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上海交通大学硕士学位论文基于SCP范式的中国民航运输产业分析姓名：章华申请学位级别：硕士专业：工商管理指导教师：高汝熹20080113SCP20SCPSCPSTUDYOFCIVILAVIATIONINDUSTRYINCHINAONTHEBASISOFSCPPARADIGMABSTRACTCivilaviationisayoungandnotableindustryinChina.Formorethan20years,undertheinteractionofvariousinterestgroupsandthecontradictionbetweentheadministrativepowerandthemarketforce,reformationfromcontroltoopenhasbeenthethemeofthedevelopmentinChinacivilaviationindustry.Fromoverallperspective,thereformationstilllagsbehindthesocialdevelopment,socalledasafortressofadministrativemonopoly.HowtounderstandthemarketenvironmentforthedevelopmentofChinacivilaviationindustryandhowtofollowtheindustrydevelopmentdirectiontocatchtheopportunityaremaintopicsinthepaper.Startingfromindustrialorganizationtheory,onthebasisofSCPparadigmthispaperconductsresearchandinvestigationontheinteractionamongmarketstructure,marketbehaviorandmarketperformanceinChinacivilaviationindustry.ChapteroneTheoryandLiteratureReviewsintroducesthebriefhistoryofthedevelopmentinindustrialorganizationtheory,andhighlightsthetraditionaltheory,SCPparadigm,thedevelopmentofotherindustrialorganizationtheories,togetherwiththemaincontentandresearchinrelatedfields.Chaptertwoanalyzesthemarketstructureofchinacivilaviationindustrybasedonmarketdevelopmentlevel,concentrationratio,entryandexitbarriers,toconcludethatthemarketstructureisinthestatusofhighconcentrationratioandstrongbarriertoenterorexit.Chapterthreeanalyzesvariousmarketconduct,suchascompetitioninprice,amount,productandorganizationadjustments,inordertointerprettheinternalreasonsforthesemarketbehaviorsthroughgametheory.Chapterfouranalyzesmarketperformancebasedonproductionoutput,profitmargin,financialindicatorsinlistedcompanies,aswellastechnologyprogressindicators.Chapterfivereachesthesystematicconclusiononmarketstructure,marketbehaviorandmarketperformance,analyzestheexistingproblemsandinter-linkages,andproposestherecommendationstowardsthefuturemarketprospect.KEYWORDS:Chinacivilaviationindustry,marketstructure,marketconduct,marketperformance,industrialorganizationMBASCP18032006,3021.63422007166.78669.9182.71300110014720032006199720022004MBASCP2(Mason)(Bain)Structure)(Conduct)(Performance)(SCP)SCPSCPSCPSCPSCP2060-70()Caves[1]Levine[2]Eads[3]DouglasMillerIII[4],1978CABSCPMBASCP31(TheTheoryofIndustrialOrganizationIO)11.(A.Marshall)20(P.Sraffa)(Chamberlin)(J.Robinson)((J.M.Clark)[5](Tirole)[6]:(EdwardS.Mason)(JoeS.Bain)Harvardtradition)AaronDirector)(GeorgeJ.Stigler)Chicagotradition)1.1.1SCP20301938(Mason)J.S.BainCawesScherer1959MBASCP4[7]SCP(structureconductperformance)1(1956)(1959)20(R.Hefiebower)(G.Stocking)1[7]MBASCP5SCP(Scherer)(1970),(Structure)(Conduct)(Performance)(SCP)--[8]SCP,,,,,1.1.22060SCP(J.Stigler)(H.Demsetz)(R.Posner)1982SCPMBASCP6Tirole[6]1.1.32070SCPTirole(R.H.Coase)MBASCP7()[9]S--C--PSCP2080SCPSCP[10]12/ConglomeratefirmPorterbusinessunit13MBASCP82070.(MichaelEPorter)SCP,,()[11]()()()[12]::;2090IT2090IT[13]90.()MBASCP9S-C-P1450-6019781983[14][15]2060CAB1978CABKahn[16]Bailey[17]BaileyGrahamKaplan[18].80,EvansKessides[19]MorrisonWinston[20]GiaumeGuillou[21]MBASCP10[22]1992-2001CR4CR8HI[23]SCP(HHI)8[24]19912004,,OLS,[25]Zhang[26][27]ContestabilityTheory[28],,MBASCP112·S·[29]8212.1.1195019861949()1980197823111371980[30]2.1.21986-20021:(1MBASCP12)199625341996201999[30]2.1.3200233:;;;;;2002150060080%20053--720078920061061543881307204MBASCP135193311262307200281200782010320102290GDP-11%22%28%34%14%22%13%8%7%14%15%15%17%4%35%13%15%22%31%14%19%0500000100000015000002000000250000030000003500000198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006-20.0%-10.0%0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%2006200712MBASCP14198027401320201990200418.216.515.6887119901995200020042005()1660511767221212313827114368690107712251346441960311104612602200330403469509()230479768130369705437178227912044928851691011497102328154398105445240631576554528723273772831384173715925225211333376094502405643597709205()()3697221011145196712327670013067168811022296324923567048357715512394677025571474767206216522956184915378956135442167640169247()81825222981502683718036788954438301158942915504187934524503164796604211133299243336504634810483194952601826263()24995071438512250072309985261272482595201250465190774101855235145156474660759818153588417574882219938475568788349089509()4377971165127912574485133244233385694103210351024818424543()5067621128961150288720493941998501166350348175508405894175855932329493750794994482115521911425691091929992557596248461056()94139139133135()499852982124513862006MBASCP1513200112000201,,12%232.3.1RyanTamR.JohnHansman[32](ICAO-InternationalCivilAviationOrganization)2002[33][34][35]GDP20002008[36]SCP???[37]GDPGDPMBASCP162010%10%200621GDP20202007-200100809[38]GDP82010GDPGDP8%201120157%-8%201620206-7[39]15GDP4.1%6.1%6.0%4.1%7.3%7.9%7.3%5.8%7.9%8.2%0%2%4%6%8%10%32020MBASCP17GDP8.5GDP8GDP7200620108%-9%201053020102.550022007-201020062007f2008f2009f2010f302347.3427.2474.2530.615.00%17.00%23.00%12.00%11.90%42007-20102.3.280[40]:1000474.2530.6302347.3427.215.7%17.0%23.0%12.0%11.9