38低碳生态城市规划(叶祖达)

1PlanningandDesignofLowCarbonCities...Weshapeabetterworld3:Arup’sSustainablePlanningandDesignExperience4–ARUP-trulymultidisciplinaryRecentlycompletedprojects7••••••8WhyLowCarbonEco-cities?9EARTHisafinitesystem10TheClimateChangeChallenge11In200years,wewillhavereleasedintheatmosphere,thecarbonthattooknature600millionyearstotrap1850190019502000CO212Theworldenergyconsumptionisincreasing1milliontonnesoilequivalent=11.6MWhSource:IEA,Mai200790%offossilenergyRnvEnergyNuclearNaturalgasOilCoalMillionsoftoe13Source:ClimateChange2007-TheFourthIPCCAssessmentReport(SynthesisReport)141970-2004(a)19702004(b)(c):ClimateChange2007-TheFourthIPCCAssessmentReport(SynthesisReport)15TheEconomicsofManagingClimateChange16••••17TheSternReport:•“OnepercentofglobalGDPisrequiredtobeinvestedayearinordertomitigatetheeffectsofclimatechange,andthatfailuretodosocouldriskglobalGDPbeinguptotwentypercentlowerthanitotherwisemightbe”1%or20%?18••••••••19ChineseCities:ChallengesandOpportunities20China’sHistoricalOpportunity21ChineseCities:ChallengesareOpportunities24%1985China’surbanisationin198543%2005China’surbanisationin1985222501995China’sprivatecarnumberin198517002005China’sprivatecarnumberin2005ChineseCities:ChallengesareOpportunities2320TotalannualnewconstructionareainchinaoccupynearlyhalfofthetotalamountoftheworldChineseCities:ChallengesareOpportunities24OilconsumptionElectricityconsumptionCO2emissionChineseCities:ChallengesareOpportunities3.64.32.21985-2005Thegrowthofenergyconsumptionbetween1985-200525…26CO250%2012CO2CO2100%2020CO2••••27TheVision:LowCarbonEco-CityasaMeanstoSustainableDevelopment28SustainableDevelopment‘…developmentthatmeetstheneedsofthepresentwithoutcompromisingtheabilityoffuturegenerationstomeettheirownneeds’29•••3012341.3312010GDP200520%1.332……121.3331.334•—•••1.335…GlobalResponses…LowCarbonPlanning&DesignStrategicFramework31§§§§§§LowCarbonPlanning&DesignStrategicFramework32§§§§§§LowCarbonPlanning&DesignStrategicFramework33KingspanLighthouse§§§§39WhataretheChallenges?40Jumpoutofthe‘GreenBuilding’Box1.41Eco-Citiesarenotjustaboutspace,itisalsoresourcemanagement2.42NewPlanMakingProcess3.43ConvertPerformanceIndicatorsintoimplementationtools4.44AuditingtheCarbonEmissionsofUrbanPlans5.46Thankyou!