中国农产品出口面对的国外技术壁垒ForeignTechnicalTradeBarriersFacingChina’sAgriculturalExportsInternationalSymposiumonFoodsafetyConsumer,trade,andregulationIssuesHangzhou,China,10-11October2003程国强教授,国务院发展研究中心DrCheng,Guoqiang,ProfessorDevelopmentResearchCenteroftheStateCouncil010-65231976gcheng@drc.gov.cn现任国务院发展研究中心研究员。享受国务院政府特殊津贴专家。兼任:商务部中国政府WTO通报咨询顾问、国家农业部农业谈判顾问、国家粮食局顾问。获中国国家杰出青年科学基金。主要研究领域:农业政策、农业与农村改革、国际农业贸易问题、多边与区域贸易问题、国际经济、发展经济学StructureofPresentationChina’sAgriculturalTradeForeignTechnicalTradeBarriersFacingChina’sAgriculturalExportsHowtoOvercomeForeignTechnicalTradeBarriers?59.445.322.39.810.111.67.57.83.570.057.833.618.416.616.612.212.19.18.201020304050607080UnitedStatesEUCanadaBrazilChinaAustraliaArgentinaThailandMexicoRussianFed.a19902001Leadingexportersofagriculturalproducts,1990/2001(BilUS$)Source:WTO,2003Leadingexportersofagriculturalproducts,1990(BilUS$)59.445.322.311.610.19.87.87.57.56010203040506070UnitedStatesEUCanadaAustraliaChinaBrazilThailandMalaysiaArgentinaNewZealandSource:WTO,200379.868.456.920.115.612.812.511.411.17.00102030405060708090EUUnitedStatesJapanChinaCanadacMexicoKorea,Rep.ofRussianFed.aHongKong,ChinaTaipei,ChineseLeadingimportersofagriculturalproducts,2001(BilUS$)Source:WTO,200302040608010012014016018020019921993199419951996199719981999200020012002100MilUS$ExportSurplusImportExportChina’sAgriculturalTradeChina’sAgriculturalTrade:ShareofTotalTrade4.46.6051015202530198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002002AgriImportShareAgriExportShareTop5agricultureexports,20024726.52795.52223.31200.2787.60500100015002000250030003500400045005000LiveanimalsandmeatVegetablesandProductsCerealsandproductsFruitsandProductsJuiceandBeverageMilUS$TotalChinaagriculturalexports,2002rankedbycountry/region57.220.620.416.35.75.34.94.44.23.0010203040506070JapanHongKongKorea,Rep.ofUSMalaysiaIndonesiaGermanyRussianFed.MexicoNetherlands100MilUS$TotalChinaagriculturalimports,2002rankedbycountry/region27.214.511.49.08.97.24.94.33.33.3051015202530USAustraliaBrazilEUArgentinaMalaysiaCanadaThailandIndonesiaNewZealand100MilUS$什么因素决定今后的国际农产品贸易?MTAvsRTA和FTA发达国家的农业保护主义发展中国家经济增长:粮食安全、消除贫困和农村发展——农业竞争力的提高影响中国农产品出口的主要国际因素技术壁垒反倾销措施高关税、关税升级高补贴、不公平的竞争环境ForeignTechnicalTradeBarriersFacingChina’sAgriculturalExportsTBTandSPSNotificationtoWTO:1995-200138950184668069763757119824129833544546877258774211441015114211051343020040060080010001200140016001995199619971998199920002001TBTSPS合计2001年WTO成员TBT通报的行业分布130183116215221272238013020406080100120140160180200农产品、食品机电产品纺织品服装医药轻工石油、化工冶金环保包装、标签服务业安全、法规、标准其它主要国家的技术壁垒JapanEUKoreaUSOthers日本SPSTBT检测程序媒体壁垒U.S.TechnicalTradeBarriersToOvercomeForeignTechnicalTradeBarriers战略生产源头控制:公司+基地/农场/养殖场工厂控制:HACCP,ISO9000产品升级技术创新市场多元化食品安全监管体系食品安全法律法规体系防疫、检疫体系行业组织WTO机制双边交涉、谈判TheEndThanks