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20103192NortheastAsiaForumMar12010Vol119No12(,300071)[],,,,,[];;;[]F114.41[]Adoi:10.3969/j.issn.1003-7411.2010.02.012[]1003-7411(2010)02-0080-(09)[]2009-12-21[](06&ZD030)(NKQ09019)[](1973-),,,,,(1954-),,,,,,,,,,,,,WTO,207,,,,,,,,,,,08;,(),,,,,,,2050,,,,WTO,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,20%,200825%,GDP20%,:6,,,5,,,,,1333333333333333333333333,,19902008(1990)4.2%,,27%8.6%,,,200874.4%,1990,,,18:,(2)22008(1990)1990(1990)GDP()GDP()3825.934.33417.417.31.5%2370.281.3404.433.427.0%698.4150.4275.053.98.6%633.3208.5569.738.40.6%106.3102.71.551.04.3%13.117.014.719.3-0.6%7543.574.44283.625.94.2%9463.036.85757.220.53.6%8053.9196.75671.768.52.3%811.630.0478.613.03.9%1000.857.3326.815.711.5%37124.2-22262.2-3.7%:,,,,121(EconomicFreedomofWorld,EFW),,,;,,1,,,,[2]3,,,,,(Governance),,,,,,,[3],,,,,20073637,FDI9.7%,19983418,1%12%[4],,2007,15.5%24.4%31.4%,80.2%84.8%,27.1%26.6%35.4%(2),28201021998,20081:Gwartney,J.D.andR.Lawson(2009).320080.950.941.461.231.41.2519980.891.231.010.651.471.272008-1.72-0.320.24-0.22-0.33-0.441998-1.38-0.09-0.3-0.26-0.36-0.3120080.590.411.260.730.790.4519980.620.140.390.330.740.212008-0.97-0.62-0.32-0.56-0.91-0.981998-0.58-0.83-0.41-0.51-0.85-0.8320080.240.35-0.68-0.29-0.54-0.6219980.510.39-0.35-0.11-0.04-0.322008-2.210.35-2.12-2.28-1.06-1.741998-2.12-0.41-1.99-2.18-0.94-1.86:Kaufmann,D.,KraayA.andM.Mastruzzi(2008).38:2:Comtrade,,10,,,,,ASEAN+3,,(NAFTA)(EU),ASEAN+3,,,ASEAN+3,19971998,ASEAN+3,,,,,4820102,:,;,,;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(,),(1992),,,,,(),,,,AntkiewiczandWhally(2005),30,WTO+,,,(EPA),,,,,,,,,,,(NAFTA),,,,(),Lee(2005),5.15%1.54%1.21%,300,(),58:4:ComtradeWDI,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1991,200310,(PECC),,200810,,,,1.,:6820102,21308%10%,1000;200;84,301500,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,2550,,30,60014020015501000,102018,20300,,100[8]2.,,,,,,,,,,3.,,,,,,(,2008)[9],,,1997,,,,78:,,(AsianBondMarket),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:[1]Viner,J.CustomsUnionIssue[M].Washington,DC:AndersonKramerAssoc,1961.[2]Gwartney,J.D.andR.Lawson.EconomicFreedomoftheWorld:2009AnnualReport[M].Vancouver:EconomicFree2domNetwork2009.[3]Kaufmann,D.,KraayA.andM.Mastruzzi.GovernanceMattersVIII:AggregateandIndividualGovernanceIndicators,1996-2008[Z].WorldBankPolicyResearchWorkingPaperWPS4978,June2008.[4].2008[M].:;2008..[M].:,1999.[5].[M].,:,2003.[6]Antkiewicz,A.andJ.Whalley.China’sNewRegionalTradeAgree2ments[J].TheWorldEconomy.2005.vol.28(10):1539-1557.[7]Lee,C.J.etal.RationaleforaChina-Japan-KoreaFTAandItsImpactontheKoreanEconomy[M].Seoul:KoreanInstituteforInternationalEconomicPolicy(KIEP)2005.[8].ResearchontheEstablishmentofNortheastAsiaBank[R].WorkingPaper,September20061[9].63[EB/OL].,2008-9-23,(SchoolofEconomics,NankaiUniversity,Tianjin300071,China)Abstract:NortheastAsianBankismovingfromconcepttoreality.WiththecloseoftheNortheastAsiaEconomicForum17thannualmeetinginTianjinBinhaiNewAreaandtheissueofTianjinBinhaiDeclaration,aconsensushasbeenreachedthattheNortheastAsianBankshouldbeformedassoonaspossible.Inthispaper,westartedfromsometheoreticalbasisforregionaleconomicintegration,exploringthefeasibilitiesanddifficultiesofeconomicintegrationinNortheastAsia,notingthatalthoughthecountriesinNortheastAsiaarecomplementaryeconomically,butinthefaceofthebalanceofinterestsandinstitutionaldimensions,itishardtoestablishaninstitutionaleconomicintegrationorganizationintheshortrun.However,theNortheastAsiaBankcanpromotetheformationofaninstitutionalarrangementforeconomicandtradecooperationandresolvere2gionalfinancialcrisis.KeyWords:NortheastAsia;regionaleconomicintegration;NortheastAsianBank8820102