医学发展趋势和前景分析

2007Vol.9No.1WorldScienceandTechnology/ModernizationofTraditionalChineseMedicineandMateriaMedica***(201203)(100020)(100084)(100094)(100053)(100862):2006212212:2006212215*291(2004BA721A47):-,:**:,,,Scripps,:,Tel/Fax:[phone];E2mail:[e-mail]:,,,21,4,,,5,6,,:,,,,,(),,,,1.(),;211WorldScienceandTechnology/ModernizationofTraditionalChineseMedicineandMateriaMedicaSARSAIDS;,2,20%,63.4%2.(),,200020208%10%15%,,,,,,,3.,,,,4.,,,,,,,,5.,,,,,;,,;,,,,,,6.(WHO),,,,,7.,,,,,;,,;,,;,,8.,,,,3112007Vol.9No.1WorldScienceandTechnology/ModernizationofTraditionalChineseMedicineandMateriaMedica,,,,1.,,,2090,,,,,,,,,,,(1),1PubMed,(SystemsBiology)199721,,[1]2.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,3.[2]():,,;,()4.----(MedicalModel),,,411WorldScienceandTechnology/ModernizationofTraditionalChineseMedicineandMateriaMedica,1819,2050,,,,----,,,,5.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,6.,(),,,,,/,,,,,,,7.,,,,,,,,;,8.,,,,,,,,80%,5112007Vol.9No.1WorldScienceandTechnology/ModernizationofTraditionalChineseMedicineandMateriaMedica,,,,,,4,211.212070,,,,,,,,,----,,[3,4]2.2120,,,2121,,,,,,,,,[5]3.21,,,,,,,,21,,,,,[5],,214.21,,,,,,,,,,,;,,,611WorldScienceandTechnology/ModernizationofTraditionalChineseMedicineandMateriaMedica[6],,,,5,6,,1.(1),(2),,,(3):,,:,,,,,,(4):,,:2.,,,,3.,,,,,,,,;,,,;,,,4.,,,,,-,,,-----5.,()()()6.(1);(2),,;(3);(4);(5)7112007Vol.9No.1WorldScienceandTechnology/ModernizationofTraditionalChineseMedicineandMateriaMedica,7.(1);(2);(3);(4);(5),;(6),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1LeroyHood,HeathJR,PhelpsMe,etal.Systemsbiologyandnewtech2nologiesenablepredictiveandpreventativeMedicine.Science,2004,306640643.2,,,..,2006,6485488.3..,2004,4(3)33.4ReneC.Fox.Culturalcompetenceandthecultureofmedicine.NEnglJMed,2005,353(13)13161317.5.21.,20030612.6..2004.7.ResearchonTrendandForegroundofMedicalDevelopmentSuShibing(ShanghaiUniversityofT.C.M,Shanghai201203)WangRukuan(InstituteofMedicalInformation/MedicalLibrarg,CAM&PUMC,Beijing100020)LiShao(TsinghuaUniversity,Beijing100084)ChenFeng(ChineseAcademyofMedicalSciences.PekingUnionMedicalCollegeInstitufeofMedicinalPlantDevelopment,Beijing100094)WangJie(GuanganmenHospitalofChinaAcademgofChineseMedicineSciences,Beijing100053)ZouJiangian(TheMinistryofofScienceandTechnologyofthePeoplesPepublicofChina,Beijing100862)InordertorealizetheforegroundandthedirectionofmedicinedevelopmentinChina,ananalysisforthetrendandtheforegroundofworldmedicinedevelopmentin21centurywascarriedoutbyconductedinmulti-mannersuchasquestionnairesurvey,databasesanalysis,expertconsultation,symposiumandseminar.Then4predictweresuggested.BaseonthegreatgoalofmedicinedevelopmentinChina,itwasproposedthatcarryingoutaFront-movingstrata2gem,aDown-movingstratagemandaFront-movingstrategicdisposition,medicalmodelchangeoverandsys2temicintegration;realizing5changeoversontheconceptand6transfersontheconductedinmedicalserviceforare2quirementsthatarehealthcare,societyandmedicalsciencedevelopment.Keywords:MedicalDevelopment;TraditionalChineseMedicine;Macroeconomicstrategy;MondernizationofT.C.M(:,:)811