城市群城际道路客运公交化研究

分类号:U49；F510710-2010123035硕士学位论文城市群城际道路客运公交化研究凌海兰导师姓名职称郗恩崇教授申请学位级别硕士学科专业名称交通运输规划与管理论文提交日期2012年5月7日论文答辩日期2012年5月20日学位授予单位长安大学Studyonthepublictransportoftheinter-cityroadpassengertransportationinUrbanAgglomerationADissertationSubmittedfortheDegreeofMasterCandidate：LingHailanSupervisor：Prof.XiEnchongChang‟anUniversity,Xi‟an,ChinaIII摘要随着我国城市化进程和区域经济一体化的加快，形成了数量较多、具有一定规模的城市群。在城市群中城际交流日趋密切，城市间居民对出行工具数量和质量方面的需求逐渐提高，居民更注重出行的快捷性和方便性。但随着我国城市群经济的快速发展，目前城市群城际旅客运输也出现了一些问题，如机动车增长迅速、公共交通萎缩、交通基础设施薄弱、布局不尽合理等等。同时，新时期我国道路运输业发展也遇到了一些新情况、新问题，道路客运进入结构优化、产业升级发展阶段。有些地区对城际道路客运公交化运营进行了有益的探索，取得了良好的效果，但仍缺乏系统科学的指导，因此作为解决城市群城际旅客运输存在问题的有效途径，对城市群城际道路客运公交化进行系统研究显得尤为重要。本论文首先对城市群做了定义，研究了城市群的类型、主要特征及发展趋势，分析了城市群城际交通体系和道路客运系统的构成，道路客运的需求特征、旅客出行特征以及客流分布特征，并对城市群城际道路客运公交化做了定义。其次分析了我国城市群道路客运的发展状况和存在的问题，在对城市群城际道路客运公交化SWOT分析的基础上，提出城市群城际道路客运公交化的发展战略。本文的重点是提出了改进的GM（1，1）城市群客运量的预测方法，“逐层布设、优化成网”的线网规划方法，和从运力配置、运营组织、管理政策等三个方面进行了公交化的运营组织管理研究。关键词：城市群，道路客运，公交化，线网规划，运营组织IV1ABSTRACTWiththefastdevelopmentofurbanizationprocessandregionaleconomicintegration,moreandmoreurbanagglomerationsareformulating.Amongthecitiesexchangeshavebeenmoreandmoreclosely,residentspaymoreattentiontotravelquantityandquality;especiallytheycareaboutthefastandconvenientofthetools.However,withthefastdevelopmentofeconomic,manytransportationproblemsappear.Forexample,rapidincreaseofmotorvehicles,publictrafficatrophiestheweaknessoftrafficinfrastructure,thereasonableofdistributionandsoon.Atthesametime,therearealsomanynewproblemsinthefieldoftransportation.Thepassengertransportationdevelopsintothestageofstructureoptimizationandupgrading.Insomeareas,passengertransportationoperationobtainedfavorableresultafterbeneficialexploration,butsystematicscientificguidancearestillnotenough,soitisveryimportanttoresearchthepassengertransportationintheurbanagglomeration.Firstly,thispapergivesthedefinitionoftheurbanagglomerationandresearchesitsstyles,featuresanddevelopmenttrend;analyzesthetrafficsystem,passengertransportstructure,itsdemandcharacteristics,passengertravellingcharacteristics;definitethepassengertransportationoftheurbanagglomeration.Then,thepaperpointsoutthedevelopmentstatusandexistedproblemsaboutthepassengertransportation,putsforwardthedevelopingcountermeasuresbasedontheSWOTanalysis.Thefocusofthispaperistoproposeaforecastingmethod,toproposepassengerroutenetworkplanningmethodof“layeredlayout,integraloptimization”andtostudytheoperationorganizationfromthefollowingthreeaspects:thecapacityconfiguration,operationorganizationandmanagementpolicies.KEYWORDS：UrbanAgglomeration;roadpassengertransport;publictransport;networkplanning;operationorganizationV目录第一章绪论..................................................................................................................................11.1研究背景及意义.................................................................................................................11.2研究综述.............................................................................................................................21.2.1国外相关研究和发展状况.......................................................................................21.2.2国内相关研究和发展状况.......................................................................................41.3研究方法及内容.................................................................................................................61.3.1研究方法...................................................................................................................61.3.2研究内容...................................................................................................................6第二章城市群城际道路客运公交化概述.....................................................................................92.1城市群的相关理论.............................................................................................................92.1.1城市群的定义...........................................................................................................92.1.2界定城市群的标准.................................................................................................102.1.3城市群的类型及主要特点.....................................................................................112.1.4城市群的发展趋势.................................................................................................112.2城市群城际道路客运系统...............................................................................................132.2.1城市群综合交通运输系统.....................................................................................142.2.2城际道路客运系统.................................................................................................142.2.3城市群城际道路客运交通的需求特点.................................................................162.2.4城市群城际客运出行特征.....................................................................................172.2.5城市群客流分布特性.............................................................................................192.3城市群城际道路客运公交化概念阐述...........................................................................212.4本章小结..............................