政策法规对中国汽车产业的影响

June26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum’sAutoMarket政策法规对中国汽车产业的影响WayneW.J.XingPh.DChinaBusinessUpdateChinaAutomotiveReview中国汽车要闻邢文军June26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum未来市场的走向和影响因素RecentPolicies&Regulations近期的相关政策和法规June26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum’sForum(tril.yuan)0.91.865.757.79.610.2411.6713.6518.23Population(bil.)1.061.141.211.251.2761.281.291.31.3Per-capitayuan8531,6344,8546,2777,5178,1879,01410,50113,950Per-capita$1031975747469099901,0901,2701,703LargeMetropolisandCoastalAreas$3,000-$4,000直辖市及沿海地区June26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum*BusTruck**TotalJune26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum汽车及轿车产量增幅(inmillionunits)1993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005Total1.291.351.451.471.581.631.832.072.353.254.465.105.73%change22.14.37.31.387.373.1612.313.113.639.037.214.312.3Cars*0.230.250.320.390.480.520.570.600.751.172.112.362.93%change41.18.930.029.423.18.3311.56.9523.2756.080.311.824.2*Includessub-categorycarsandMPVsJune26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum:1993-2000--8yearsThirdMillion:2001-2002--2yearsFourthMillion:2003--1yearFifthMillion:2004–1yearsSixthMillion:2005–over1yearSeventhMillion:2006–1yearJune26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum’sForum’sautomarket:mythandreality中国的汽车市场的真实性June26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum’sForum’sForum机动车产量(含农用车)(includingfarmtrucks)02,000,0004,000,0006,000,0008,000,00010,000,00019921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005YearUnitsCarBusTruckTotalJune26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum＋33＋?June26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum’an-SuzukiDongfeng-Peugeot-CitroënCheryGuangzhou-HondaD-NissanBrilliance-JinbeiBJ-HyundaiChang’an-FordNJ-FiatChanghe-SuzukiHafeiAutoGuizhou-SkylarkSoutheastS-GM-WulingSichuan-Toyota3+?Guangzhou-ToyotaChang’an-FordD-NissanGuangzhou-HyundaiGreatWallJianghuai6+3June26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum＋3Multinationalsareallin跨国公司全部进入Volkswagen:大众SAICandFAWGM:通用SAIC-GM,Wuling,Dongyue,JinbeiFord:福特Chang’an,Nanjing,JianglingDaimlerChrysler:戴克BAIC,SoutheastToyota:丰田FAW,GAICHonda:本田GAIC,DongfengRenault/Nissan:雷诺-日产DongfengBMW:宝马BrillianceJinbeiPSA:标致雪铁龙Dongfeng;Fiat:菲亚特NanjingHyundai-Kia:现代-起亚BAIC,Dongfeng,GAICSuzuki:铃木Chang’an,Changhe;Mitsubishi:三菱SoutheastIsuzu:五十铃Qingling;June26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum＋？:FAW,Dongfeng,SAIC“三大＋？”BAIC:北汽DaimlerChrysler,Hyundai,MitsubishiGAIC:广汽Honda,Toyota,Dongfeng-NissanPassengerChang’anGroup:长安Ford,SuzukiHafei/Changhe:哈飞/昌河AviationIndustryGroupJianghuaiAutoGroup江淮Nanjing:南汽Fiat,MGRoverSoutheast(Fujian)：东南Mitsubishi,ChinaMotorsBrilliance:华晨BMWQinglingMotorGroup：庆铃IsuzuJune26,2006GlobalAutoManufacturingandtheRoleofChina2006President’sForum＋？DomesticInvestment国内投资Chery:奇瑞R&DCenter,EnginePlant,Export/JVGee