,n6:rj=1n∑nj=1Ei(t);7:,.4 ,、、.1315,:4.1 ,,,[7]1.1 1999—2003()X19992000200120022003()X068.0171.5576.8984.8998.76()X117.0117.2717.7818.5918.93()X226.6628.2931.6134.3143.26()X324.3426.1927.5031.9936.57()X4236071247435271605309790433419()X53586140265467845594566600()X61562518642228572803535600X0,X1X6,XiX0.:V01=0.6532,V02=0.8066,V03=0.8844,V04=0.6364,V05=0.6357,V06=0.5312.V0i:V03V02V01V04V05V06(4-1)(4-1),,,、,.,:1).“”,,:,、,,,,,,,.2),,.(、、、、),,.3),.,,,,,,、、、,,,,.,0.6364,0.6357.,、、,,14       37、、.、、,,,,,.0.5312,.、,,,,.4.2 ,,,[7]2.2 1999—2003()X19992000200120022003()X0310113310632317168326522340400()X1188315181151186755192167202012()X228592217239525722741()X39213399938101894104598106024()X42680327326280642897129623()X572.0668.2766.8765.1461.16()X637.4636.8235.0432.4231.07()X7109.30110.34113.64116.37116.66,X0,X1X2,XiX0.:V01=0.0923,V02=0.641,V03=0.7858,V04=0.9133,V05=0.5843,V06=0.4985,V07=0.8863.,:V04V01V07V03V02V05V06(4-2)(4-2),.0.90230.9133,0.88630.7858.,,,.,:1),48,、,,,,;2),,,,、;3)、,.,,1515,:,.,,、、,.,.,0.4985.4.3 ,,,[7]3.3 1999—2003()X19992000200120022003()X026.6628.2930.5834.3143.26()X121.5523.0624.8927.9235.84()X25.115.235.696.397.42,X0,X1,X2,XiX0.:V01=0.9018, V02=0.6458.,:V01V02(4-3)  (4-3),0.90180.6458,.,、,.、17.2,,.23.,、(),,、、、、.,0.6458..、,.19、52.4.4 ,,,[7]4.4 1999—2003()X19992000200120022003()X0236071247435271605309790433419()X12233230900354684164281616()X21433910100119311414928338()X3965211908170642555133760()X41535616100179952059124146()X54218043000441754561845587X0,X1X5,XiX016       37.:V01=0.6252,V02=0.5778,V03=0.5561,V04=0.8040,V05=0.6579.V0i:V04V05V01V02V03.(4-4)  (4-4),,0.8040.,0.65790.6252,,0.57780.5561.,.,,,,.,..,,,.、、,.5 ,,.,:5.1 14,,、.,,、,.5.2 ,,,,,,、,、,,.5.3 ,,,().,35.24%,.,,,,,.5.4 ,,.,,.,1715,:.,.,、、,.,,、,:5.5 ,,,,,.,,,,、,.,[6].5.6 ,,,、,.,.“”(、、、);“”(、、、).,、、、、、.5.7 ,,.,,,,,,.,204.、,,.5.8 ,,,,.、.,:,,.,.,,、.、、.5.9 ,、、、.,,.,,..、、、,,,.、,、,、18       37、,、,、、,.:[1] JianChen,FleisherBM.RegionalincomeinequalityandeconomicgrowthinChina[J].JoumalofComparativeEconomics,1996,22:141—164.[2] ,.[M].:,2004.25—33.[3] ,.[M].:,1997.4—57.[4] .[M].:,2003.15—74,197—203.[5] .[M].:,2002.87—141.[6] DengJL,IohnHW.Spreadofgreyrelationspace[J].TheJournalofGreySystem,1995.215—218.[7] .[M].,2004.MathematicModelandCaseAnalysisofStrategyforRegionalEconomicDevelopmentFEIZhong-hua, LIBo, CHENXiao-xia(InformationScienceDepartment,JiangsuIndustryCollege,ChangzhouJiangsu213016,China)Abstract: NingthecharacteristicofsocialeconomicdevelopmentofRugaoofJiangsuProvince,wechooseindexofthegrossoutputvalue,agriculturalindex,industrialindex,theindexofthefixedassetsandscientificandtechnologicaltrafficindexastheeconomicindicator,andsetupmathematicsmodelbasedongreycorrelationofanalyticalmethod,thenanalyzetheadvantagesofregionaleconomicdevelopmentofRugaoinbrief,andcarryontheartificialcalculationthroughMATLABdesignsprogram,constructingtheinvestmentdecisionsystemoflocaleconomicdevelopmentandstudingthedevelopmentofregionaleconomicsofRugaotoofferreferencebasistothedevelopmentpoliciesoftheregionalecoThedevelopmentoftheregionaleconomyisaffectedbyalotofdifferencefactors,combinomy.Asaresult,wecanpromotenotonlythegovernment′srationalinvestmentdecisioncapability,butalsotheoveralldevelopmentoflocaleconomyandthesociety.Keywords: regionaleconomics;graycorrelation;theanalysisofadvantage;matheticalmodel;decisionsupportsystem1915,:

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