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I毕业论文（20__届）FDI对浙江省出口贸易的影响研究II摘要外商直接投资（FDI）在全球经济活动中发挥着特殊的作用，它的作用也越来越大。它可以给公司提供新的市场和销售渠道，更廉价的生产设备，获得新的技术，产品和融资。对于东道国或被投资的外国公司，外商直接投资可以提供一系列的新技术、资金、产品和管理经验，因此可以有力地推动经济的发展。外商直接投资，其经典的定义是指一个公司在一国有实物投资又到另一个国家建立另外一个工厂。在建筑，机械和设备的直接投资，这被认为是间接投资的对比。随着全球经济一体化趋势的不断加强、跨国公司的大规模扩张以及国际分工的进一步深化，外商直接投资对经济发展产生了广泛、深刻的影响，与此同时，外商直接投资与国际贸易之间相互影响的趋势也越来越明显。浙江省在利用外资与出口贸易也达到了一定的规模，质量逐步提高。2000年以来，浙江省引进FDI规模的增长十分迅速。2000年，浙江实际利用FDI只占全国总量的百分之三。2003年实际利用FDI金额已经上升到了百分之十，到了2007年，该比重更是上升至百分之十三。在这八年里，浙江实际利用外资金额年平均增长率远远高于全国。但是也存在着利用外商直接投资总量偏少，各区域面临资源危机，缺乏外商合作的产业链和技术人才等问题。这需要浙江省进行进一步的引进外资，优化产业结构，并且提高自主创新能力，并且促进东西部的平衡发展。关键词：外商直接投资；出口贸易；外商直接投资企业出口IIIAbstractForeigndirectinvestment(FDI)playsanextraordinaryandgrowingroleinglobalbusiness.Itcanprovideafirmwithnewmarketsandmarketingchannels,cheaperproductionfacilities,accesstonewtechnology,products,skillsandfinancing.Forahostcountryortheforeignfirmwhichreceivestheinvestment,itcanprovideasourceofnewtechnologies,capital,processes,products,organizationaltechnologiesandmanagementskills,andassuchcanprovideastrongimpetustoeconomicdevelopment.Foreigndirectinvestment,initsclassicdefinition,isdefinedasacompanyfromonecountrymakingaphysicalinvestmentintobuildingafactoryinanothercountry.Thedirectinvestmentinbuildings,machineryandequipmentisincontrastwithmakingaportfolioinvestment,whichisconsideredanindirectinvestment.Withthetrendofglobaleconomicintegrationstrengthening,themassiveexpansionoftransnationalcorporationsandthefurtherdeepeningofinternationaldivisionoflabor,foreigndirectinvestmenthaveinfluenceoneconomicdevelopment,thesametime,foreigndirectinvestmentandinternationaltradebetweenmutualinfluenceofthetrendhasbecomeincreasinglyevident.ZhejiangProvinceintheuseofforeigninvestmentandexporttradehasreachedacertainscale,thequalitygraduallyimproved.Since2000,ZhejiangProvinceusedtheFDIgrowingveryrapidly.Since2000,TheZhejiangProvincescaleoftheintroductionofFDIgrowingveryrapidly.In2000,theactualutilizationofFDIinZhejiangaccountedforonlythreepercentofthenationaltotal.TheamountofactualuseofFDIhasrisentotenpercentin2003.In2007,theproportionisincreasedtothirteenpercents.Duringeightyears,theactualutilizationofforeigninvestmentinZhejianggrowthrateismuchhigherthanthenationalaverage.Buttherearetoofewtotalforeigndirectinvestment,theregionfacesresourcescrisis,thelackofforeigncooperationintheindustrialchainandtechnicalpersonnelandotherissues.ThisrequiresthefurtherintroductionofforeigninvestmentinZhejiangProvince,optimizetheindustrialstructure,andimprovethecapabilityofindependentinnovationandpromotethebalanceddevelopmentofeastandwest.Keywords:FDI;Exporttrade;FDIEXIV目录1贸易投资关系分析的主要模型..............................................................................11.1蒙代尔的贸易与投资替代理论...................................................................11.2马库森和斯文森的互补关系模型...............................................................11.3小岛清的边际产业扩张理论.......................................................................21.4补偿投资模型...............................................................................................32浙江省FDI与出口贸易的发展.............................................................................42.1浙江省FDI现状..........................................................................................42.2浙江省FDI行业分布..................................................................................42.3浙江省FDI国别构成..................................................................................52.4浙江省FDI区域状况..................................................................................63FDI对浙江省出口总量与结构的影响.................................................................73.1FDI对浙江省出口贸易总量的影响...........................................................73.1.1FDI对出口贸易总量的相关分析.....................................................73.1.2构建回归方程....................................................................................83.1.3回归参数的显著性检验（T检验）................................................93.1.4相关系数的计算和检验....................................................................93.2FDI对出口贸易结构的效应.......................................................................93.2.1FDI对出口贸易结构的直接效应...................................................103.2.2FDI对出口贸易结构的间接效应..................................................113.3FDI与出口贸易结构关系的实证分析.....................................................143.3.1模型建立、变量选取......................................................................143.3.2ADF检验.........................................................................................153.3.3回归结果.........................................................................................153.4FDI对浙江省出口贸易影响小结.............................................................164FDI在促进浙江省出口贸易发展中存在的问题................................................184.1FDI区域发展极不平衡.............................................................................184.2FDI对本地企业的冲击.............................................................................184.3浙江省各地区面临的资源危机.........................................