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2010-10-169月23日温家宝总理接受CNN专访全文译者：老杨2010年10月04日21:35浏览量：4091评论数：17温：你可能认为这是今天最难回答的问题，但在我看来这很容易。我从两点回答你有关未来的问题。1.正如中国老话说的“长江后浪推前浪，一代新人换旧人”，对中国未来领导人超过他们的前任我深有信心。2.是人民以及人民的力量决定了国家的前途和历史。人民的希望和意愿不可阻挡，顺之者昌，逆之者亡。频道：文化类型：文章标签：温家宝,cnn,专访,全文相关链接：温总理接受CNN专访2008版（带字幕）：版：版文本：。（感谢推友@liubinyan@zhangjialong）9月23日CNN，“FAREEDZAKARIAGPS”栏目主持人Zakaria(以下称为Z)专访温家宝（以下称为温）FAREEDZAKARIA,HOST,FAREEDZAKARIAGPS:Doyoufeelthattheglobaleconomyis,atthispoint,stableandstrong?Ordoyouworryalotthatthereisadangeroftheso-calleddoubledip,thattheUnitedStates,inparticular,couldgobackintoarecession?Z：你认为当前全球经济形势是稳定，而且充满活力的吗？你是否担心出现所谓的“二次探底”，导致美国经济再一次进入衰退？PREMIERWENJIABAO,CHINA(throughtranslator):Well,objectivelyspeaking,Ithinktheworldeconomyisrecovering,althoughtheprocessofrecoveryisaslowandtorturousone.Peoplemaynothavethesameviewonthismatter,butIbelievewewilllearnalessonfromthereality.IhopethattherewillbeaquickrecoveryoftheU.S.economy,because,afterall,theU.S.economyisthelargestintheworld.IhavetakennoteoftherecentpoliciesandmeasurestakenbyPresidentObama,includingtheprogramofdoublingtheUnitedStatesexportsandthemassiveinvestmentininfrastructuraldevelopment.Ithinkthesepassesandmeasuresaretheonesontherighttrack,movingintherightdirection.Althoughtheycamealittlebitlate,theystillcameintime.ThisremindsmeofthetimewhenItookthebigdecisionofadvancingamassivestimuluspackageinChina.Backthen,peoplehaddifferentviewsconcerningthispolicy.Butnow,theprogresshasshownthatourstimuluspackageisasuccessfulone.温：客观的说，我认为当前全球经济正在复苏，尽管这个复苏的过程有些漫长，充满曲折。不同的人有不同的看法，但是我相信现实给我们好好上了一课。我希望美国经济能够快速的恢复，因为美国经济实力毕竟是世界上最强大的。奥巴马总统最近的一些经济政策，包括美国出口倍增以及对基础设施大量投资的计划，是解决问题的正确之道。尽管这些政策来得稍晚了一些，但总算及时。这让我想起了我决定四万亿投资刺激中国经济的时候。当时人们对这一政策有着各式各样的看法，但是现在的经济态势显示我们一揽子刺激计划是有效的，成功的ZAKARIA:Yourstimuluspackagewas10timeslarger,asapercentageofyourGDP,than--thantheU.S.one.Itwasanextraordinaryprogram.Isthereaworrythatithas--ithasproducedabubbleinChina,inrealestate?Aretheredangersofinflationbecausethegovernmentspentsomuchmoney?Andwhathappensnowthatthatstimulusisgoingtowearoff?Therewillbelessandlessgovernmentspending.Z：你的经济刺激计划，从占GDP的百分比来说，是美国计划的十倍，真是一个异乎寻常的举动。是否存在这样的担心，如此巨量的投资将在中国的房地产市场产生泡沫？政府投资了这么多钱，是否会带来通货膨胀呢？现在投资计划减弱了，有没有什么影响？政府的钱会不会不够？WEN:Fromwhatyousaid,Ithinkyouhavenotseenourstimuluspackageinitsfullorinitsentirety.Iwouldliketosaythatourstimuluspackagehasfourkeycomponents.Thefirstismassivepublicspending,structuraltaxcutsandinfrastructuraldevelopment.ThesecondistheadjustmentandupgradingofindustrialstructureinChina.Thethirdisscientificandtechnologicalinnovationandthedevelopmentofemergingindustrieswithstrategicsignificance.Thefourthistheimprovementofsocialsafetynet.The$4trillionRMBYuaninvestmentdoesnotallcomefromthegovernment.Publicfinanceonlyaccountsfor$1.18trillionRMBYuanandtherestwillcomefromthenon-publicsectorandfundraisingfromfinancialmarkets.TheimplementationofthestimuluspackagehasinsuredthecontinuanceofsteadyandrelativelyfasteconomicgrowthinChina.IthashelpedmaintainthegoodmomentumofChina'seconomicdevelopmentinthepast30yearsandithashelpedusavoidmajorfluctuationsintheprocessofChina'smodernizationbecauseofasevereexternalshock.Atthesametime,ithaslaidasolidfoundationforfuturedevelopmentoftheChineseeconomy.Weareonhighalertagainstthechallengethatyoureferredtoinyourquestion.Letmemakethreepoints.First,thereisapossibilityofinflationinChina.Thatiswhywehaveformulatedthetaskofskillfullymanagetherelationsbetweenmaintainingsteadyandrelativelyfasteconomicdevelopment,structuraladjustmentandmanaginginflationexpectations.ThisisatthecoreofChina'smacroeconomiccontrol.IdohaveworryforthemanagementofinflationexpectationsinChina.AndthatissomethingthatIhavebeentryingveryhardtomanageappropriatelyandwell,becauseIbelievecorruptionandinflationwillhaveanadverseimpactonstabilityofpowerinourcountry.Andthesetwobothconcernthetrustandsupportofpeopleinthegovernment.AndthisistheperspectivethatIseetheissueofinflationinChina.Second,withimplementationofthestimuluspackage,therearefiscalandfinancialrisksattheleveloflocalgovernments.Wehavesomefinancingvehiclesoflocalgovernments.Theyhavesomedebts.Butthisisnotanewproblemthattookplaceafterthebreak--outbreakofthefinancialcrisis.Rather,thisalreadycameintobeingbackinthe1980s.Now,withthefinancingplatformsoflocalgovernmentsinplace,theyhaveaccumulatedatotaldebtabout$7.6trillionRMBYuan.AndIcansaythatthisdebt,atthelocallevel,isstillwithinarangethatwecanmanage.Butitisimportantthatweappropriatelyhandlethismattertoensurethatthedebtsatlocalgovernments'levelwillnotbringaboutrisksinourpublicfinanceandinthefinancialsector.TheratioofbudgetdeficitinChina'stotalGDPiswithin3percent.ThetotaldebtsinChinaversusGDP'sratioiswithin20percentrange.Thatistosay,it'sstillintherangethatwecanmanage.Thethirdpointisamoreimportantone,thatis,allourinvestmentnowmustbeconducivetooureconomicstructuraladjustment,notthecontrary.Thisconcernsourlong-termdevelopmentprospectsandthereforeisofhighimportance.温：从你的问题来看，我认为你并没有对我们的刺激计划有一个全面的了解。我们的经济刺激计划有四个重要的组成部分：1.大规模的公共投资，结构性的减税以及基础设施的建设。2