基于泛北部湾经济合作区的广西主导产业选择

广西师范大学硕士学位论文基于泛北部湾经济合作区的广西主导产业选择姓名：刘洋申请学位级别：硕士专业：区域经济学指导教师：蒋团标20080401I2005IIIIITheChoiceofLeadingIndustriesinGuangxiBaseonPan-NorthBayEconomicCooperationRegionAbstractTheconstructionofPan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationregionisagoldenopportunitytoGuangxi,butitalsoadauntingchallengetothelaggingdevelopmentofGuangxieconomicandthebackwardindustrialstructure.HowtoadjusttheindustrialstructureofGuangxiintheopeneconomicconditionsofthePan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationregionistheissuewhichmustberesolvedwhendevelopingGuangxieconomic.TheHistoryofWorldeconomicdevelopmentshowsthatthedevelopmentofregionaleconomicandchangesintheindustrialstructureiscorresponding,andoneofthemainfactorsthatimpactingacountryorregion'seconomicdevelopmentistheindustrialstructureanditsadjustmentofthecountryorregionadjust,whichmainlydependsontheleadingindustrieschoiceofthecountryorregion.Therefore,inordertoachievealeapforwardinGuangxi'seconomicdevelopment,itisnecessarytodoanintensivestudyintheindustriesanditsstructure.toPan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationzonesasthestartingpoint,andcarryoutthechoiceofleadingindustriesinGuangxisystematicallyandscientifically,thenseekthemeasuresofindustrialdevelopment,usetheleadingindustrytopromotethedevelopmentofregionaleconomic,andpromoteGuangxi'seconomytoachieveanewtakeoffintheopportunityoftheconstructionofPan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationregion.AlthoughthetheoryofLeadingIndustryisnotasystematicandintegratedacademicdisciplinebuttherehasbeenrelativelymatureresearchresultsinit.Andtheseresearchresultshaveprovidedthemacro-scientificpolicy-makingbasistovariousareasindustryrestructureandtheregionaleconomiespolicy.Butlooksoverthepredecessors’researchofregionleadingindustry,majorityistransplantsthenationalstratificationplaneleadingindustrychoicetheorytotheregionaleconomiesandfewisconsideringtoregionaleconomies'characteristicandtheconstraints.Althoughthetheoryofregionleadingindustrybelongstotheresearchcategoryofregionaleconomicsandtheindustrialeconomics,butitwasnotequaltotheminiaturethatistheleadingindustryofnationaleconomyinspecificregion,anditshoulddefinetheleadingindustryfromangleofregionspacecharacteristic.Moreover,predecessors’researchesputtheregionleadingindustryappraiseinasealenvironment,sotheyhasthebiglimitation.GuangxiisfacingthesignificanthistoricopportunityofconstructthePan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationregion,utilizesthiskindofchoicemethodinanopeneconomyenvironmentisobviouslyimpractical,thereforeitisneededtocarryonthere-constructiontoindexsystemandre-selectionmodelofIVGuangxitoadapttotheneedsofeconomicdevelopment.FromtheconceptoftheNorthBayEconomicCircletotheimplementationoftheNorthBayeconomiccirclestrategy,thentotheformationofPan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationregion,thePan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationregionfinallygettheopportunitiesofregionaldevelopmentafter20years’accumulation.Pan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationisnotonlytheinterfacebetweenChinaandASEANareawhichissub-regioncooperativeorganizationbelongstotheframeworkofChina-ASEANFreeTradeArea,butalsotheconvergencepointofPan-PearlRiverDeltaregionandChina-ASEANFreeTradeArea,andisthemostconvenientaccesstotheseainsouthwestregionofChina.Theultimategoalofconstructingcooperationareaistogivefullplaytovariouscountries'comparisonsuperiorityintheregion,mutualbenefitsupplementary,promoteindustrytransferanddivision,enhancetheregion'soverallcompetitivepowerwithjointforces,andthenturntheregionintoacompletelyopeneconomiccooperationzone.Guangxiislocatedinmulti-regioncooperationcentrejunctionofChina-theASEANFreeTradeArea,thePan-NorthBay,theGreaterMekongSub-regionandthePan-PearlRiverDeltaRegion,thesixprovincialcapitalareasinsouthwestandsoon,anditistheonlyareainwestofourcountrythathasthelandwayandseaaccessatthesametime,thusGuangxihastheuniqueirreplaceablegeographicalsuperiorityinthePan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationregionandisthebridgeofregionaleconomiccooperation.UndersuchregionalconditionthedecisionofleadingindustryinGuangximustbebasedontheangleofopeneconomy,andgivefullconsiderationtotheregionmarketsize,thegeographicalposition,thedemandofproductionfactor,theproductfactor,attractinginvestmentsandsooninfluencingfactorofvariousaspects,andbuildthechoicemodelofleadingindustriesinGuangxiinconformitywiththeprincipleofcomprehensive,scientific,theobjectiveandtheindexofinfluencecoefficientandsensitivitycoefficientandsoon,thendeterminetheleadingindustrychoiceinGuangxi.AlthoughGuangxileadingindustrieswhichchosenaccordingtothetheoreticalmodelaremoreobjective,butalsohavecertainlimitationbecauseofthelagordistortionofdata.SoitisneededtocarryonqualitativeanalysisontherestrictionfactorandtheadvantageofdevelopingtheGuangxileadingindustryundertheenvironmentofPan-NorthBayeconomiccooperationregion,thencombinethetwo,hasselectedthepetrochemicalindustry,thetourism,thelogistics,themetalsmeltingandrollingprocessingindustry,thecommunicationandfacilitiesmanufacturingindustry,thepapermakingprintingandcultureandeducationsuppliesmanufacturingindustry,thegeneralspecialpurposeequipmentmanufacturingindustry,thecommunicationfacilitycomp