需求中断下的供应链模型

湖南大学硕士学位论文需求中断下的供应链模型姓名：沈志伙申请学位级别：硕士专业：运筹学与控制论指导教师：李董辉20070427II21,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,,,,;;;IIIAbstractThecompetitioninthe21stcentury,isnotonlybetweenenterprises,butalsobetweensupplychains.Ifenterprisesinthesupplychainwanttobehighlycompetitive,thesupplychainmustbemadetohavecompetitiveedgefirst.Robustcollaborationmeansnotonlyprofitablebusiness,butalsosharingofresourcesandcommonstrategies.So,howtomakethesupplychaincompetitiveisparticularlyimportant.Forthispurpose,inthisthesis,westudysupplychainmodelwithdisruptionstoimprovethesupplychaincompetition.Thisresearchisbasedonforecasttheory,supplychaintheory,supplychainmanagementtheoryandoptimizationtheory.Theresearchmethodsincludemodelanalysis,numeralanalysisandsoon.Afterdeepanalyzinginsupplychainmodel,wegiveourattentiontothesupplychainofone-supplierandone-retailer.Weareparticularlyinterestedinthesupplychaincoordinationforthecasewheredemanddisruptionoccurs.Weconsiderseveralcasesofdemanddisruption.Ineachcase,wegiveanoptimalquantitydiscountpolicysothatthetotalprofitofthesupplyismaximized.Wealsodonumericalsimulationtotestourmodel.Theresultsshowthattheresultinthethesisaccordancewithpractice,whichshowstheresearchismeaningfulinpractice.KeyWords:Supplychain;Quantitydiscount;Demanddisruption;I12()11212090MartinChristopher21[1]1.1SupplyChainManagementSCM1.2WTO21.350[2]80JustInTime,JIT2090[3][45][6]1.41.4.1,2060,JayJay[7]3LeeBillington[8]Stevens[9]Harirson[10]Jayashankar[11][12][13]AmericanProductionandInventoryControlSociety,APICS2001GB/T18354-2011.4.2MichaelPorterPorterPorter4Porter208020802090JIT1.5,2001,GlobalSupplyChainForum,GSCF[14]Cavinato,KotzabSchnedlitzBechtelJayaram51.5.1[15]11995ERPERP219962000ElectronicDataInterchange,EDII2Technology,ManugisticsOOPObject-OrientedProgramming320001.5.26(1)(2)(3),,(4)POS(5)(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)1.64060Win-Win71.72345822.11)123ntttAAAF−−−+++=t-nA.Fn1tA−2tA−3tA−t-nAn92)11122tttnFwAwAA−−=++nw.tnA−t-nnwt-nn31aa0.052-10*(1)aa−0.05001*(1)aa−0.04752*(1)aa−0.04513*(1)aa−0.0429012310a111()ttttFFaAF−−−=+−.tFt1tF−t11tA−t1a4)a):yabx=+.,ab,abaybx=−22()iiixynxybxnx−=−∑∑.11ixxn=∑iyyn=∑.b)1xy1bayx=+,1Zy=1tx=Zabt=+;2,xybYax=ZInY=tInX=ZIndbt=+;nYabx=+nntx=Yabt=+;3xybxYce=ZInY=aInC=Zabx=+c)01122mYbbxbxx=+++mb.Y12,,xxmx125)2.22.32.413(CooperativeGame)2.4.1(1)(2)Q(3)RRQ≥(4)(1)RQ3242.52.5.1dC14()()(/2)ddddddQCpQszqhpq=+++.2.1p;Q;dq;ds;dz;dh(%)(2.1)dq2()/ddddqQszhp=+.2.2(2.2)(2.1)dC2()/ddddCpQQszhp=++.2.3dN/2()ddddNQhpsz=+.2.42.5.2sC12(