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华中科技大学硕士学位论文供应链安全及其成本关系研究姓名：雷征申请学位级别：硕士专业：管理科学与工程指导教师：王海军20080428IIIABSTRACTTheenormousimpactofthefrequentoccurrencesofemergencyrecentlyonthesupplychainhasgainedmanypeople’sconcerngradually.Asweknow,theprocessofsupplychainmanagementisaninternationalentity.Ifanypartofthesupplychainwasdisruptedbytheemergency,thewholesupplychainwillbeinfluencedandcan’tworkasgoodasusual.Withthefuriouscompetitiondaybydaythecompanymustdosomethingaheadinordertoresponsetothedisruptionsquicklyandreducethelosefromtheemergency.Sotheyneedtotakethesupplychainsecurityfactorsintoaccounttoimprovesupplychainresiliencewhentheydesigntheirsupplychain.Companiesneedtopayfortheprocessofimprovingsupplychainsecurity.Sotheyneedtobalancethesupplychainsecuritydegreeandthesupplychainsecuritycost.Makedecisionsabouthowmuchmoneyisappropriateforthemtoachievesupplychainsecurityandtoinsurenaturaloperations.Thispapermadesomeresearchaboutthemethodsofimprovingsupplychainsecurityandresilience,andtherelationshipbetweensupplychainsecurityanditscost.Firstlythispapermadeanaffiliationbetweensupplychainsecurityandthecostneededtopayforit.Analyzetheimportancetopayforthesupplychainsecurity.Secondly,makeuseofthequantitativeanalysistoimprovethevulnerabilityframeworkandestablishanalysismodelaboutthesupplychainsecurityfactors.Thirdly,establishlinearregressionmodelabouttheseveritydegreeoftheemergencybasedonthequantitativeanalysismodel.Makeregressionanalysisoftheseveritydegreeoftheemergencybyusingthelinearregressionmodel.Putforwardafunctionhaveaconsiderationbothaboutthedisruptionprobabilityandtheconsequences.Atlast,makequantitativeanalysisabouttherelationshipbetweentheseveritydegreeoftheemergencyandsupplychainsecurity,aswellastherelationshipbetweentheseveritydegreeoftheemergencyanditscost,andthenmakefurtheranalysisabouttherelationshipbetweensupplychainsecurityanditscost.Makeuseoftherelationshippictureaboutsupplychainsecurityanditscosttoputforwardquantitativecostanalysismethod,inordertogivegisttothecompanyfortheirsupplychainsecuritydecision-making.Keywords:Supplychainsecurity,Resilience,Emergency,Supplychainsecuritycost_____111.11.1.1(SupplyChain)80200032201712920019.11132001Etientaem,Aigner22005199997.6IT12%9.1131.1.241.21234551-11-11.31YossiSheffit623722.12.1.1Stevens[1]Christopher[2]KalakotaWhinston[3][4]8,123/492.1.220802090GB/T18354-20011Evens[5]2Philip[6]3[7]4[8]SupplySchedulePlanLogisticDemand2-1[4]Internet/Intranet102-1[9]123Interner/Intranent112.29.112.2.1[10][11]12[12]GeorgeA.Zsidisin[13]JamesWormell[14]PaulR.KleindorferGermaineH.Saad[15]AndreasNorrmanUlfJansson[16]2.2.29.11RalphWelborn,Ph.D.VinceKasten[17]LisaH.Harrinton13(CSI)[18]RaviSarathy[19]R.G.Edmonson[20]DawnM.RussellJohnP.Saldanha[21]CheuRueyLongKRaguraman2000200219812000[22]AlanEreraChipWhite[23]MarcThibault,MaryR.BrooksKennethJ.Button[24]14BarbaraJorgensentC-TPAT[25]C-TPAT2001119117400[26]200324[27]StevenTuckey[28]C-TPATTSACSITSAPerryATrunick[29]NRFInuclearresonancefluorescenceimagingXGeneFliedneCPFR[30]CPFRCPFRE.S.Tzannato[31](RFID)DamithC.Ranasinghe,DanielW.EngelsPeterH.ColeRFID[32]EdmundPraterRFIDRFID[33]15JaanaAuramo,JouniKauremaaKariTanskanen18[34]StephenC.Shih[35]2.2.3[36]YossiSheffiandJamesB.RiceJr[37]YossiSheffi91116[38]JamesB.Rice,Jr[39]JamesB.Rice,Jr.FedericoCaniato[36][40]2.2.4[36]179.119.11HauL.LeeMichaelWolfe[41]HauL.Lee[42]R.G.Edmonson[43]AllenE.Molnar[44]AlanEreraChipWhite[45]RaviSarathy[46]StuartTrussler[47]KevinB.HendricksVinodR.Singhal19892000827[48]2005MEI911[49]200618[50][51]2006[52]KristinS.Krause[53]JosephMarthaSunilSubbakrishnaJITVMIBTO[54]Ken.Cottril[55]B.LewisR.Cheu[56]1933.13.1.1[57]1JIT234205673.1.2[58]2112SARS200139.11420005223.2Svensson[59]3.2.123YossiSheffiJamesB.RiceJr[37]3-13-1A1A2A3A5A15A4A8A7A6A9A10A11A12A13A14243.2.21220043253.33.3.1263.3.2127200032821999293200112UPF150010000UPF30452000FedExUPSRFIDRFID2031RFIDRFID[60]6323.43.4.133APEC[61]123456734893.4.29.11CSIC-TPAT241ContainerSecurityInitiative,CSI35CSICSIPDA2Customs-TradePartnershipAgainstTerrorismC-TPATC-TPATC-TPAT20063305800C-TPATC-TPAT1520C-TPAT3696324200210312424hoursAdvancedManifestRegulation24AMS24CSICSI20CSI24CSI24CSI4SOLASSOLAS9.1137200566200462330303.4.338394044.1YossiSheffiJamesB.RiceJr3-1YossiSheffiJamesB.RiceJr4-1(1,2,...)iAiN=ixiy(,)iiiAxyixiy014-1YiXi1A1A2A3AiA15A4A8A7A6A9A10A11A12A13A14x01y4112344.242iAmiA11(,)iixy22(,)iixy…(,)imimxy(,)iiiAxy[62]iA012ikikikikFxyβββε=+++4-120,,cov(,)0;;,1,2,...,ikikikitEDktktmεεσεε===≠=2012,,,βββσ|()0TTTTQXFXFXXXXββββ∧∧=∂=−−++=∂4-2βLSβ∧()min()min()()TQQFXFXββββββ∧==−−4-3|()0TTTTQXFXFXXXXββββ∧∧=∂=−−++=∂4-4TTXXXYβ∧=4-5431()TXX−β1()TTXXXYβ∧−=4-6(,)iiiAxy()012,iiiiiIfxyxyβββ==++4-7SPSS(),iiiIfxy=ixiyiIiI4.34.3.11244341234454.3.29.11[63]46APLJIT[45]19.11X47224CSI2434485GPSRFID4.44.4.149HauL.Lee,SeungjinWhang[42]504.4.2[62]SCOR/[64]Seuring[65][66]51iCiAigiCiA()iiCIiA()iiiCIg⋅1()NiiiiCCIg==⋅∑4.8()iiCI4-2100%96%2%86%52MCMRMC=MR020040060080010001200140080828486889092949698100I(%)C()4-253()iiiiiiiiiIICCCTCICIgC∂∂∂∂∂==⋅=⋅∂∂∂∂∂4.95455.112345.2555657[1]StevenJ.Integratingthesupplychain