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232Vol.23No.220092JournalofAridLandResourcesandEnvironmentFeb.2009:1003-7578(2009)02-095-063,,,(,,710062):,,30,,;3,;,OLS,:,1.2218%;,782,0.2633%,:;;;:F590:A,,,40,1966(W.H.Terjung)(ComfortIndex)[1],1973(J.E.Oliver)[2],[3],,,,[4-6],[7-10],,,,,,,,,,,303,,,1,()31.1[11]3:2007-12-24:(40271052)(2007CXS013):(1981.12-),,,,:E-mail:malijun@stu.snnu.edu.cn:(1961.3-),,,,,,Et=Td-0.55(1-f)(Td-58),Td,:THI=(1.8t+32)-0.55(1-f)(1.8t-26)(1):THI,t();f(%)1.2[2](WCI)33,(kcal/m2h),:WCI=(33-t)(9.0+10.9V-V)(2):WCI,t(),V(m/s),[11][2][1],,(1)1Tab.1THIandWCIgradestandard(THI)(WCI)40,e-1000e-44045,d-800-1000d-34550,c-600-800c-25060,b-300-600b-16070,A-200-300A07075,B-50-200B-17580,C+80-50C-28085,D+160+80D-385,E+160E-42,,3,,19712000(1)(2)1,,(2)2Tab.2THIandWCIofBeijing123456789101112/-3.7-0.75.814.219.924.426.224.820.013.14.6-1.5/%444446465361757768615749/m/s2.62.83.13.22.82.42.01.82.02.12.42.535.439.147.157.765.072.176.374.366.256.144.537.4eecbABCBAbde879.9823.6682.4475.6320.1201.9152.4178.9291.4451.6667.0818.8ddcbbABBAbcd:19712001,,,,12.3,1-3.7,7,26.2,644mm,,,,,,,5910,59A,,;46810Bb,,;7,;311,6923;1212,,2.5m/s69A,;457810Bb,;311c,;1212d,,20088,83,,2005363,36.2;1.25,1300RMB,,-,3.1,3,,,;,,3,1Fig.1MonthlyvariationofoverseastouristsinBeijing.2Fig.2MonthlyvariationofdomestictouristsinBeijing1200420061,M,46811,8.810.4%;7,,8.5%;1212,,4.87.0%;24,;1012,3.2,,,2,,,457810,8.6%8.4%9.2%9.7%8.8%,544.7%,,,12,2,,6.57.5%;34,7.8%8.6%;691112,8.18.7%(3)7923Tab.3MonthlyaveragevisitorsandmonthlyindexesinBeijing123456789101112/16.818.926.532.731.130.930.134.2434.736.533.824.7/%4.85.47.69.38.98.88.59.89.910.49.67.0/88.677.293.2102.199.798.2109.8114.8103.8104.299.696.8/%7.56.57.88.68.48.39.29.78.78.88.48.1:,4,,,,:,,(),(0,,,,,);,,4.1,2,,,,:edcbABCDE-4-3-2-10-1-2-3-4(1),edcbABCDE(),,,781,2-1,,4.24.2.1,3,,,,3,OLS,:Qi=10.344+1.2218Ci+1.526Ti,r=0.9045(3):Qi,Ci(),Ti,101,01,()1.2218%4.2.2,3,,,OLS,:Qi=8.699+0.2633Ci+1.1472Ti,r=0.9646(4):Ti,781,2-1,01,()0.2633%,(34),,,20045,589233Fig.3Comparisonofstatisticnumberandsimulatednumberofmonthlyindexofoverseastourists4Fig.4Comparisonofstatisticnumberandsimulatednumberofmonthlyvariationofdomestictourists5,,,,59A,,;46810Bb,,;7,;311,;1212,,,;,,,:,1.2218%,0.2633%,[1]WHTerjung.PhysiologicClimatesoftheContentiousUnitedStates:ABioclimaticClassificationBasedonman[J].AnnalA.A.G.,1966,5(1):141-179.[2]JEOliver.ClimateandMan’sEnvironment:AnIntroductiontoAppliedClimatology[J].NewYouk:JohnWiley&son’sINC.,1973,195-206.[3]DavidDHoughton.HandbookofAppliedMeteorology[M].NewYork:JohnWiley&Sons.Inc.,1985,778-811.[4]ThomEC.AnewconceptforcoolingdegreedaysAirCondition[J].Heat&Ventilation,1957,54:73-80.[5]ThomEC.CoolingdegreedaysAirCondition[J].Heat&Ventilation,1958,55:65-72.[6]TerjungWH.Worldpatternofthedistributionofmonthlycomfortindex[J].Int.J.Biomefeorol.,1968,12:119-151.[7].[J].,1984,34(1):28-26.[8],,.[J].,1998,(1):60-63.[9],,,.[J].,2004,23(6):856-861.[10],,,.[J].,1999,25(11):50-54.[11],,.[J].,2007,29(1):133140.992CorrelativeAnalysisonClimateComfortableDegreeandMonthlyVariationsofTouristsinBeijingMALi-jun,SUNGen-nian,KANGGuo-dong,WANGMei-hong(CollegeofTourismandEnvironmentScience,ShaanxiNormalUniversity,Xi’an710062,China)AbstractClimatecomfortdegreeisthekeyfactortotourismdevelopment,anditdirectlyaffectsthelengthoftouristseasonandthenumberoftouristsineachmonth.Theclimaticdataof30yearswasusedinthisresearchtoana2lyzetheclimatecomfortabledegreeofBeijing;thegradesoffitnessanditstemporaldistributionweredivided;themonthlyvariationoftheinternationaltouristsandthedomestictouristsinrecent3yearswereusedtodividedthedullseasonandbusyseasonfortourismandthemonthlyindex;Basedonthenumericalvaluedclimatecom2fortdegreeandfictitiousfactors,thecorrelationofmonthlyindexandclimatecomfortdegreewasfoundedbythemethodofOLS.Resultsshowed:thevariationofinternationaltouristsinayearwasmainlyaffectedbythecli2mate,monthlyindexofclimaticcoefficientofelasticitywas1.2218%;thedomestictourismofBeijingwasaf2fectednotonlybyclimatecomfortableness,butalsobytheSpringFestivalinFebruaryandthesummerholidaysinJulyandAuguest;monthlyindexofclimaticcoefficientofelasticitywas0.2633%;Asciencebasiswasprovid2edfortheforecastingtouristsnumberinBeijinganditssurroundingareasinayear,exploitingthetourismre2sourceandprogrammingthescenicspots.Keywords:climatecomfortdegree;monthlyvariationoftourists;correlativeanalysis;Beijing00123