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18120091ResourcesandEnvironmentintheYangtzeBasinVol.18No.1Jan.2009:100428227(2009)01200862061,2,1,23,1,1(1.,100875;2.,100875):,,,,,,:;;;;:A,,,[1],(Katrina),,,,,Holling1973,[2],[3],,Buckle[4];(UN/ISDR)[5],;Pelling[6];Rose[7];BoosikKang[8],,,,,,1,(),,[9,10],:2007210221;:2007211229:(40671003)(40425008).:(1980),,,,/.E2mail:zhouhongjian_1980@hotmail.com3E2mail:sqq@bnu.edu.cn[9],[11,12][48][13,14],:,,;,,,(1),:,(),,,(1):,,();,,()1Fig.1ResilienceConceptualModelofAgriculturalDroughtBasedonRegionalDisasterSystemTheory22.1[15],,,,[12](2),103.3km2,,,,432,,,,2Fig.2LocationofGaopaiRiverWatershedinDingchengDistrictofHunanProvince2005,()(3),,,(4),,32005Fig.3ComparisonofPrecipitationandTemperatureofGaopaiRiverWatershedin2005781:42005Fig.4RatiosofAreaforAgriculturalDroughtHazardandDisasterofGaopaiRiverWatershedin2005,,,,()(4),,,0512%717%2316%,01518%3618%4215%,,,,,,,,32005,,,2.2,(2)(GPS),6(2),1.52km(),250500m,,36(9,1975m;17,4680m;10,2200m)(5m),32101:(50m)(6212%)(1611%)(711%);(50100m)(5713%)(2314%)(812%);(100m)(4818%)(3211%)(819%)45,,3;2/3,35005000,0.310.40hm2/33.1,,,(1),9%,,;1Tab.1AltitudeandLandUseStructureBasedonLandUseSurveyDataofGaopaiRiverWatershed(m)(m)()(m)(m)138255023245250()038356250()010462500()1104587250()01688200047100250()018125250()079139250()1228817,,,,0.4%4.0%;,,,,;,,,(2),,,100110m,120m;,92%,85%92%,68%88%;(),7%,8%15%,12%31%2Tab.2AltitudeandLandUseStructureBasedonFarmerSurveyDataofGaopaiRiverWatershed(m)(hm2)(hm2)()(%)()3040220.370.340.02792.977.034050100.380.350.03693.276.73506090.390.360.04091.908.106070100.420.370.05487.1612.847080110.450.400.05189.5210.488090180.330.290.05187.1512.859010040.330.280.05085.0015.0010011050.310.270.05087.2312.7711012060.380.280.12073.6826.3212060.640.440.20068.6831.321010.390.330.06585.1514.85,,,3.2,,,,,,,,,(3),,,,50m5330,50100m4460,100m4020;,783110120m,13826070m,3Tab.3FarmerLaborQuantityandAnnualNetIncomeofFarmersUnderDiffrentAltitude(m)()()(%)()()3040224.733.8260.73641713574050105.203.4079.414250817506093.893.3360.06400010286070104.403.1074.19608113827080113.553.0063.33434212238090183.753.0661.7633008809010044.003.5071.434650116310011055.403.2093.754750112311012063.833.2068.75300088012063.833.0072.3343007831014.263.3167.3742941008,3.3,,,,(4),,3618%3517%,()916%,,316%,,1413%,,(),(),,,,,(4),6313%,;30%981:4Tab.4FarmerCuturalLevelandIncomeSourcesofFarmersUnderDiffrentAltitude(m)(%)()30401512.736.531.712.76.480%-21;20%-1405077.437.040.714.80.042.9%-21;42.9%-1;14.2%-25060520.030.040.010.00.060%-21;40%-16070723.333.336.76.70.071.4%-21;28.6%-1708083.254.825.89.76.562.5%-21;37.5%-1809050.013.668.218.20.080%-21;20%-190100414.350.028.67.10.025%-431;25%-21;50%-1100110426.330.520.56.815.825%-321;25%-41;50%-21110531.636.831.60.00.060%-21;40%-16014.336.835.79.63.663.3%-21;30%-1::1,2,3,4,.,80%-212180%,5:2112431321.,;,,,,,,,,,,,3.4,()(),,55Fig.5RelationshipBetweenAgriculturalDroughtResilienceandMainInfluenceFactors,(),,4,:(1),,(),,,,(2),,;,,,2005,,,;,0917:[1],,,.(IHDP)[J].,2006,61(2):115126.[2]HOLLINGCS.Resilienceandstabilityofecologicalsystems[J].AnnualReviewofEcologyandSystematic,1973(4):123.[3],,,.[J].,2006,21(2):211218.[4]BUCKLEP,GRAHAMM,SMALES.Assessingresilienceandvulnerabilityprinciplesstrategiesandactions[R].Emer2gencyManagementAustralia,DepartmentofDefenseProject,15/2000,2001.[5]UN/ISDR.Livingwithrisk:aglobalreviewofdisasterreduc2tioninitiatives[R].Preliminaryversionpreparedasaninter2agencyeffortco2ordinatedbytheISDRSecretariatGeneva,Switzerland,2002.[6]PELLINGM.Thevulnerabilityofcitiesnaturaldisastersandsocialresilience[M].London,UK:Earthscan,2003.[7]ROSEA.Definingandmeasuringeconomicresiliencetoearth2quakes[M]//Multidisciplinarycenterforearquakeengineeringre2search.ResearchProgressandAccomplishments:20032004(MCEER2042SP01).Buffalo:MCEERPublications,2004:4154.[8]KANGBOOSIK,LEESEUNG2JONG,KANGDONG2HYUN,etal.AfloodriskprojectionforYongdamdamagainstfutureclimatechange[J].JournalofHydro2EnvironmentRe2search,2007,7:18.[9].[J].,2005,14(6):17.[10].[J].,2004,13(6):616620.[11],,,.[J].(),2005(3):130137.[12],,.[J].,2005,14(4):522527.[13]JANSSENMA,OSTROME.Resilience,vulnerability,andadaptation:AcrosscuttingthemeoftheInternationalHumanDimensionsProgrammeonGlobalEnvironmentalChange[J].GlobalEnvironmentalChange,2006(16):237239.[14]GILBERTOCG.Linkagesbetweenvulnerability,resilience,andadaptivecapacity[J].GlobalEnvironmentalChange,2006(16):293303.[15],.[J].,2004,13(6):621625.ONINFLUENCEFACTORSOFAGRICULTURALDROUGHTRESILIENCEANALYSISBASEDONLANDUSEINVESTIGATIONANDHOMEINQUIRYDATAZHOUHong2jian1,2,WANGJing2ai1,2,JIAHui2cong1,YIXiang2sheng1(1.CollegeofGeographyandRemoteSensingScience,BeijingNormalUniversity,Beijing100875,China;2.KeyLaboratoryofRegionalGeography,BeijingNormalUniversity,Beijing100875,China)Abstract:Asanindexofabilitiesofresponse,resistanceandadaptationtothechangeofenvironment,resilience,whichplaythesamerolewithvulnerability(anotherattributeofhazard2affectedbody),enrichedanddefinedexactlythecharacteristicsofhazard2affectedbodieswhenitwasintroducedtothefieldofnaturaldisaster.Itisurgenttost