我国机械工业信息化发展水平及其对行业增长的影响研究

华中科技大学硕士学位论文我国机械工业信息化发展水平及其对行业增长的影响研究姓名：李阳阳申请学位级别：硕士专业：西方经济学指导教师：徐长生2010-05-14I1995-20081995-2008IIAbstractInthepresentstageofeconomicdevelopmentinChina,themachineryindustry,whichtakestheresponsibilityofprovidingtechnicalequipmentsfortheotherindustries,isofgreatstrategicsignificanceinthenationaleconomy.Thelevelofdevelopmentofmachineryindustrylargelyinfluencesorevendeterminesthelevelofdevelopmentoftherelatedindustrysectors.Atpresent,therearesomeproblemsinthedevelopmentofChina'smachineryindustry,suchaslackoftheabilityofindependentinnovation,lowproductionefficiencyandsoon,whiletheinformatizationisanimportantpositivefactortopromoterapidandhealthydevelopmentofmachineryindustry.Thisthesisestablishestheindexsystemformeasuringthelevelofdevelopmentofinformatizationofmachineryindustrybasedonexistingdataenvironment,andthenmeasurestheinformatizationlevelofsevensub-industriesfrom1995to2008,furtheranalysestheimpactofinformatizationleveloneconomicgrowth.Therelationshipbetweeninformatizationlevelofsevensub-industriesandeconomicgrowthisstudiedbythemethodofinput-outputtables.Theconclusionsofthisthesisfocusonthefollowingaspects:(1).Theinformatizationlevelofsevensub-industriesofmachineryindustrysteadilyincreasedfrom1995to2008,whiletherateofincreasingisdifferentamongsevensub-industries.(2).Informationtechnologydevelopmenthasbecomeanimportantfactorofeconomicgrowthinthemachineryindustry.Theroleofinformationtechnologyoneconomicgrowthhasexceededtheoneofcapitalandlaborinputinsomeindustries.(3).Thedependenceofsevensub-sectorsofmachineryindustryoninformationindustrywasgrowing,soastheroleofinformationindustryinleadingthedevelopmentofmachineryindustry.Informationindustry,throughitsgreatpermeability,cangreatlypromotethedevelopmentofthemachineryindustryandeventhewholenationaleconomy.Keywords:China’sMachineryIndustryInformatizationIndustryGrowth111.1200119114%20%2002-200720%2002200821.21.2.120601963————102090·2006-202020043200920031.2.2·1962530GNP196541111ayS,WilliamRK(1994)Ravi(1999)480198919976200120199920032004ComprehensiveIndexofInformationCapacities19902002200619952003361.2.320002002Dholakia(1994)GeraldR.Moody(1997)19801990Mahmood(1998)IT19962004520061992200420081.2.4199920012004ERPSCMCRMCIMS200720071.31.3.11995-20086-1.3.2512319952008451.47822.12.1.12006-2020200392.1.23011977··GNPGNPGNPGNP2.1()GNPCIGXM=+++−(2.1)GNP——GNPC——I——G——XM−——GNPGNP10GNPGNP219654112.12.1114UQPE1111431995CIIC2.212----20302.2YAKLαβ=(2.2)YKLAαβ1αβ+1αβ+=1αβ+-2.30AAIγ=(2.3)IγI-2.40YAKLIαβγ=(2.4)2.5lnlnlnlnYaKLIαβγ=+++(2.5)1333.1R&D14X10X11X13X14X15X1X9X8X2X3X4R&DX5X6X7X123.13.1153.23.2.119952008R&D19962009199620091995-19983.2.22001-20081999-20081998-20082001-2008199516199513.13.119951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008106.3101.698.1979797.496.896.29799.499.3100.4100.31013.31143.3.1,17II3.3.2{}ijxijxij1,2,...,;in=1,2,...,jp=13.1ijjijjxxZs−=(3.1)1,nijijxxn==∑221()1nijjijxxsn=−=−∑Z2ZijppRr×=(3.2)1,1nkikjkijzzrn=⋅=−∑,1,2,...,ijp=3R0PRIλ−=p110.85mjjpjjλλ==≥∑∑m85%jλ1,2,...,jm=43.3.3SPSS13.03.23.2141883.86%3.2.934.138-.083.064.866.038-.090.093.683.562.049.216.662.481.265.046-.065.944-.055.050.461.822-.123.177.593.679.222-.100.482.582.260-.002.037-.218.897.037-.082-.043.889.059.314.420.807-.095.319.414.805-.115-.205.004.719-.031.331.249-.009.898.558.500.46-.601%26.66124.28424.2478.673%26.66150.94575.19283.8653.226.67%24.28%24.24%198.67%SPSS13.0151,innjijjfmX==∑1,2,...,7;1,2,3,4in==njmSPSSijXin3.33.319951996F1F2F3F4F1F2F3F411.2214-1.9667-1.2748-0.181611.1703-2.1103-1.0066-0.13962-0.3252-1.2571-0.8888-0.04432-0.3899-1.2622-0.6625-0.006730.8545-1.31360.34190.063230.4665-1.44080.80850.093840.3300-1.48650.21160.10554-0.0727-1.30770.72610.162150.4084-1.30810.6785-0.104450.5412-1.31541.0561-0.167560.0714-1.11720.1179-0.054060.0265-1.13550.7625-0.06237-1.0585-0.68050.48240.24357-1.0688-0.90740.99470.269719971998F1F2F3F4F1F2F3F411.2397-2.1665-1.0964-0.084610.8765-2.0265-0.8286-0.08982-0.3803-1.1202-0.77180.06342-0.4632-1.1079-0.53580.007230.2373-1.06370.20600.020730.0948-1.21740.91930.04214-0.1454-1.07940.39520.15174-0.3423-1.04230.92550.122050.4815-0.88900.5533-0.164250.4503-0.93401.1595-0.23326-0.0196-0.69470.5857-0.04566-0.2073-0.75251.3444-0.09757-1.2096-0.1690-0.03640.03287-1.2415-0.64930.95180.278519992000F1F2F3F4F1F2F3F410.6439-1.8537-0.6551-0.08611-0.0525-0.4859-1.2562-0.19562-0.5658-0.9766-0.5179-0.01712-1.26840.3512-1.2781-0.07753-0.0892-1.13091.14780.06593-0.5021-0.20010.6760-0.0614203.319992000F1F2F3F4F1F2F3F44-0.4930-0.91251.24020.13634-0.88560.05390.67180.038250.3901-0.63491.2950-0.299950.12230.13201.0458-0.47696-0.2825-0.50841.7512-0.14386-0.59070.53651.0326-0.25327-1.2242-0.61821.38080.25637-1.59890.26860.75980.169520012002F1F2F3F4F1F2F3F410.6707-0.5049-1.6681-0.148610.0773-0.2613-1.6546-0.22722-1.14410.4535-1.3017-0.06472-1.11430.3080-1.3486-0.04573-0.4890-0.06420.5583-0.07903-0.37460.16370.6099-0.15554-1.00040.19550.60490.00644-0.86760.27420.5571-0.014850.37790.42191.0484-0.638150.59080.60941.1139-0.74636-0.50911.17461.2730-0.29506-0.41411.37