控制中国汽车交通燃油消耗和温室气体排放的技术选择与政策体系

(3):1671731673-1719(2009)03-0167-07120005a5002000200515502005200654021990200633.4%19901995410%19952000676%20002005151%2006200510.5%2008-10-312009-01-09Hewlett1969E-mail:[e-mail]471.23/X16A1GDP1Table1ThecivilvehiclevolumeandpercapitaGDPinChinainrecentyears1/551.361040.001608.913159.663697.3519901995200020052006/4.88.612.724.228.1GDP1990/1644276239886091674020071990200036.4%20002005138.5%200620053.3%35320095ADVANCESINCLIMATECHANGERESEARCHVol.5No.3May2009(3):16717316820092km1Table2ThedevelopmentoftransportationinfrastructureinChinainrecentyears(unit:104km)1/km5.785.976.877.547.7119901995200020052006/km102.83115.70140.27334.52345.70/km0.050.211.634.104.5320029.11L/100km20068.06L/100km200211.5%200220064a10a200619952%22%200614%31Table3ThepetroleumconsumptionandimportinChinainrecentyears1/t11485.616064.922439.332535.434875.919901995200020052006/t755.63673.29748.517163.219453.0/%14.717.824.629.831.5200550%2122(3):1671733169(3):16717317020095(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)34.1.1(1)20091200912012311.6L5%1.6L(2)20077121a(3)(3):16717331714.1.267(1)(2)(3):167173(3)2009116(1)2003711212004920200771982005712008114442002200611.5%2100km(2)1999(3)19839200020002004III2008IV10(4)1722009(3):1671733173TechnologyOptionsandPolicyPackageforControllingtheFuelConsumption&GHGsEmissionofVehicleTransportationinChinaAbstract:China’svehicletransportationisnowfacinguptodualpressure:fuelshortageandGHGsemissionincrease.BasedonthebackgroundofChina’srapiddevelopmentandgapsinaveragevehiclefueleconomybetweenChinaanddevelopedcountries,byanalyzingthetechnologyoptionsforautomakers,weestablishedananalysisframeworkonthefuelconsumptionandGHGsemissionofvehicletransportation,anddrewtheconclusionthatinordertocontroltheoverallfuelconsumptionofvehicletransportation,aseriesoftechnologyandpolicymeasuresshouldbeadoptedsoastocontrolthevehiclevolume,reducetheaveragemileageofvehiclesandimprovethefueleconomyofsinglevehicle.Attheendofthispaper,weanalyzedandcommentedonthepresentedintegratedpolicypackagewhichaimedtoreducetheoverallfuelconsumption&GHGsemissionofvehicletransportation.Keywords:vehicletransportation;fuelconsumption;GHGsemission;integratedpolicypackageXuGuangqing,ZouJi,YangBaolu,FengXiangzhao,ZhengLurong(SchoolofEnvironmentandNaturalResources,RenminUniversityofChina,Beijing100872,China)[3][4][5][6][7][1].2007[M].:,2007.[R].,2008,,,.[R].:,2007.863[R].,2006,.WellstoWheels[R].,2008.[J].,2006,5(4):129136YanX,CrookesRJ.ReductionpotentialsofenergydemandandGHGemissionsinChinaÕsroadtransportsector[J].EnergyPolicy,2009,37(2):658668,,.[J].,2008(6):2326,,.[J].,2003,120:3942.[J].,2007,167:1620[2][8][9][10](5)