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中南民族大学硕士学位论文金融支持与广西经济的发展研究姓名：冯德元申请学位级别：硕士专业：中国少数民族经济指导教师：张跃平20090420IIIAbstractSincereformandopeningup,withtheimplementationofthewesterndevelopmentstrategy.Guangxi'seconomyhasseenrapiddevelopment,alongwitheconomicdevelopment.financialroleinpromotingGuangxieconomicdevelopmentisincreasinglyclear.Guangxidevelopmentisinseparablefromthesupportofthemodernfinancialsystemandtheexternalfinancialsupport,inadditiontoregulationofthemarketmechanism.,Governmentshouldformulateareasonablemonetarypolicytopromotethedevelopmentoffinancialandenhanceeconomicdevelopment,Inthispaper,regionaleconomicdevelopmenttheoryandthetheoryoffinancialdevelopmentintheresearchbase.Throughtheoreticalanalysisofthefinancialsupportandthegeneralrelationshipbetweeneconomicdevelopment.revealedakeyeconomicdevelopmentissuesandthelawofGuangxi.thenusetheempiricalandspecificanalysisonGuangxifinancialsupportandeconomictogetfullandeffectiveconclusions.Finally.Furtherstudytherelationshipbetweentheaccumulationoffinancialsupportandcapacity.putforwardtargetedpolicyrecommendations,providereferencetoeconomicdevelopmentofGuangxi'sfinancial.Inthefirstpart,Introducetheoryoffinancialdevelopmentandregionaleconomicdevelopment,Providetheoreticalbasistothearticle.Theoryoffinancialdevelopmentmainlyincludingfinancialconstraintsandfinancialrepressionandfinancialdeepening.Theoryofregionaleconomicdevelopmentmainlyincludingunevendevelopmentandgradient.Inthesecondpart.IntroduceGuangxieconomyandGuangxifinancial,findouttheproblems,suchasfinancialmarketsgrowthretardationandorganizationunreasonable.Inlightoftheactual,thenanalysisofthereasons.Inthethirdpart,Includingchapterfourthtoseventh.Analysisoffinancialtransferpaymentandcreditandcapitalmarketsandinsurancemarket.Findouttheproblems,thenanalysishowtovariousfinancialfactorsplayaroleinpromotingthedevelopmentoffinancial.Inthefourthpart,proposemonetarypolicyinGuangxi,Guangxi'seconomicdevelopmentmustbeasoundfinancialmarketsystem,improvetheoperatingefficiencyoffinancialinstitutions,Fostertheideaofaharmoniousfinancial,Constructionofthecoordinateddevelopmentofinternalandexternalfunds,highlighttheinternalcapacityofself-accumulation,givetheeffectiveprovisionGuangxi'seconomicdevelopment.KeywordsGuangxieconomy;Guangxifinancial;Financialdevelopment;Financialsupport1______2112321.1969197319732.3411.19572.1.121996512R1969361973RE341l.19992.:19963..19974..1998611..1.2002781.2006GDP4720.9513.5%1GDP10%11.9%52%GDP11024012.2%2.1.2%1.21.6%0.9%3.200628522716.3%354.15%2006568.0819.5%9492.71300342.2820.9728.5719.12006497218.3%359517.9%120061597.8320.1%1.2108123.8%46%1200792,,1421.936.5%16685.1%3GDP38.3%33.3%2.412006234812.3%231600.814.6%130%111759358725%40%56.936.9,32.6242%8.8%31.291/2.58/1222/4GDP14.4%GDP1114005632506573006159732198.7236.412.52.410.9682782242006120071020065029.5,18%,13,73636.9,17.15%,10,52006615.4211145.75,,2006,22,1.53%,121180%132GDP,,GDP,GDP1.(s)2.(d)3.(s)4.(fc)5.(gr)GDP,,,C-DGDP:GDP=A(S)A1(B)A2(ST)A3(FC)A4(G)A5:log(GDP)=A0+A1log(S)+A2log(B)+A3log(ST)+A4log(FC)+A5log(G)1...2006.2...2006.12:GDPSBST()FCGA1,A2,A3,A4,A5,A0,3-1FCGDPSBSTFCG199742541678.741324.611789.6610.26199842121878.31645.328118.97122.3219994253212118018389.41213.1200044252311.071598.259427.49139.15200147212638.941684.05497.156.01242.02200251722813.152011.07412.956.92314.22200361013209.342402.66410.547.1339.31200470343710.192802.65324.855.38403.68200591424202.843056.86265.446.39475.372006102404971.863595.25417.817.11568.811,210,:(1)90,80,(2)90,,,,log(GDP)=A0+A1log(S)+A2log(B)+A3log(ST)+A4log(FC)+A5log(G),:132lncludedobservations:15VariableCoefficientStd.Errort-StatisticProb.C0.9213240.3664221.9689660.0387LOG(S)0.2164350.2041730.8615170.2974LOG(B)1.1855310.1938993.2699280.0018LOG(ST)-0.009360.010734-2.9819330.0211LOG(FC)0.0367830.0684381.1056160.1946LOG(G)-0.1593770.045231-2.952760.0009R-squarde0.996859Meandependentvar7.261833AdjustedR-squared0.995138S.D.dependentvar0.498153S.E.ofregression0.031788Akaikeinfocriterion-1.72731Sumsquaredresid0.014934Schwarzcriterion-1947389Loglikelihood22.36247F-statistic406.3851Durbin-Watsonstat1.591638Prob(F-statistic)0.000000log(GDP)=0.9213+0.2164log(S)+1.185log(B)--0.0093log(ST)+0.0367log(FC)-0.1593log(G)R2=0.9968R2=0.9951F=406D.W=1.591S.E=0.03171.R2R2,2.F,1%F,SBSTFCGGDP3.S.EGDP0.3%,,1.2.1.185,,,3.GDP,:123,14,15102006578.0818.5%9091.71300342.2820.9728.5719.17.526.94.54.3,,200013.36%,200115.27%,200215.64%,,200614.26%2000-111.432006-386.93,,20009.83%20019.20%,2006,8.53%12000,2000126.822006512.58233.05%37.56%,8.512,200054.59200686.68,65.57%,13.42%20004.87200688.53,1648.62%,256.34%,20002.82200627.73764.48%125.76%200058.172006195.48247.36%32.83%,,,,,,1200716,,2000-2006,72,20002.92,200625.833.14%5.18%,1,,,,1,,,,,,2,,,1.[J],200317,,,1,,2,,,,1.[J],20012.[J],20031812006,4871.86,20002.313.3%1.5%,20000.43595.25,20002.113.6%1.5%,20000.31.2006,515.08,20003.7526.2%,20005.9%200610.9%2.2006,1204.54,2000523.25,56.8%,9.1%2844.22,20002.2,12.5%,63.0%,20003.1200056.3%200653.3%,200042.7%200652.1%21.2006,2259.80,20004.330.2%,,20.92525.54,20002.7,22.1%,200020.7%