湖南科技大学南校区道路交通安全系统分析

湖南科技大学（2013-2014学年第一学期）安全系统工程课程设计湖南科技大学南校区道路交通安全系统分析学院：能源与安全工程学院系别：安全工程系组长：组员：2014年1月2日安全系统工程课程设计i摘要：本文在调查湖南科技大学南校区道路交通概况的基础上，运用海因里希法则、亚当斯事故因果连锁模型、博德事故因果连锁理论、北川彻三事故因果连锁理论、两类危险源理论及轨迹交叉论等事故致因理论分析校园道路交通事故发生的内在规律性，从理论上为事故成因分析，防范措施制定，改进安全管理工作提供可靠依据。再从系统工程学的角度出发，将广泛应用于系统安全研究中的预先危险性分析、故障类型和影响分析、事故树分析法、事件树分析法、鱼刺图分析法及安全检查表法应用到校园道路交通安全分析中。从人、车、道路和环境、管理四个方面，分析引起校园道路交通事故的各个因素，得出校园道路交通安全事故的发生概率适中，但预防和控制难度较大的结论，并提出预防和控制校园道路交通事故发生的安全对策措施。本文有助于学校领导者对引起校园道路交通事故发生的各个因素提高警惕意识，也为校园道路交通安全管理者进行管理工作提供理论依据。关键词：校园道路交通事故系统工程学事故成因分析事故致因理论安全分析安全对策措施Abstract：BasedonthesurveyofroadtrafficinthesouthcampusofHunanUniversityofScienceandTechnology,thispaperanalysestheinherentlawofcampustrafficaccidentsbyapplyingHeinrichrule,Adamsaccidentcause-effectchainmodel,KitagawaTetsuzoxaccidentcause-effectchaintheory,Bondaccidentcause-effectchaintheory,twoclassesofhazardtheory,trackcrossingtheoryandotheraccidentreasontheories,providingreliableevidencesforcauseanalysis,takingmeasuresandimprovementinsafetymanagement.Fromtheperspectiveofsystemengineering,thispaperappliedpreliminaryhazardanalysis,failuremodesandeffectsanalysis,faulttreeanalysis;eventtreeanalysis,fishbonediagramanalysisandsafetychecklistmethod,whichisallwidelyusedinsecuritysystemresearch.Thepaperanalysesvariousfactorscausingcampustrafficaccidentsfromfouraspects,i.e.people,vehicles,roadandsurroundings,management,andcomestotheconclusionthatprobabilityofcampustrafficaccidentsismediumbutdifficulttopreventandcontrol.Inaddition,theauthorofferssafetymeasurestopreventandcontrolcampustrafficaccidents.Ithelpstoenhancealertnessofuniversityleadersinfactorscausingcampustrafficaccidentsandprovidesthetheorybasisformanagementincampustrafficsafetyaswell.Keywords:CampusroadTrafficaccidentsSystemengineeringAccidentscauseanalysisAccidentreasontheorySafetyanalysisSafetymeasures.安全系统工程课程设计ii目录第一章绪论..................................................................................................11.1课题背景..................................................................................................................11.2交通概况..................................................................................................................11.2.1交通位置及平面布置..........................................................................................................11.2.2拟解决的问题及简要分析..................................................................................................41.2.3船山路及思成路交汇处数据统计.....................................................................................71.3研究方法及主要步骤..............................................................................................81.4本章小结..................................................................................................................9第二章事故致因理论..................................................................................102.1海因里希法则........................................................................................................102.2博德事故因果连锁理论........................................................................................122.3亚当斯因果连锁模型............................................................................................152.4北川彻三事故因果连锁理论................................................................................162.5轨迹交叉论............................................................................................................182.6两类危险源理论....................................................................................................192.7本章小结................................................................................................................20第三章系统安全分析..................................................................................213.1预先危险性分析....................................................................................................213.1.1概述...................................................................................................................................213.1.2交通系统预先危险性分析................................................................................................223.2故障类型和影响分析............................................................................................233.2.1概述...................................................................................................................................233.2.2交通系统故障类型和影响分析........................................................................................243.3事件树分析法........................................................................................................263.3.1概述...................................................................................................................................263.3.2交通系统事故树分析........................................................................................................273.4事故树分析法........................................................................................................293.4.1概述........................................................................................