Source:ACNielsenRetailMarketStudy/资料来源:AC尼尔森零售普查-46-ACNielsenRetailMarketStudyAC尼尔森零售普查INTRODUCTIONChina,oneofthemostfast-changingFMCGmarketsintheworld,hasbeengrowingatastaggeringpaceforthelast10years.Itiscreatingopportunitiesandchallengesforbothmultinationalandlocalsuppliers.Asaresult,understandingthemarket’sstructureanddevelopmentisasimportantasevertosuccessfulmarketing.RetailMarketStudyResultsInregionscoveredbyACNielsen's2004RetailMarketstudy,therewereanestimated4.5millionoutletscomparedto4.6millionin2003,thathandledfastmovingconsumergoods(FMCGs)incitiesandtowns.Thisrepresentsanannualgrowthrateof0%.SalesofFMCGproductsthroughtheseoutletshavegrownfromRMB38.5billionin2003to40.6billionin2004.Thisrepresentsanannualgrowthrateof5%comparedtothe2003estimateof38.5billion.Thussalesperstorehasgrownby9%.Thechangesbygeography,populationcentreandstoretypeallvarysignificantlyfromthenationalaverages.Salesofcitiesgrowthfastthantownwhilesignificantgrowthofthemoderntrade*isagainevidenced.Thenumberofmoderntradestoreshasincreased35%from2003,whichcontributebyconveniencestores.butsaleshaveincreased21%meaningthatthesalesperoutlethavedecreased.Thiswouldmeanthatonemustachievedistributioninagrowingnumberofstores,inordertoremainexposedtothesameshareofconsumerexpenditure.前言作为全球最富有生机的快速消费品市场之一,过去10年以来中国一直在以惊人的速度持续增长。这无疑给本土企业和外资企业都带来了许多机会和挑战。正因为如此,了解零售市场的结构和发展态势开始变得和制定成功的市场策略同样重要。零售普查结果在AC尼尔森2004年零售普查所覆盖的区域当中,预计城镇地区共计有450万个销售快速消费品的零售网点,与2003年相比未有增长。这些零售网点的销售额在2002年为362亿元,2003年这一数字大约为385亿元。2004年的销售额进一步达到406亿元,同比增长了5%。由于零售网点数量已开始减少而销售额有5%的速度增长,因此单店的销售额与2003年相比增长了9%。不同地理区域、不同人口分布以及不同门店类型与全国整体趋势相比情况都有明显的差别。整体销售额上,城市比乡镇增长尤其迅速,而现代渠道*的增长仍然明显。现代渠道门店数量较2003年增加了35%,当中的增长由便利店所带动,意味着门店的开设更贴近消费者。而同时销售额的增长率仅为21%,因此单店的销售额呈下降趋势。这也意味着为争取到同等比例的消费者的花费,生产商需要增加铺货的范围,把货铺到更多的门店。Source:ACNielsenRetailMarketStudy/资料来源:AC尼尔森零售普查-47-ACNielsenRetailMarketStudyAC尼尔森零售普查现代渠道仅占全国零售网点总量的1%,但其销售额所占的比例却占了全国销售总额的33%以及主要城市(4大重点城市加上23个A类城市)**销售额的57%。2004年全国大卖场的门店数量增长了37%,但销售额仅增长了26%,因此单店的销售额下降了8%。虽然现代渠道在持续增长,传统渠道***仍然占所有零售网点的99%,与2003年相比销售额下降1%,门店数量减少4%,因此单店的销售额上升了5%。注解:*现代渠道包括大卖场、超市、便利店。**4个重点城市:北京、上海、广州和成都23个A类城市:北区:长春、大连、哈尔滨、沈阳、太原、石家庄、青岛、济南、天津东区:杭州、南京、郑州、合肥南区:武汉、长沙、福州、南昌、深圳西区:重庆、西安、贵阳、南宁、昆明***传统渠道包括杂货店、售货亭以及其他类型的店铺。Themoderntrade,accountsforlessthan1%oftotalnationalstorecountbutcontributes33%oftotalnationalsalesand57%ofkeycity(4keycities+23ACities)**totalsales.Hypermarketsatthenationallevelhaveincreasedby37%instorenumbersbetween2003and2004,and26%insales,whichmeansthattheperstoresaleshavedecreasedby8%.Althoughthemoderntradeisincreasing,thetraditionaltrade***stillaccountsfor99%ofoutlets,andtherehasbeenannualgrowthof-4%from2004,whilstsaleshavedecreased1%V.S.2004.Perstoresaleshaveslightgrowthof5%.Note:*Moderntradeincludeshypermarkets,supermarkets,conveniencestores.