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1.2.2.12.1.1,12.1.2maxe0∞∫-rt[U(Yt)-TC(Yt)]dts.t.dR/dt=f(R)-YtU(Yt)TC(Yt),YtRf(R)f(R)=dR/dt|Yt=0Le-rt[U(Yt)-TC(Yt)-λ(Yt-f(R)+dR/dt)]=L(t,Yt,λ,R,dR/dt)dL/dYt=0,dL/dR=0,dL/dλ=0DMCλdλ/dt=(r-df/dR)λdR/dt=f(R)-YtDMCλ(dλ/dt)/λ=R-df/dRR-df/dR1P=LRMC+RTPLRMCRT(AIC)AICPV=I-(Vna-n)+∑a-j(Mj+Rj)+∑PQb-jPVIVn2ada=(1+d)j=1nMjRjPQbejb=(1+e)(1+d)2.22.2.12.2.1.112341W()QHin×=∑1nQHm3/s(m)i∑nQQiin×=1riirii:13:,2.2.1.2==/2.2.1.31121:11.5:12:11:11:12:11:13:13cm10012-207.5-1022-34100-12536300-3254kg/d0.6420150.50.14,,/tce2/tce23/tce32.2.2nnQB(Q0≥QB)0(Q0QB)Qmin==Σ(Qmin),i=1Q0QBPe=PrλPrλnnQmaxmin(Q∗,Q0)=Σ(Qmax),i=1Q∗Q03.ABCD55(km2)(%)A220235B1151.4540C2602.130D2101.8383.152=inQQiin×=∑1riirii6ABCD1236.6t,646.4t,1461.5t1180.4t4525t76tt(tce)106020.521201060165010.5165082519530.529585309.517010.42917072.945252267.47ABCDt1236.6646.41461.51180.44525tce)619.7323.9732.3591.52267.43.23.2.1=0.74km88ABCD0.981.00.820.863.2.2==93809.5t3633t9(t)(tCE)(t)(tCE)A1211.9607.31151.5581.4B775.7388.7752378.5C1198.4600.51162.4585.5D1015.1508.7944.4478.24201.12105.24010.32023.6106(t)(tCE)(t)(tCE)A35424.165212.555403.025203.49B40310.28155.48300.8151.4C30359.52180.15348.72175.65D38385.738193.306358.872181.7161479.703741.4911411.417712.2563.2.3==1479.7t1411.4t3.2.4=/=4525/(2+1.45+2.1+1.8)=615.6t/km2=/=4201.1t/7.35km2=518.3t/km2=259.5tce/km2=/=4010.3t/7.35km2=545.6t/km2=272.8tce/km2=/=1479.7t/7.35km2=201.3t/km2=100.07tce/km2=/=1411.4t/7.35km2=192t/km2=96tce/km23.2.5.3.2.64.70.20/m326.5+21.4=47.9/;0.25/m326.5+21.4+18.46=66.36/;0.30/m326.5+21.4+18.46+11.05=77.41/1,0.36t/2200/2.78/tce2200/11m3)t/y)(/kg)(/m3)A38.4184.60.0800.25B21.5110.50.0450.30C55.22650.0650.18D44.82140.0550.143.2.7740/15kgPr0.27/m3λ1,Pe=Peλ=0.27/m3QBQB=/1212(t)A128.5B122.2C126.4D125.813(t)A128.5B0C126.4D125.8380.314(t)A180B0C248D200628B122.2t110.5tB13380.3ACD14628t4.[1]2000[2],..:,1995[3]..:,1998[4],..,1998(12):28-30,47[5],..:,1993[6]RalphO1998[7]RalphO..:,1998[8]..:1996[9]AunanK,PatzayG,AaheimHA,etal.Healthandenvironmentalbenefitsfromairpollutionreductionsin8Hungary.TheScienceoftheTotalEnvironment,1998,212:245-268[10]BraffRR.Improvingimpactassessmentmethods:climatechangeandthehealthofindigenousAustralians.GlobalEnvironmentalChange,1999(9):95-104[11]ParishR,FunnellDC.Climatechangeinthemountainregions:somepossibleconsequencesintheMoroccanHighAtlas.GlobalEnvironmentalChange,1999(9):45-582002/03/149