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新形势下对我国零售业FDI溢出效应的思考诚信声明我声明，所呈交的毕业论文是本人在老师指导下进行的研究工作及取得的研究成果。据我查证，除了文中特别加以标注和致谢的地方外，论文中不包含其他人已经发表或撰写过的研究成果，也不包含为获得其他教育机构的学位或证书而使用过的材料。我承诺，论文中的所有内容均真实、可信。毕业论文作者签名：签名日期：年月日新形势下对我国零售业FDI溢出效应的思考新形势下对我国零售业FDI溢出效应的思考[摘要]加入WTO后中国严格履行入世承诺，零售业已对外资全面开放。随着外资的大量流入，中国吸引外资的目的已从弥补国内资金转向利用外资来促进国内的技术进步，不断提高我国的国际竞争力，更多的获得全球化的利益的同时带动我国的社会经济和谐可持续发展。受金融危机影响，2010年全球FDI(ForeignDirectInvestment)将受到很大的影响，中国零售业也受到了冲击的同时也带来了良好的发展机遇，如何化危为机利用FDI把我国零售业做大做强已成为整个行业的挑战。本文通过运用eviews3.1软件分析FDI对我国零售业是否产生溢出效应，以及金融危机对其FDI溢出效应是否产生影响。就此提出我国的零售业必须采取积极的应对之策，以图自身的生存和发展。[关键词]金融危机；外商直接投资（FDI）；零售业；溢出效应新形势下对我国零售业FDI溢出效应的思考UndertheNewSituationofChina'sRetailTrade,theSpilloverEffectsofFDIAbstract:AfterChina'saccessiontotheWTOaccessioncommitmentsandstrictlyperformfullopeningtoforeignretailindustry.WithChina'smassiveinflowofforeigncapital,thepurposeofattractingforeigninvestmentfromdomesticandforeigncapitaltouseuptopromotedomestictechnicalprogress,continuouslyimprovetheinternationalcompetitivepowerofourcountry,moreandmoregettheinterestsoftheglobaleconomyandpushoursocietyharmoniousandsustainabledevelopment.Bythefinancialcrisis,2010globalFDI(ForeignDirectInvestment)willbegreatasistheimpactofChina'sretailbusiness,wasalsoimpactalsobringsgoodopportunitiesfordevelopment,howtousethemachine,thethreatofFDIinretailandhasbecometheindustry'schallenge.Throughtheuseofeviews3.1softwareanalysiswhetherourretailFDIexistsspill-overeffect,andthefinancialcrisisinitsFDIspillovereffectisinfluenced.China'sretailsectorposesmustadoptpositivetodealwith,sotheirownsurvivalanddevelopment.Keywords:Financialcrisis；ForeignDirectInvestment(FDI)；Retailtrade;Spillovereffect新形势下对我国零售业FDI溢出效应的思考目录1绪论...................................................................................................................11.1研究背景和意义.............................................................................................................11.2文献综述.........................................................................................................................11.2.1国外状况........................................................................................................................................11.2.2国内状况........................................................................................................................................21.3研究框架.........................................................................................................................31.3.1研究思路........................................................................................................................................31.3.2研究方法........................................................................................................................................41.4术语说明.........................................................................................................................42目前中国零售业市场特点...............................................................................52.1外资零售业具有巨大潜力.............................................................................................52.2新兴业态成为主要力量.................................................................................................52.3发展优势具有地域性.....................................................................................................63中国零售业FDI溢出效应的实证分析..........................................................83.1我国零售业FDI溢出效应的变量选取和模型构建.....................................................83.2我国零售业FDI溢出效应研究数据和检验结果.........................................................83.3我国零售业FDI溢出效应的研究结论.........................................................................93.3.1示范模仿是零售业FDI行业内溢出效应的内在机制之一........................................................93.3.2竞争作用是零售业FDI行业内溢出效应的重要作用机制........................................................93.3.3链接作用是零售业FDI行业间溢出效应的重要机制..............................................................104金融危机对我国零售业FDI溢出效应的影响............................................114.1金融危机下我国FDI零售业的发展状况...................................................................114.1.1增强信心争取稳中求胜...............................................................................................................114.1.2加大投资力度和加快扩张速度...................................................................................................114.2金融危机对我国零售业FDI溢出效应影响的体现...................................................124.2.1金融危机对我国零售业FDI溢出效益的正面影响..................................................................124.2.2金融危机对我国零售业FDI溢出效益的负面影响..................................................................125应对危机和利用外资加快发展中国零售业的对策建议............................135.1扩大企业规模，调整经营结构，促进新型业态发展...............................................13新形势下对我国零售业FDI溢出效应的思考5.2加强立法和宏观调控...................................................................................................135.3拓展销售渠道,鼓励零售企业下乡，积极开拓农村消费市场.................................145.4培育人才，加大科技投入，促进产业整合...............................................................14结论……………………………………………………………………………15附录…………………………………