中南民族大学硕士学位论文金融危机以来新加坡经济转型路径初探姓名:李静媛申请学位级别:硕士专业:专门史指导教师:刘连银20070501I20011999W1999200020011.9%200521IIAbstractSincefinancialcrisisinSoutheastAsia,Singaporelowfanofeconomy,whoseeconomyroadofrecoveringarerathercircuitous.,afterenteringthenewcenturysinceSingaporehasbeencaughtinanindependencein2001,thegravestdecay,thisfeasibleSingaporefadeoutofpeople'skeninsuccessivesteps.BythefactthateconomydevelopsstatusandtheirpatternsystemsanalysisofeconomicgrowthtoSingaporebehindthefinancialcrisis,wethecomponentbeingabletodiscoverSingaporeeconomybeinggotintotroublebyareaisverybig,Singaporehasconditionally,comingtoaccomplishnewstructuraladjustmentstrength,changingrealizingwhoseeconomicdevelopmentstrategy,takingasanexampledrivewhoseeconomytotransform,reappearininformerdayselegantappearanceandbearing.Therevolutionoftyperoutethatthismakesnewcanbetodependonscienceandtechnologybriefly.Singaporesizeofacountryareaonly682squarekilometers,population3,260,000,isoneofoneoftheimportantcountry,bealsointheworldatthesametimemosttherichest25SoutheastAsiacountries.Singaporeisthatnewlyindustrializingcountries,Zengbeingadevelopingcountrybutrisingabruptlycatchredoubledattentionfromhereandoverseas,peoplejointlycallsitandKoreaRepublic,Taiwan,HongKongfoursmalldragons.Singaporecountrypairofeconomicandsocialdevelopmentaltitudeparticipation,governmenthigh-effect,legalinstitutionsperfectbutsevere,state-ownedenterpriseisamplebutbecomesmarket-orientedmanagetheachievementeffecthasovertopedprivatebusinessesobviously,country'seconomicpatternhadhadmanytimesadaptabilitypromotionadjustment,thesetobeSingaporeeconomicandsocialdevelopmentonly.KeywordsSingaporeEconomytransformsKnowledgeinnovation1□______2“√”168232625“”•——·23“”1999200020011.9%200520051017.6%320051031%24%20051034%20055.7%20063%~5%1.1-11.1-21.1-11999-2006GDP%GDPGDP19996.820031.120009.72005*5.72001-1.92006*3-520022.21.1-220011534.551=1.82-1.93.3%1%---20014“911”2002,2001,,,,1999~200170~8620064.3GDP0.2%,1.1-32001788502002871502003—0“—”monthydigestofstatiscs,ministryoftradeandindustrySingapore19991-411356675.4%5805555.44%5.36%2001200010%2001763603499.8%16.8%22%7.4%3.7%3.3%199925.9%2004522%49%33%200617200571604392.614%200620067%-9%1.1-4%%19991-41135-5.42004222001636020051-1171601420017349-9.82006*7-92003274061994•PaulKrugman1994“”1994ForeignAffairs“”PacificMyths“”“”30“”“”2090“”7“”199419961997·“”─“”2—1“”─——218“”“”150·RobertSolow8020196619908.56.610275119661990114094070“”──22“”[1]“”10“”“”80“”—11[2][3]80─“”“”12708090“”—“”90“”13“”“”“”“”“”“”“”-8014152070808090“”8019851617199780420%50%199614%199762511.437271811.45001.45997234%0.4%7248111.47008151.5%271.510112511.6019981221.741199881811.7819.66%83.51%41.07%1997102324%199712055.44,19989856.43,1460%1999199719972701998163.740%19965NPLs1999334712.5%24.3%8%1/41/3901998199019984.4%,0.1%,2.1%,1.1%,0.3%199919,5.4%19981998199819972.4%19983.2%,62100.“”199919982019981110515%19992090199710199820%--25%199769.3%199887.4%,7.1%8.2%199820%199862015%10%29%43%901994199717%5%8%10075%199990199810%27.5199919996.7%,7.1%,5.4%1998124.5%1999122.9%211999-200020019·11200220033.2—13.2-1:1998199920002001200220032004()-0.96.49.4-2.02.21.15.2-7.46.18.50.34.15.25.2-10.54.44.61.95.26.38.213.10.84.93.43.74.14.5-0.63.44.43.04.44.54.52004200451“EastAsiaGrowth,Recovery,andRestructuring—AregionalUpdate.2001“9·11”2000200220032004229080“”20012020054.65“9·11”232001“9·11”200220401940•40[4]24H•“”[5]2526“”“”“”20506019602719672070801979“”1760%70%198019846%704%1985198620901985198610200138%37.4%GDPGDP19603.5%19702.3%19801.3%19900.3%19930.2%GDPGDP196017.6%197030.1%198037.6%199036.1%199336.7%28200231.9%GDPGDP196011.6%197020.4%198028.6%199029.6%199327.5%GDPGDP60%196078.9%197067.6%198961.1%199062.6%199363.1%200264.1%[5]2080GDP25%-28%GDP40%[6]19592050601960GDPGDP78.9%2060196720701985292080198519972001“21”——·MichaelPoter[8]GDP10%5%5-105GDP5%11998199820044500-5000IT2000209030JVC199458.8199694199855199971“21”———2“”“”“”902001“”“”2002“”103000“”31“”“”33540%50%51050%30%90%90%“”510“21”1020002000810.578.82110152051520004323025002520028.3%“”200420004“21”“”“”(NCB)(TAS)(IDA)“”2003“”1995801991200012.540“”433,208030%199128.16424.8%“”19971998“21”34(MTI)35W“”36[1][M].2001[2].[M]200410[3][M]2000[4][M]2003[5][J]2002[6]•[M]2000[7]•[J]ForeignAffairs1994[8]•[J]1996[9][M]20033[10][M]1988[11][M]792001[12]“”“”[M]2000[13][M]2002[14]··----[M]1999[15]·E····[M]2003[16][M]2001[17][M]2001[18][M]1998[19]—[M]1999[20][M]1999[21]----2002-20051237[22][M]1997[23][M]2000[24][M]2003[25][J]19991[26]2005420051—12[27][M]2003[28][M]1999[29]1998[J]1999[30][31]“EastAsiaGrowth,Recovery,andRestructuring—AregionalUpdate.38[1]“”2000[2]199788-109[3]199432-36[4]1991861-896[5]H·Chenery1998[6]•200011207-23339“”200754020075