1)/()/2(1)/ssssssssCmpQQqssqmphQR=−+++−.2.5smsq1ss2sssh(%)(2.5)sqsq122()/(1)sssssqRssmph=+−.2.6(2.6)(2.5)sC12(1)/2()(1)ssssssCmpQQRRssmph=−++−.:12(1)/2()SssssNQmphRss=−+.2.5.3152.6(make-to-order)(make-to-stock),2.6.1(JIT)2()sddddqqQszhp==+,/2()SddddNNQhpsz==+,12(1)()/2()(1)()/2ssssdddssdddCmpQssQhpszmhQpszh=−++++−+.JIT2.6.2dnq(1n≥)To1Tdq(n-1)dq(1)/dnqR−eT0/edTTnqR=,K2[(1)/(2)/]2dnqKnQnR=−−−./2[(1)(2)/]dKqnnQR−=−−−.1612(1)(/)(/)(/2)[(1)(2)/](1)ssdsdsdssCQpmQnqsQqsqnnQRhmp=−+++−−−−.n1[/()](/)[1/(1)][/()]sdddssnsszhhmRRQ=+−−.:1[2/(1)][/()]sdsssqnqQshmpRRQ==−−.2.7x(1x≥)xdq2()2()(1(1)/2)dddddCxqpQQszhpxx=+++−.1x≥,()ddCxq()ddCq≥,2()()2()(1)/2dddddddCxqCqQszhpxx−=+−.a,22()(1)/22dddddaxqapQphQszhpxx++−.222()(1)/(2)dddddaQszhpxxpQxqhp+−+.17sY12[(1)(2)/](1)2dssssssddqQQYQmpssnnQRhmpnqq=−−−−−−−.,1[/()](/)[1/(1)][/()]sdddssnsszhhmRRQ=+−−.tY12()[(1)(2)/](1)2dtsssssddxqQQYQmapssnnQRhmpnxqxq=−−−−−−−−.1(1/)[/()](/)[1/(1)][/()]sdddssnxsszhhmRRQ=+−−.tYsYtsYY,2(1)2(1)(1)2sdssdsxqRQahmxqpxQR−−+−−.222(1)2(1)(1)(1)2()2sdssddddddsxRQxqhmxQszhpqpxRxpQxqhp−−−+−−++.222(1)2{2()(1)/(2),(1)(1)}2sddddddssdsxqRQaQszhpxxpQxqhphmxqpxQR−−∈+−++−−.a183,JeulandShugan[16]Moorthy[[17]IngeneParry[18][1921]Weng[22],,,WengZeng[23],Chen[24]ZhaoWang[25],BoyaciGallego[26],Qi,Jonathan,Gang[27]XUGAO[28]Qi4060193.1,,,,,,news-vendor[2931]news-vendor,,,,,,,,,news-vendor,,,[32],,,,,,[33][3435][36-41]203.2[4244],Stackelberg[45],.sf,rf,scsrfff=+cdDKP=−D()KPdP(),bs,brP()()()()()22scbbrsfpDKPPCDKPDKP=−−−−−−.3.1:24bbrsDKCPK++=+.3.2(3.2)(3.1)2max()42scbbDKCKfrsK−=−+.3.324bbrsDKCPK++=+,Q=()24bbDKCKrs−−+.3.4,,(1)(2)QP[46],[4749]21AQDP12(,,)WWQ12WWqQ1WqQ≥2Wsfmax,01,sscffηη=AQDP12(,,)WWQQsf1.max,01,sscffηη=AQDP),,(21QWW,1111(())22bbbDDKCWrsrKKKη−−−−+−))(421(222bbbsrKCDKrCW+−+−+−=ηη.:Q2W,12()(),2rbDQQfQQWrQQK−=−−≥.3.5(3.5)2124bDWKKQr−=−1QQ2W1Q1()rfQQQQ≥2WQ1max()(1)rscfQfη=−.Q1WbrrQWKQDQQf2)()(12−−−=.3.63.6QrKKWDQb−−=42121111(())22bbbDDKCWrsrKKKη−−−−+−.3.7212211()()()24rrbDWKKfQrfQK−=−.3.8Q221AQDPmaxscfAQDPsf,AQDP,rfsf=maxscf−rf2344.1dDKP=−dDDKP=+∆−D∆0D∆0D∆Q,P,DDQPK+∆−=QQQ∆=−0Q∆P0Q∆cQ12()()()()()2bbDDQQfQQCQQQQrsKλλ+++∆−=−−−−−−+4.110λ,20λ,()max[,0]xx+=1λ0Q∆C2λ0Q∆2λC20CλQQ−C2Cλ≤2Cλ−1.C22≤λ(4.1)()fQ*Q*Q2.(4.1)()fQQ=*Q0D∆QQ≥*0D∆QQ≤*24)(42bbsrKKCKQ+−−=(4.1)2()()()2()42bbbbDDQQfQQCrsKDKCKDrsQKK+∆−=−−+−∆=−++.4.2,0=∆D()fQQQ=0Q2()()()422bbbbDKCKDQQrsQCrsKK−−−+≥−−+.4.30∆DQQ******22**2()()()()2()()42()bbbbDQDQfQQCQQQrsKKDKCKDrsQQQKKfQλλ−∆=−+−−−+−∆≤−++−−.0D∆QQ≥*0D∆QQ≤*4.220D∆()fQ11()()()()2bbDDQQfQQCQQrsQQKλ+∆−=−−−−+≥.4.4'1()0fQ=0)(21)(1'1=−