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():62012050,,,,,,3,,;;;Pre2warningandStrategyofFinancialSecurityinChinaunderNewSituationXUWen2qin,LecturerZHAOYan2ping,Prof.OUYANGYu2xiu(JiangsuUniversity)Classificationandcodeofdisciplines:620.2050Abstract:Undernewsituationoffinancialglobalization,thereexistsomecriticalproblemsoffinancialsecurityinChina.Somecausesaresimilartothosehappenedinotherdevelopingcountries,andsomeareassociatedwithspecifichistoricaleconomictransitionstageinChina.Alltheseareanalyzedindetail.Referringthelessonsofpreviousglobalfinancialcrises,especiallythatofSoutheastAsiaandtherealityinChina,suggestiontoconstructpre2warningindexsystemoffinancialsecurityandpre2warningmechanismandotherrelevantsupplementarymeasuresisputforward.InordertosafeguardthefinancialsecurityinChinaandmostimportantly,itispointedoutinacreativewaythatthewarningindexsysteminChinashouldincludeatleastthreelevels:nationalmacroeconomicoperationindex,pre2warningindexforfinancialinstitutionandcurrencysecurity.Inclusivemeasuresatdifferentlevelsshouldbetaken.Keywords:FinancialglobalizationFinancialsecurityPre2warningsystemSecuritystrategy1,,,,,(WTO),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,;;,,14920049ChinaSafetyScienceJournalVol.14No.9Sep.2004,,,2211,2080,90,,,,,,,,:2.1.1,200420776,16.6%,18898,19.2%,2.112,20025,18,;,118917,460,50%,3,1.19%,2.10%9.99%,15.00%,2.113,,2003,39.9%,13.74%,19%,,,:(1),;(2),,,;(3)(),,,2.114,,,,2122.2.1,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:2.2.2,,,,,2.2.3,,2.2.4,,,,,,,2.2.5,,53:,,,WTO,,:(1),,,,,(2),,,2.2.6,,,,,;,,,;,,,;,,,,2.2.7,,3311,,,,,,,312,,,,,,,,3.2.1(1),,;,,1996,6%,,198819958%14%,,(2),(3),,(4),,,M2GDP(5),,3.2.2:(CapitalAdequacy)(AssetQuali2ty)(Management)(Earning)(Liquidity)(Sen2sitivitytomarketrisk)CAMEL(S)(),1979,,,3.2.3(1)GDP,,,GDP5%7.8%,9.7%,7.7%63ChinaSafetyScienceJournal142004(2),,80%1997619946134%46.6%,80%;143.5%,168.7%490.2%,80%(3),,,,,25%(4),GDP,40%,199650.3%,59.7%(5),20%208030%(6),100%313,,3.3.1,,,,,,,3.3.2(1),;,(2),,,,,,,(3),,,,(4),3.3.3(1),,:,;,,,(2),(),:;,,,,,,,;10%;,;;;,10%;;;,,;(3),,,(4),,;,73:;,,,;,;,(5),;;;3.3.4,,,;,,3.3.5,,;,4WTO,,,,,;,;,,,,,,,,(:20047;:;();:212013)1.2004[EB/OL].[EB/OL].:[EB/OL].[J].,2004,(5):11185,.[M].:,20026.[M].:,20017.[M].:,20018,.[J].,2003,(1):35389.[J].,2003,(2):495010.[J].,2003,(5):303983ChinaSafetyScienceJournal142004,196210,19847,19896,20046,20,3,50196411,19857,,,2003200410,43,,10,,1969219927,,;20003();20036;20031130,,,,19561982,,11120,15,196811,1994,1997,2000,2002,2003,2004,,1978,()()B