摘要房地产是国民经济的重要支柱产业,在国民经济中发挥着重要作用。房地产行业稳定的发展对我国的市场经济至关重要,同时对于推动居民消费结构升级、改善民生和社会稳定也具有重要作用。近年来,随着居民可支配收入的提高,以及城市人口的快速增加,使得我国房地产市场发展的速度很快,表现之一就是房价的持续上涨,结果形成目前一线城市房价高的离谱,二线城市房价紧随一线城市房价上涨,三线城市的房价缓慢上涨的格局。总的来说,房价的上涨超出了普通居民的承受能力,制约了居民消费。为此,政府出台了一系列财政政策和货币政策等诸多政策对房价进行调节和控制。中国三线城市的房地产行业在整个中国房地产行业中占的比重不算很大。在20n年上半年三线城市的房地产市场表现出了销售量下滑相对滞后、价格对政策调控反应更慢,部分三线城市房价小幅上涨的现象,但这并不代表三线城市的房地产市场对于购房者来说就是安全的,原因主要在于三线城市的房地产市场属于滞后性市场,造成销售量下滑偏晚,同样回暖也偏晚,同时价格上涨的不多,同样下跌得也会相对较少等现象。总的来说,三线城市的购房者与开发商在一系列的房价调控政策下,都表现出了较浓厚的观望情绪。论文以安徽省阜阳市的房地产价格波动作为主要研究对象,分为四个部分来展开问题研究,采用案例分析法与比较分析法相结合的方式,分析得出我国三线城市房地产价格波动的特征及其原因,并以此提出政策建议。具体为第一部分详细阐述了问题的研究背景及意义,国内外的研究现状以及论文的研究方法、创新和不足之处。论文的主要创新点有两点,第一、三线城市房地产价格波动和国家政策对三线城市的影响鲜有学者涉及的原因使得论文研究对象的选取较为新颖;第二、实例的选取,使研究更具有代表性和针对性。第二部分主要从理论角度解释房地产市场特征,房价波动的原因及其特征,并就房价波动的总体影响因素进行了总结。其中房价波动的特点包括房价波动是经济波动的外在表面形式,房价波动与房地产市场的产业链波动产生共振现象,房价波动易受政策影响使得房地产调控政策能最大程度上刺激房价波动。最后从经济因素、政策因素和其他方面对房价波动的原因进行了简要解释。第三部分是论文的的重点,本部分以安徽省阜阳市作为我国三线城市的代表进行了详细分析和探讨。分别从阜阳市房地产行业概览、行业特征、阜阳市与一二线城市房地产市场的联系与区别中研究阜阳市房地产价格波动原因并对这些原因进行了分析。在阜阳这样的小城市,资料的统计和整理不比一二线城市,多数资料都是通过实习的便利和市场调查进行收集。文中从房地产市场土地成交面积和房屋销售量两个方面对阜阳市房地产行业进行了综述;从房地产市场的供给与需求两个方面阐述了阜阳房地产市场与一二线城市房地产市场间的联系,从阜阳房地产市场受到国家政策调控影响的明显滞后性、阜阳市房地产市场供给与需求两方面临的金融成本更高、阜阳市房地产市场开发商多为中小型房地产开发企业和阜阳市购房者与一二线城市购房者结构构成不同四个方面重点分析了阜阳市房地产市场与一二线城市房地产市场的区别,综合全文的分析得出了阜阳市房价波动的原因,并进行了分析第四部分从政府监管部门、金融部门、开发者和购房者四个角度提出了一些政策建议。关键词:房地产价格,波动,滞后性,区域差异ABSTRACTTherealestateindustry15animPortantPillarindustryofChina,5eeonomy.AnditPlaysanimPortantroleinthenationaleeonomy.Therealestateindustry,stabledeveloPmeni15veryimPortanttoChina,5marketeeonomy.八山dtoPromotetheresident,5consumPtionstruetureuPgrading,imProvingthelivelihoodofthePeoPleandsoeialstabilityalsohasanimPortantrole.Inrecentyears,alongwithChina,sPeracPitaeonsumPtionlevel,andtheraPidexPansionofurbanPoPulation,China,srealestatePrieesarehighway.OneofthePerformanees15housePrieescontinuetorise,formingthefirst一tiercities,housePrieeshighwideofthemark,thesecond一tiereities,housePrieesgoinghig瓦ngalongwiththefirst一tiereities,,drivingthethird一tiereitis,housePrieesslowrising.Ingeneral,therisinghousePricesbreaksordinaryresidentbearabilityandrestrictedtheeonsumPtionability.Therefore,thegovenuneniissuedalotoffisealandmonetaryPolieyonhousePriees.Therealestateindustryinthethird一tiereitieshasalittleoecuPaneyinthewholebusiness.HalfPast2011,salesvolumeofthethird一tiereitis,deelineslowly,housePrieesresPonseto户olieymoreslowly,somethird一tiereities,housePrieesevengoinghigh.Butthis15notsaidthatthethird一tiereities,realestateindustry15safeforeonsumers.Mainlybeeausethemarket15alaggingmarket.Whenthesalevolumegoesdownlater,itwill90highlatertoo.AndbeeausethehousePireehasn,trisedhighly,thedownsPaee15narrow.Overall,faeing50manyeontrolPoliee,thethird一tiereities,eonsumershowastrongwait一and一seeattitude.ThePaper,5objectofstudy15FuyangCity,5housePricefluetuation.Dividedintofou-rPartstoresearehhousePrieefluetuationusingcaseanalysismethodandeomParativeanalysismethod.FindingthereasonsthatdrivinghousePrieesfluctuationandthefluctuationfeature.Atlast,Puttingforwardtheaceordingsuggestionandmeasure.AtthefirstPartofthePaper,theauthordeseribesthebaekground,signifieaneeofthestudy,Paperinnovationanddefieieneies.ThePaperinnovationarelittlescholarsPuttingtheirenergyonthethird一tiereitiesandtheseleetionofexamPlesmakingresearehmorerePresentativeandPertinenee.TheseeondPart,exPlainingtherealestatemarket,thefluetuationandeharaeteristiesofhousePrieesfromatheoretiealPersPeetive.Andsummarizingthereasonsatlast.ThefluetuationofhousePrieesineludsthathousePrieefluetuation15thesurfaeeofextemaleeonomiefluetuation,housePrieefluetuationandrelatedtorealestatemarketindustryfluetuationhaveehainresonatePhenomenon,housePrieefluetuation15suseePtibletoPolieyinflueneeFinallyexPlainingthehousePrieesfluetuationreasonsfromtheeconomiefaetorsandPolicyfaetorsandotheasPectS.ThethirdPart15thefoeusofthePaPer,thisPartPutsFuyangeity,realesattemarketastherePresentativeofthethird一tiereitiesinChinaandmakesadetailedanalysisanddiseussion.ThisP叭eouldbedividedintofoursection,theoverviewofFuyangrealestateindustry,anoverviewoftherealestateindustry,theindustryeharaeter,therelationshiPanddistinguishbetweenthethird一tiereitiesandthefirst一tiercities,andmakesreserehontheseobjeets.SuehasFuyanglittleeitymaterialstatistiesandfinishingthanaseeondeity,mostofthematerial15throughthePraetieeofeonvenienceandmarketresearehfortheeolleetion.SuehamaterialstatistiesPolieyfallbehandtothefirst一tiereity.Mostofthemateri直eollectedbytheauthorthroughintemPraetieeandmarketreseareh.This妞ieleintrodueeFuyangrealestateindustryfromlandsalesvolurneandhousesalevolume.FromsuPplyanddemandtwoasPeetsinfuyangrealestatemarketexPlaintherelationshiPbetweenthefirst一tiereityandthethird一tiereity.FromthehousPrieefluetuationresPonsetothePoliey,thediffereneeeostofthehousesuPPlieanddemander,thediffereneeeomPanyseale,andthedifferenceeonsumerbetweenthefirst一tiereityandthethird一tiereity,exPlainingthediffereneerealestatmarketbetweenthefirs一tiereityandthethird一tiercity.andatlast,summinguPthreasonswhieheausethefluctuationdifl七renee