**4KeyCities:Beijing,Shanghai,Guangzhou,Chengdu23ACities:North:Changchun,Dalian,Haerbin,Shenyang,Taiyuan,Shijiazhuang,Qingdao,Jinan,Tianjin,East:Hangzhou,Nanjing,Zhengzhou,HefeiSouth:Wuhan,Changsha,Fuzhou,Nanchang,ShenzhenWest:Chongqing,Xi'an,Guiyang,Nanning,Kunming.***Traditionaltradeincludesgroceries,kiosksandothermiscellaneousstoretypesSource:ACNielsenRetailMarketStudy/资料来源:AC尼尔森零售普查-48-FMCGRetailMarketDevelopment非耐用消费品零售市场总体发展ACNielsenDefinedNational(City&Town)AC尼尔森定义的全国(城市+城镇)GrowthRateofFMCGOutletCount&SalesTurnover非耐用消费品零售网点数量和销售增长率ACNielsenRetailMarketStudyAC尼尔森零售普查FMCGACV(millionRMB)非耐用消费品销售额(百万元)FMCGOutlet('000)非耐用消费品零售网点数量('000)4,6482002200320044,6424,481+0%-3%20022003200436,19338,45940,620+6%+6%-3-52-8635ACNielsenDefinedNational(City+Town)AC尼尔森定义的全国(城市+城镇)Cities城市Towns城镇FMCGOutlets%Chg04vs03网点数增长率04年比03年FMCGSales/Outlets%Chg04vs03单点销售额增长率04年比03年FMCGSales%Chg04vs03网点销售额增长率04年比03年076-1121996-108-6Hyper/Supermarket大卖场/超市Grocery/Kiosk杂货店/售货亭AllOtherStores其他类型商店Source:ACNielsenRetailMarketStudy/资料来源:AC尼尔森零售普查-49-FMCGRetailMarketStructurebyShopType非耐用消费品零售市场结构(按商店类型划分)ACNielsenDefinedNational(City&Town)AC尼尔森定义的全国(城市+城镇)ACNielsenRetailMarketStudyAC尼尔森零售普查FMCGStoreCountsAnnualMonthlyFMCGSalesAnnualNumberofOutletsGrowthMillionRMBGrowth售卖非耐用消费品的商店数年度增长率非耐用消费品月销售额(百万元)年度增长率200220032004(%)200220032004(%)DEFINDEDNATIONALCITIES+TOWNS定义的全国城市+城镇TotalFMCGHandlers4,648,6164,642,3554,480,940-3%36,19338,45940,6206%所有非耐用消费品销售网点100%100%100%100%100%100%Hyper/Supermarkets/CVS28,11440,37554,47135%9,48011,20213,57021%大卖场/超市/便利店0.6%0.9%1.2%26.2%29.1%33.4%Grocery+Kiosk3,247,0973,214,6102,960,426-8%24,00124,38224,146-1%杂货店+售货亭69.9%69.2%66.1%66.3%63.4%59.4%OtherFMCGHandlers1,373,4051,387,3701,466,0436%2,7132,8762,9041%其他非耐用消费品销售网点29.5%29.9%32.7%7.5%7.5%7.1%FMCGStoreCountsAnnualMonthlyFMCGSalesAnnualNumberofOutletsGrowthMillionRMBGrowth售卖非耐用消费品的商店数年度增长率非耐用消费品月销售额(百万元)年度增长率200220032004(%)200220032004(%)DEFINDEDNATIONALCITIES+TOWNS定义的全国城市+城镇TotalFMCGHandlers4,648,6164,642,3554,480,940-3%36,19338,45940,6206%所有非耐用消费品销售网点100%100%100%100%100%100%NationalCity2,460,9662,505,7552,461,346-2%27,45429,41531,5687%全国城市52.9%54.0%54.9%75.9%76.5%77.7%A-Cities+BJ/SH/GZ/CD645,652665,209663,7740%12,44813,27314,76111%23个A类城市+北京/上海/广州/成都13.9%14.3%14.8%