IIT+E10Q2+1LIB+market+日本知名锂电行业研究机构IIT报告

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IITlIB-relaledSludyProgram1o-11(ApriI2010)Introduction:TheStartoftheLlB-relatedStudyProgram10-11IIThasbeenrunningthisbatte叩relatedmulti-clientprojectsince2000,andthepreviousLlB-relatedStudyProgram09斗。wasthetenthedition.Markingourtenthyear,weshiftedtowritingandpublishingmonthlyreportsoverthetwelvemonthsofthestandardaccountingyearusedbyJapanesecompan阻s,fromApriltoMarch,andaddedtheelectricpowerandpowerstoragefield.Inthis10-11program,whichhasthesamebasiccomposition,weaimtodeliverinformationinamoretimelymannerandexpandourinformationandanalysisoftheelectricpo叭erandpowers1-时'age们创dPortabledevices,whicharethenumberoneLlBapplication,havepassedthroughaslumpthatextendedfromthesecondhalfof2008throughthefirsthalfof2009,andarenowbackinagrowthphase.Thegrowthofthenotebookcomputermark.etin2010isparticularlystrong.P川smaticandpouchcells,whicharemainlyusedincellularhandsets,achievedslowbutsteadygrowth,andhaveenteredaperiodofrobustdemandgrowth,supportedbytheemergenceofnewdevicessuchasE­booksandMobileInternetOevices(MI口时,ofwhichtheiPadisthemainexampleThisfavorablesituationbringsthepossibilitythatSanyo(asasinglecompany)couldstoptheoverwhelmingmomentum、响thwhichSamsungS口1wereexpectedt,。。vertakethem.Aswewillexplainindetailinthischapter,thetotalvolumewillgrowbynearly30%,andSanyo,whohaveamplesup川ycapaαty,willbeinawell­matchedracewithSOIthatwillrequirefullproductionofcylindric剧,prismaticandpouchcells.Nevertheless,whenoneconsidersalltheelementsof口巳口,theSouthKoreans,includingLGC,aresuretotakethetoptwopositionsinthelongterm.Inthisfield,wewillcon西ntrateonanalyzingthestateofcompetitionbetweencellsupplie阳fromvariousaspects,suchascaptureofcustomersandapplications,pri田andcost,andstrategies,includinginvestmentAutomotiveLlB,these吧。ndLlBap川ication,startedproductionforHEVsandBEVsin2009,withnoseriousproblems.In2010,productionandsaleswillbeginfortwakeyproductswhichwillindicatehowfarthemarketwillexpandinfuture.TheyaretheLeafBEVmass-praducedbyNissan,andtheChevyValt,mass-producedbyGMBy2012,AESC,whawillbetheLlBsupplierfarNissan,willbeabletousetheproductionvolumefor200,口00ca目ayeartosecurelowpricesforthepartsandmaterialsforpacksandcells.ThatwillgivethemanunassailablecostadvantageovercompetitorsandbringdownBEVprices.Theissueistheestablishmentandaccumulaüonofmassproductiontechnologyandexpertise:Simplyput,cantheyactuallymakethebatteriesγAIIeyesarewatchingtoseewhetherajointventureledbyanautomanufacturer(Nissanhasa51%investment)canbecomeaba忧e叩supplier.Conversely,GSYuasa,ledbyaba忧e叩manufacturerwitha51%investment,havesucceededinsta川ingupproduction,withaconservatively剑OWpaceandsemi-automaticequipment.Theirvolume,however,willnotyieldcostreductions,sotheyhaveplansforasuccessionofproductionexpansionsinKusatsu,KyotoandRitto.ThequestionsarewhethertheiMiEVwillsellandwheth町costswillcomedownFortheGMChevyVolt,thesupplierwillbeLGC,whohavealreadysucceededincommissioningafullyautomaticlinetosupplyV4HEV田IIstoHyundaiandfacefewhurdlesinputtingtheirP1PHEVcellsintoprc国uction.LGCbeganworkingondevelopingautomotiveLlBinthefirsthalfofthe2000s,andtheyarestrongincellstructuresandmanufacturingpr。但自由forcellssimilartothepouchtypeusedforportabledevices.In∞ntrasttoN自由n'ssituation,theyhavenoproblemwithactuallymakingthebatteries,sotheremainingissueiswhetherthecarswillsell.LGChavethecel1s,sotheyhavesucceededinaddingasuccessionofnewcustomers,Hyundai,GM,Eaton,ChanaAutomobileandVolvo,andtheyhaveothercustomerstheyhavenotannouncedyet.Theyaimtobuildtheirvolumeacrossapo同folioofPage1-1Copyrigh惚n010-201111nsliluteofInformalionTechnology,LtdIITlIB-relaledSludyProgram1o-11(ApriI2010)customers.AsindependentLlBmanufacture阳,SanyoandSBL(SB-LiMotive)alsoaimtoselltomultiplecustomers,butLGChaveaclearleadatpresentQvertwentysuppl阻rsinJapan,SouthKorea,EuropeandNorthAmericahavealreadyannouncedthemselvesasautomotiveLlBmanufacturers.Howeverpromisingthemarketis,thereisnotroomforallthesesuppl阻rstomovein,andtheycannotallsurvive.Inexactlythesamewayasintheportabledevicesfield,thosewhocansup川yhigh-performanceLlBatlowprices时11win.Thatvict。叩assumes,ofcourse,themajorpreconditionsthattheycanestablishastablemassproductionsystemandensuresafety.Inthisfield,we恻11focusourinvestigationonthekeypointsofthematerialscombinationsandmassproductioninvestmentsoftheautomotiveLlBmanufacturers,theequipmenttheyinstall,thecustomerstheygain,andtheircos饵,amongothers口ntheotherhand,theChinesemanufacturers,whohavenottakenamajorpositionintheportabledevices们eld,aimtocapturedomesticdemandforautomotiveLlBSAIChaveformedaJVwithA123andChanahaveasupplycontractwithLGC,soforeignsuppliersarestartingtoencroach,butmanylocalmanufacturersaimtoestablishthemselvesinmarketsspecifictoChina,suchasbusesandLEVs1.BY口,Lishen,BAKandATL,thefourheavenlykingsofChinaintheportabledevicesLlB们创d,willcertainlybeinthemarket,aswillPhylion,Thunde厄ky,Wanxiangandothe陌fromthedrivepowerfield.ItishardtoimagineBEVsfromChineseautomanufacturersandLlBfromChinesemanufacturersbecomingmajorplayersinthemainQEMmarketsofthewo叫d,soweareconsideringexaminingtrendsinChinaseparatelyfromouranalysisofJapa

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