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TheHiddenDangerofSeatBeltsmembers:刘进贤沈海月姜静丹张雪菲毕川1、Theriskisnotasetnumber.2、Eachindividualhashisorherowninternalcomfortlevelwithrisk-taking.3、TheexamplesofAdams.4、TallyupAllthesefactorsandarriveatastatisticalprediction.ayoungmandriveat3:00a.m.SundaysomeonewithapersonalitydisordersomeoneisdruckcontentIneverydaylife,riskisamovingtarget,notaset(固定的)numberasstatisticsmightsuggest.日常生活中，风险是不断移动的靶子，而并不像统计数据那样是个固定数字。Inadditiontoexternalfactors,eachindividualhashisorherowninternalcomfortlevelwithrisk-taking（冒险）.Somearedaringwhileothersarecautious（谨慎的）bynature.Andstillothersarefatalists（宿命论者）whomaybelievethatahigherpowerdevisesmortality（死亡率）schedulesthatfixapredetermined(预先确定)timewhenournumberisup.Consequently,anysinglemeasurementassignedtotheriskofdrivingacarisboundtobeonlytheroughest（粗略的）sortofbenchmark.除了外部因素外，每个人对于冒险都有自己内在的安全尺度。有些人天生大胆而有些人天生谨慎，还有些人是宿命论者，他们会认为，有一种更强大的力量设计了死亡时间表，预先确定了我们的死期。因此，对驾车风险做任何单一的测算所得到的肯定只是最粗略的基准数据。assignvt.A指派、委派B分配C把…归因于D指定1、Thoseroomshavebeenassignedtous.2、Shewasassignedthejobofcheckingthesalefigures.3、Theteacherassignedtenproblemsfortoday.4、Atlastweassignedrevengeasthemotiveforthecrime.BADcbeboundto很有可能，肯定会e.g.Heisboundtofailtheexamifhedoesnotdoanyrevision.boundvi.跳，vt.给…划界，限制；使弹回，使跳跃；n.界限，限制；跃起；（球等的）反跳adj.用带子绑住的；有义务的；装订的，有封面的；[化，物]结合的1、Onceapersonismarried,theyareboundtostaymarriedtillonedies.2、Duringtherecentcrisis,centralbankshitthezerointerestratebound.benchmarkn.基准e.g.Thevaluationbecomesabenchmarkagainstwhichtojudgeotherprices.亚当斯引用了这样的统计事实作例子：青年男子发生严重撞车事故的可能性比中年妇女高100倍。同样，在星期天凌晨3点钟驾车的人比同一天上午10点钟驾车的人死亡风险高出100多倍，有人格障碍的人比一般人死亡风险高10倍。Adamscites（引用）,asanexamplethestatisticalfactthatayoungmanis100timesmorelikelytobeinvolvedinasevere（剧烈的）crashthanisamiddle-agedwoman.Similarly,someonedrivingat3:00a.m.Sundayismorethan100timesmorelikelytodiethansomeonedrivingat10:00a.m.Sunday.Someonewithapersonalitydisorderis10timesmorelikelytodie.亚当斯说，假如这个人还喝醉了，汇总所有这些因素并分别加以考虑，就会得到一个具有统计性的预测：一位心理失常又喝醉酒的青年男子在午夜驾车，7个小时后一位头脑清醒的中年妇女驾车去教堂，前者发生严重交通事故的概率比后者高270万倍。Andlet'ssayhe'salsodrunk.TallyupAllthesefactorsandconsiderthemindependentlysaysAdams,andyoucouldarriveatastatisticalprediction/thatadisturbed,drunkenyoungmandrivinginthemiddleofthenight/is2.7milliontimesmorelikelytobeinvolvedinaseriousaccident/thanwouldasober(清醒的),middle-agedwomandrivingtochurchsevenhourslater.disterbedadj.扰乱的；混乱的骚动的；忧虑的有精神病的disterbvt./vi.打扰妨碍vt.使焦虑；使恼怒Tallyup计算（得分，总数等）e.g.Ifthegameisover,Iwilltallyupthescore.soberadjA未醉的B适度的、有节制的C（颜色等）素淡的、暗淡的）vt1、使变得清醒2、使变得冷静；使严肃e.g.1.Themandrinksalotbutalwaysseemssoder.2.Thecolourofthispaintingissoder.3.Themenissoderinhishabits.ACBIneverydaylife,riskisamovingtarget,notasetnumberasstatisticsmightsuggest.A.Ineverydaylife,risksvariesandisnotalwaysquantifiable(可以计量的).B.Asstatisticsmightsuggest,thereareriskswheneveryoumoveinyoureverydaylife.Andstillothersarefatalistswhomaybelievethatahigherpowerdevisesmortalityschedulesthatfixapredeterminedtimewhenournumberisup.A.Somepeoplebelievethatluckymembersmaypredeterminewhetherwewilldieornotinacaraccidents.B.Therearepeoplewhobelieveeverythingincludingdeathispreordained.Consequently,anysinglemeasurementassignedtotheriskofdrivingacarisboundtobeonlytheroughestsortofbenchmark.A.Consequently,allmeasurementsusedtoavoidtheriskofdrivingacararerestrictedbyroughmanufacturingquality.B.Thereforetheriskofdrivingacarcannotbeclearlyquantified.Theend,thankyou!