中越贸易发展现状及前景分析

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-I-摘要当今经济全球化的背景下,国与国之间开展贸易合作不仅有利于优化贸易结构,而且能在世界经济的大潮中获得丰厚的利润。中国与越南两国之间的贸易往来由来已久,尤其是1991年越南和中国外交关系正常化之后,两国经济与贸易关系得到了迅速恢复和发展。本文首先从贸易发展规模、贸易的商品结构、贸易开放度、显性比较优势指数和越南的贸易方式与渠道五个方面分析了越南对外贸易的现状与特点,得出越南对外贸易的优势和劣势所在。其次,本文从越中进出口贸易发展现状、越中贸易商品结构和越中双边投资三个方面分析越中双边贸易的发展现状。由此分析出越中双边贸易存在的问题,例如贸易逆差大、贸易总量规模小以及两国货币汇率的影响等。最后,通过SWOT分析得出越中两国贸易存在的优势、劣势、机会和威胁,进而对越中两国的贸易发展做出合理性建议。关键词:越中贸易;贸易现状;制约因素ABSTRACT-II-ResearchontheSituationandProspectofTradebetweenChinaandVietnamABSTRACTIntoday'seconomicglobalizationbackground,thetradecooperationbetweencountriesisnotonlybeneficialtooptimizethestructureoftrade,butalsointhetideoftheworldeconomytoreaptheprofits.ChinaandVietnam,thetradebetweenthetwocountrieshasalonghistory,especiallyafterthenormalizationofdiplomaticrelationsbetweenVietnamandChinain1991,economicandtraderelationsbetweenthetwocountriesgotrapidrecoveryanddevelopment.Thisarticlefirstfromthetradescale,tradecommoditystructure,tradeopenness,dominantcomparativeadvantageindexandtradeofVietnamwayandchannelfiveaspectsanalysisthepresentsituationandcharacteristicsofVietnam'sforeigntrade,itisconcludedthatVietnam'sadvantagesanddisadvantagesofforeigntrade.Secondly,thisarticlefromthecurrentsituationofthedevelopmentofimportandexporttrade,thetradecommoditystructureandthebilateralinvestmentfromthreeaspectsoftheanalysisofthedevelopmentofbilateraltradeinthestatusquo.Theanalysisoftheproblemsexistinginthebilateraltrade,suchaslargetradedeficit,thescaleoftradevolumeandtheimpactofcurrencyexchangeratebetweenthetwocountries.Finally,throughtheSWOTanalysisitisconcludedthatthetradebetweenthetwocountriesintheexistingstrengths,weaknesses,opportunitiesandthreats,andthetwocountries'tradedevelopmentinVietnamtomakereasonableSuggestions.KeyWords:TradebetweenVietnamandChina;Tradestatus;Constraint-III-目录摘要...........................................................................................................................IABSTRACT....................................................................................................................II第1章前言..................................................................................................................11.1研究背景与意义.............................................................................................11.1.1研究背景..............................................................................................11.1.2研究意义..............................................................................................21.2研究思路.........................................................................................................31.3国内外研究现状.............................................................................................31.3.1国外研究现状......................................................................................31.3.2国内研究现状......................................................................................41.3.3国内外研究现状的评述......................................................................4第2章越南对外贸易的现状与特点..........................................................................62.1越南贸易发展规模.........................................................................................62.2越南对外贸易的商品构成.............................................................................72.3贸易开放度...................................................................................................12第3章越中双边贸易的现状......................................................................................153.1越中两国的贸易额以及增长情况...............................................................153.2越中双边贸易占两国贸易的比重...............................................................173.3越中两国贸易的商品结构...........................................................................183.4越中两国的双边投资...................................................................................203.5越中两国贸易的收支状况...........................................................................223.6越中两国贸易渠道及方式...........................................................................23第4章越中贸易SWOT分析...................................................................................254.1越中贸易strength分析........................................................................254.2越中贸易weakness分析......................................................................254.3越中贸易opportunity分析..................................................................264.4越中贸易threats分析..........................................................................26第5章越中贸易发展建议........................................................................................275.1调整进出口商品结构...................................................................................275.2加强双边投资,促进贸易发展...................................................................27目录-IV-5.3减少贸易逆差,实现双边贸易持续发展...................................................285.4调整产业结构,实现比较优势动态转化...................................................285.5增强越中互信,友好解决贸易争端...........................................................295.6在ACFTA背景下,加强与各国的经贸合作............................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