Open Source in China Presentation 1

Open[e-mail]’ttalk,Thosewhotalkdon’tknowWhenacountryobtainsgreatpower,itbecomeslikethesea:allstreamsrundownwardintoit.Themorepowerfulitgrows,thegreatertheneedforhumility.ATourofChinaChinaByTheNumbersNo.1inFDIataround$60billionsince2002Avg9.4%annualGDPgrowthratefor25yearsCurrently4thlargesteconomyWillsurpassUK,Germany,Italy,andFrancebytheendofthedecadeChinaITIndustryGraduate100,000programmerseachyearSoftwaremarketreached$85.43billionthisyearFourthlargestsoftwaremarketworldwide162millionInternetusers,12.3%ofthepopulationDeveloperhourlyrate:$10USDIndustryGrowth05010015020020032004200520062007CCID:5outofevery6motorcyclesarefakesDVD:95%piracyrateSoftware:94%piracyrateExample:xiaonei.comChina’sFacebookEconomicsofPiracyEconomicsofPiracy2002:852raidsforillegalCD/DVDEconomicsofPiracy2002:852raidsforillegalCD/DVD99.5%convictedEconomicsofPiracy2002:852raidsforillegalCD/DVD99.5%convicted764finedunder$1,000EconomicsofPiracy2002:852raidsforillegalCD/DVD99.5%convicted764finedunder$1,000Only2fined$5,000-$10,000OpenSourcevsPiracyWhenWindowsisfreetoo,opensourcecannotcompeteonpricealone.Morediscs=moreexpensive,right?Opensourcelicensesfacesameenforcementproblemsascommerciallicenses.GoWest,YoungMan“...there'sasensethatarenaissanceisgoingonhere.I'mthinkingofHoratioAlger'sdictum:Gowest,youngman.WereachedtheendofAlger'sdirectionsinCalifornia.Chinaisnowtruewestfromthere.Gowest,youngman,gowest.WhathappensinChinaoverthenextdecadeisgoingtoshapethehistoryoftheworld.”-TimO’Reillyüanaskedaboutthemeaningofhumaneness.TheMastersaid,Tocompletelyovercomeselfishnessandkeeptoproprietyishumaneness.Ifforafulldayyoucanovercomeselfishnessandkeeptopropriety,everyoneintheworldwillreturntohumaneness.Doeshumanenesscomefromoneself,orfromothers?YenYüanasked:MayIaskinfurtherdetailhowthisistobebroughtabout?Confuciussaid,Donotwatchwhatisimproper;donotlistentowhatisimproper;donotspeakimproperlyanddonotactimproperly.YenYüansaid,AlthoughIamnotsoperspicacious,Iwillapplymyselftothisteaching.ChineseCultureChineseCultureGuan-XiChineseCultureRelationshipsChineseCultureAmericanChineseindividualistcollectivistegalitarianhierarchicalinformationorientedrelationshiporientedreductionistholisticsequentialcircularseeksthetruthseeksthewayargumentculturehagglingcultureActwithoutdoing;workwithouteffort.FindtasteinthetastelessThinkofthesmallaslargeandthefewasmany.Answerevilwithinnerpower.LinuxinChinaInChina,opensource=LinuxRedHat,RedFlag,NovellSUSE,TurboLinuxMobileLinuxOpenMoko,E28EmbeddedLinux1,000resultsonAlibaba.comIPCameras,DVRs,Storage,CardReaders,etc.LinuxMarketAnalystforecastChina’sLinuxmarketwillgrow~30%yearlyfrom2006-2010Linuxsalesin2005were$21million,81%increaseor$11.8million,up27.1%Otheropensourcesoftwaresales$19millionLinuxmarketshareincrease4.2%to9.8%between2003and2005LinuxMarket0255075100WindowsLinuxOther020406080WindowsUnixOtherDESKTOPSERVEROpenSourceinChinaChina'sopensourcecommunitiesarerelativelysmallanddon'thavemuchinfluence.Thereisalackofbigprojects,fewparticipants,andlittlemoney.-HuKe,CCIDAnalystAsusEeePCMozillainChinaMozillaChina(non-profit)in2005MozillaOnlinein20072-3%marketshareWebstandardsaproblemExample:ZeuuxprojectProjectsRedFlagLinuxPugs(Perl6inHaskell)XOOPSHongKongOpenFontsProjectForks/branchesofmanymajoropensourceprojectsOpenFoundry:848projects,5435usersOperaMasksOpenSourceJSFtoolkit“Grassroots”CreatingaDialog“IgotthesensethattherereallyaretwotechcommunitiesinChina:theonewereached,andanotherone,thatismoredistinctlyChinese.Bothareimportant.It'snotreallythatthere'sthisouterringofwesternersandWestern-connectedChinese,withthecorebeingthelocalindustry.It'smorethatthereisaWestern-facingindustry,andanindigenousonethatisgrowingupinparallel.”-