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283Vol.28,No.320098JOURNALOFOCEANOGRAPHYINTAIWANSTRAITAug.,2009:2008209217:(2007009);(2006J0362);(908202201202):(1976),,,.1,2,2,3(1.,361005;2.,361005;3.,361005):,CO2,.,.:;;;;;:P76:A:100028160(2009)0320437208,1992.,,[1-4]GEF.,,,[5].,.,,.[4],35,11[6].,.,,,,.1CO2.1.1IPCC2001,18610.6.,2100,19901.45.8[7].,2.03.0,20%30%;4.0,[7]..,2000,20201.32.1,20502.33.3.,[8].[9-11],2080,90[10].,196519900.20;196020030.0120.019/a[11].1.1.1.28,[12].,:20,222.2km;[13].13,(Abudefdufvaigiensis)(Zebriasquagga)(Pardachiruspavominus)(Halicampuskoilomatodon)(Triacanthodidaeanomalus)(Synagropsjaponicas)(Nibeaacuta)(Rajaporosa)(Rajapulchra)(Ruventtustydemani)(Aseraggodeskobensis)(Plagiopsettaglossa)(Navodonxanthopterus),,;,,(Dayajordani)(Lepidotriglajaponica)(Pseudorhombusdupliocellatus)25[14].1.1.2,,.,,1020a1,/(ELNiÌo/ENSO)(34a),3050a,1[9].,19761977,1,15%25%[15]..,,[16].1.2CO2,CO2.2,,[17].CO2pH,,.IPCC,CO2[18].,.()()CO2.,CO2,14%40%[17].,,,.,18802002,12%,206526%,210033%[19].,,[17].,CO2.CO2,,CO2[20].1.3IPCC,20,1020cm.2100,1990988cm,0.090.88cm/a[21].,197020060.24cm/a[22].,21,0.320.98cm/a[19].,,[23].,.,8343:,().,,,.[21].1.4.,1,[24]...[21].,[24].1.5,,,,,,[24].,.,,[21].[25-28].,,,.,,,2,,,;,,,;,,,2,,[29-30].1.6(280320nmUVB)[31],.Joux(1999),UVBDNA,UVB,UVB(10mm)(510mm)[32];Mostajir(1999),UVB,,,UVB[33];,UVB,(Calanusfinmarchicus)(Gadusmorhua)UVB[31].2.,,,;,2050524%;,(ecosystemboundaries),,[34].2.1[7]:(1),,,,,;(2),,;,;(3)93428,,60%[7],,.,,.2.2,,[35].(2006),20a,199720003(Undinulasp.),.(Undinulavulgaris),[36].(2000),2,,,[37].Edwards(2004)19582002,,,[38]..,(1),[39].,a1987;,(regimeshift),,[39].,,.,59N.,2[13]..,,,(DMS).DMS,,[34];DMS,[40].,.,,.a.,0443:2.3,..,,.,2020,,(Melanogrammusaeglefinus)(Brosmebrosme);,(Pollachiusvirens)(Salmosalar);,(Mallotusvillosus)(Gadusogac),.,,2070,(2).(Gadusmorhua)[41].40a(Oncorhynchusnerka)[13],12,,.,2,[42].,[43].,,.,[21].,[44].33.1:(1),;(2)CO2,,,;(3);(4),;(5)14428,,;(6),.3.2,,,2,,,[45].,:(1)[46],,,,;(2)CO2.,CO2;,(100m).CO22p(CO2),p(CO2)pH[47].pHCO2,,,.(3)CO2.,,,..,.(4).,.,,.,2,,,..(5),,,,.(6),,...:,.:[1].:CBD[EB/OL].[2006205212].[2].[EB/OL].[2008205228].[3].[EB/OL].[2007205222].[4].2007[EB/OL].[2007205222].[5],,,.[J].,1997,13(3):1422146.[6]BriggsJC.Speciesdiversity:landandseacompared[J].SystematicBiology,1994,43:1302135.2443:[7]TheRoyalSociety.Biodiversity2climateinteractions:adaptation,mitigationandhumanlivelihoods(Reportofaninternationalmeeting,2007)[Z].TheClyvedonPressLtd,Cardiff,UK,2008:9260.[8].()[M/OL].[2007206204].[9],,,.42[J].,2004,15(3):5062510.[10],,.[J].,2005,10(4):7992807.[11],,,.40SST[J].,2007,23(3):2712276.[12]PetersRL,DarlingJD.Thegreenhouseeffectandnaturereserves[J].Biosci,1985,35(11):7072717.[13],,,.[M].:,2000:12278.[14].[M].:,2004:352210.[15]SallyJH,RussellJS,JohnSSJ.Changesinanassemblageoftemperatereeffishesassociatedwithaclimateshift[J].EcologicalApplications,1997(7):129921310.[16]ConventiononBiologicalDiversity.InternationalDayforBiologicalDiversity2BiodiversityandClimateChange[EB/OL].[2007205222].[17]LeeH,ThomasEL.ClimateChangeandBiodiversity:SynergisticImpacts.AdvancesinAppliedBiodiversityScience4[R].Washington:CenterforAppliedBiodiversityScience,ConservationInternational,2003:50267.[18].,[EB/OL].[2007211220].[19],.CO2[J].,2006,25(1):68276.[20],.[J].,2007,14(2):1802192.[21]VictorSK,RobertRT,JoanAK,etal.CoastalandMarineEcosystems&GlobalClimateChangePotentialEffectsonU.S.Resources[M/OL].[2002208].[22].2006[Z].:,2007.[23],,.[J].,2007,27(5):1212132.[24]HoughtonJT,JenkinsA.ClimateChange:theIPCCScientificAssessment[M].London:CambridgeUniversityPress,1990.[25],,.[J].:,2007,35(4):4642470.[26],.[J].:,1998,28(4):5362542.[27],.[J].,2004,23(3):1211.[28],.[J].,2003,22(2):2692277.[29],.()[J].,1998(1):45249.[30],.()[J].,1998(2):57260.[31],,.B[J].,2004,23(1):1072115.[32]MousseauL,GosselinM,LevasseauM,etal.EffectsofultravioletBradiationonsimultaneouscarbonandnitrogentransportratesbyestuarinephytoplanktonduringaweek2longmesocosmstudy[J].MarineEcologyProgressSeries,2000,199(26):69281.[33],.[J].:,2006,45(2):129.[34].[C/OL].[2006208].[35]FrancisRC,HareSR,HollowedAB.EffectsofinterdecadalclimatevariabilityontheoceanicecosystemsoftheNEPacific[J].FisheriesOceanography,1998,7:1221.[36].[J].,2006,17(1):1072112.[37],,.ENSO[J].,2000,24(4):124.[38]EdwardsM,RichardsonAJ.Impactofclimatechangeonmarinepelagicphenologyandtrophicmismatch[J].Nature,2004,430(7002):8812884.[39]PhilipCR.Climatechange,oceanprocessesandplanktonregimeshifts[C]//RhysEG,MikeH,LeraM.GlobalClimate34428ChangeandBiodiversity.Norwich(UK):UniversityofEastAnglia,2003:13214.[40],,.[J].,2006,36(1):42248.[41]KeithB.Climatechangeandfisheries[C]//RhysEG,MikeH,LeraM.GlobalClimateChangeandBiodiversity.Norwich(UK):Univ